Vice President, Center for European Policy Analysis, on democracy and security, emerging tech, authoritarian influence, sharp power. Opinions, my own.
Joined April 2009
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20 Jan 2024
.@FukuyamaFrancis calls 'Defending Democracy in an Age of Sharp Power' a "must read for anyone concerned about trends in global democracy"-@JoDemocracy book on threats from modern forms of authoritarian influence, and what free societies can do in response amazon.com/Defending-Democra…
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"Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping have come to a meeting of the minds on some very fundamental things about world order." @Walker_CT
What once seemed unlikely is now a reality: a growing network of authoritarian powers working to reshape the international system to their advantage, with China playing a pivotal economic, logistical, and strategic role.
Read the full report, The China-Russia Meta Threat: The Architecture of Authoritarian Power, below.
cepa.org/comprehensive-repor…
#ChinaRussia #NationalSecurity #Geopolitics #Russia #China
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One should see China’s sustained investments in making repression cheaper, more technologically sophisticated & resistant to outside pressure-what are effectively global “concierge services” on behalf of authoritarianism-for what it is: autocracy promotion justsecurity.org/141132/chin…
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Christopher Walker retweeted
What the West Gets Wrong About Russia and China - new @cepa report challenges Western assumptions: that countries must share values to cooperate. Instead: make decisions based on outcomes, economic interests, security concerns, & infrastructure needs not ideological alignment.
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Putin’s choices are narrowing as his war results in stalemate and impoverishment. Europe should make the most of it - timely piece by @nicolange_ in @cepa cepa.org/article/putins-deep…
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"With the benefit of hindsight, it is easier to see that as Putin was planning the 2014 occupation of Crimea and infiltration of eastern Ukraine, Xi was simultaneously adopting a more assertive and confrontational posture for China in the South China Sea." @Walker_CT | cepa.org/comprehensive-repor…
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Over a protracted period, China’s authorities have made sustained investments in technological, economic, diplomatic, and ideological spheres and brought to scale what can be seen as global “concierge services” on behalf of authoritarianism justsecurity.org/141132/chin… @just_security
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🇨🇳🇷🇺The China-Russia relationship has clearly grown closer and become a more potent threat over the past four years. Despite mismatched power and competing interests, this is a partnership that the US, Europe, and the world must take seriously. cepa.org/comprehensive-repor…
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New report: “The China-Russia Meta Threat”
#RigaStratComDialogue
🇨🇳🇷🇺The China-Russia relationship has clearly grown closer and become a more potent threat over the past four years. Despite mismatched power and competing interests, this is a partnership that the US, Europe, and the world must take seriously. cepa.org/comprehensive-repor…
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The Tiananmen Square massacre’s most consequential long-term effect was not just the CCP survived. It was that over time the party learned to modernize authoritarian rule, build networks of like-minded regimes, and project authoritarianism internationally justsecurity.org/141132/chin…
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Christopher Walker retweeted
Jun 4
.@abrownepek: “Japan-bashing has become the core of a strident Chinese nationalism, with disastrous consequences…Beijing’s nonstop demonization…and regular harassment of Japan, its people, and its institutions have created the monster it most fears.”
semafor.com/article/06/02/20…
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Christopher Walker retweeted
Your daily reminder that @OlenaHalushka’s stories from Ukraine have been going on for 1,561 days. The London Blitz lasted 57 consecutive days.
Jun 2
"I thought I wouldn't survive the night. I completely broke down and started crying when the explosions became so powerful that they blew open the doors of the shelter," says 13yo Kyiv schoolgirl Valeriia.
Valeriia and her mother, Viktoriia, spent the night sheltering from the massive attack in the basement of a nearby municipal building. When a missile struck their apartment building, the shelter filled with smoke and chunks of plaster began falling from the ceiling.
"There were dozens of people in the shelter, including children from my school. Many were crying. There were so many people that there was hardly any room, so nobody lay down — everyone sat to make space for others. It was the scariest night of my life," says Valeriia, still struggling to stop trembling.
When the air raid alert was finally lifted, the girl returned to her apartment and saw shattered windows and extensive damage.
"The whole building was damaged. I saw ambulances arriving for the wounded. We didn't even pay attention to whether our belongings were intact, because things aren't what matter most. What matters is that we survived," the schoolgirl says quietly.
Shortly after Valeriia and her mother entered their apartment, another air raid alert was announced. The family was forced to take shelter in the building's stairwell because there was no longer enough time to reach the shelter.
Source: UNICEF Ukraine.
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Russia’s Influence Game | “The Kremlin’s efforts to show it’s an accepted member of the global community require enormous work by every arm of the regime.” @irinaborogan and @AndreiSoldatov
cepa.org/article/russias-inf…
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Ukraine’s Airfield Blitz Still Echoes | “Operation Spiderweb proved that a patient adversary with modest resources and good intelligence can neutralize billion-dollar military assets.” Henry Patton and Noah Greene
cepa.org/article/one-year-on…
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Russia's Threadbare Air Defenses | "For a country that has built its foreign policy on the notion of encirclement, Russia is surprisingly bad at defending itself." @dvkirichenko cepa.org/article/russias-thr…
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My comments to @ShaolinTom @Newsweek on the adaptable relationship that’s evolved among Russia, China & Iran:
"These countries already have built a good deal of shared muscle movement that enables them to work together and in common cause against the US…”newsweek.com/china-and-russi…
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Ukraine is Europe's Sword | "Europe will struggle to defend itself against Russia without the aid of Ukraine’s battle-tested legions." Charles Sullivan cepa.org/article/ukraine-is-…
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Ukraine Luring the Talented to Come Home | "Ukraine’s future depends not only on winning the war against Russia, but convincing its young people to come home." Kateryna Odarchenko cepa.org/article/ukraine-lur…
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Rule by law.
Jun 2
“Selected works of Xi Jinping on rule of law published in English…The English edition is expected to provide international readers with a deeper understanding of Xi’s views on the rule of law.”
english.scio.gov.cn/topnews/…
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Turning Baltic Vulnerability into Strength | "The Baltic states know how to use a crisis. They have done it before under Russian pressure, and should do it again now with the growing drone menace." @JustBudginaite cepa.org/article/turning-bal…
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"The Center for European Policy Analysis has shown the way forward on innovation and finance. What is missing is the courage to act on it with the urgency and legitimate seriousness it demands."
In a House of Lords address, Baroness Kingsmill brought "Unleashing Defense Innovation", a report by CEPA's International Leadership Council, to the floor, arguing that Europe's surge in defense spending is a once-in-a-generation opportunity, but one that risks entrenching outdated force structures without a modernized investment strategy.
"Spending more on the wrong things is not a solution; it is just a more expensive version of the same thing."
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