Invest with VISION | Knowledge based Wealth Creation | No recommendations | All views for educational purpose | Not SEBI registered

Joined December 2023
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๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐‡๐ž๐š๐ฅ๐ญ๐ก๐ญ๐ž๐œ๐ก (Alpha Ideas Meet Update) Summary: ๐Ÿ—’๏ธ โ–ช๏ธCDMO with major ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐‘&๐ƒ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ž ๐ข๐ง-๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ซ๐ž๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ข๐ง๐  ๐จ๐ฐ๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐ก๐ข๐ฉโœ… & high customer stickiness โ–ช๏ธ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ง๐Ÿ๐ข๐ž๐ฅ๐ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐›๐ฒ ๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ% ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ - to drive FY26 growth โ–ช๏ธGreenfield expansion by Marโ€™26 to take overall ๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ“-๐Ÿ‘๐ฑ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐จ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ๐จ๐ซ๐žโœ…โœ… โ–ช๏ธOnboarded clients like ๐„๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ ๐‹๐ข๐Ÿ๐ž๐ฌ๐œ๐ข๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ž (24,000Cr MCap Co), ๐‹๐š ๐‘๐ž๐ง๐จ๐ง (๐‚๐ก๐ซ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐‚๐š๐ฉ ๐›๐š๐œ๐ค๐ž๐), among others โ–ช๏ธTargeting other high growth consumer segments like ๐‚๐จ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ž๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐ฌ, ๐๐ž๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐จ๐, ๐ž๐ญ๐œ โ–ช๏ธ1st in Maharashtra to get FSC 22000 approval in food category - unlocks ๐๐ข๐ซ๐ž๐œ๐ญ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐”๐’๐€, ๐„๐”, ๐ž๐ญ๐œ (Further, my analysis on projections FY26E to FY28E at the end) __________________________________ Detailed notes: ๐Ÿ“ ๐…๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ซ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ง ๐ข๐ง๐ง๐จ๐ฏ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง: 1. Influx is the owner of the formulation with majority of the customers. 2. Eg for Gummies, Protein Bars, etc all base formulations R&D done by Influx 3. Customer stickiness due to importance of taste, texture etc in such products & customer needs consistency ๐€๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐š๐ฅ๐ฌ: 1. FSC 22000 - 1st in Maharashtra to get this certification in food category - unlocks direct access to USA, EU, etc 2. First to get Nigeria approval in food category ๐‚๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ: 1. Serving the top D2C brands such as Carbamide Forte (avg 5-10k ratings per product on Amazon), Tata 1mg, etc 2. Recently onboarded marquee clientele such as Eris Lifescience (24,000Cr MCap co), La Renon (ChrysCap backed), among others ๐๐ž๐ฐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฌ: 1. Got approval for Aerosols in Marchโ€™2025 2. Cosmetics is an area of focus - have developed capabilities for colour cosmetics 3. Pet food is an emerging market - not easy to crack and Influx has been investing in this since 2022 and expect to reap rewards now ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐„๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง: 1. ๐˜ฝ๐™ง๐™ค๐™ฌ๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ž๐™š๐™ก๐™™ - ๐˜พ๐™ค๐™ข๐™ฅ๐™ก๐™š๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ก๐™ฎ ๐™ค๐™› ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™ฉ๐™š๐™ง๐™ฃ๐™–๐™ก ๐™–๐™˜๐™˜๐™ง๐™ช๐™–๐™ก๐™จ - Capacity at existing unit increased by 60% * - Includes new granulation line, capsule line (increases capsule capacity by 4x) โ–ถ๏ธSo revenue potential in my view should be 170-180Cr from this unit 2. ๐™‚๐™ง๐™š๐™š๐™ฃ๐™›๐™ž๐™š๐™ก๐™™ - ๐™Š๐™ช๐™ฉ ๐™ค๐™› ๐™„๐™‹๐™Š ๐™›๐™ช๐™ฃ๐™™๐™จ: - Expected completion by Marโ€™25/Aprโ€™25 - This unit will increase overall capacity by 2.5-3.0x โฉ๏ธSo revenue potential from both units will be 450-500Cr View on Promoter Mr Munir: Superb clarity & immense Passion for the business ____________________________________ No projections shared by management. But my view: ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„: ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐‚๐ซโœ… (Brownfield expansion) ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐„: ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐‚๐ซโœ… (New unit at 40-50% utilisation) ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐„: ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ“๐‚๐ซ (Ramp up new unit to 85-90% utilisation) A very strong consumer wellness co trading at 15x FY26E ; 9x FY27E vs peers / proxies at 30-35PE ______________________________________ * Unlocked 40% of capacity at existing unit i.e. utilisation which was 93% would now be at 53-55%. This means 60-65% increase in overall capacity NOTE: Not a buy / sell reco | DYODD
๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐‡๐ž๐š๐ฅ๐ญ๐ก๐ญ๐ž๐œ๐ก (Update) A ๐‘๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐‚๐ƒ๐Œ๐Ž / ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ž๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ฒ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐’๐Œ๐„ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ž Main Board quality company on SME platform โœ…Promoter quality Manufacturing facility - Both are TOP Notch Detailed analysis๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿป ________________________________ Co is engaged in CDMO (end-to-end right from ๐๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ฅ๐จ๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐š) for Nutraceutical brands ๐Ÿ”น๐’๐ž๐ซ๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐จ๐ฉ ๐ง๐ฎ๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐›๐ซ๐š๐ง๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ฅ: 1. Carbamide Forte (products - superb ratings on Amazon) 2. โ  Divine nutrition - one of a well known brand in supplement etc 3. โ In talks with ON nutrition (US based- considered one of the top of industry) ๐Ÿ”น๐•๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐  ๐›๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐จ๐๐ž๐ฅ: - Net debt free - โ Historical consistent Operating Cash Flows (OCF) to EBITDA of 50-60% - โ Continuous capex over last 3-4 yrs funded out of internal accruals ๐Ÿ”น๐„๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ - ๐‚๐จ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ž๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐ฌ (๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง) & ๐•๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐š๐ซ๐ฒ - Setting up separate lines for these out of IPO funds - Focus is on increasing this contribution from 5% currently to 15-20% in next 3 yrs ๐Ÿ”นCapex from IPO funds : ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ“๐ฑ ๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐›๐ฒ ๐€๐ฉ๐ซโ€™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ” (9 months from now) - ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ โœ… ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐ž๐ฑ ๐Ÿ”นFinancials/Projections (conservative): FY25: Rev 105Cr ; PAT 13.4Cr FY26E: Rev 175Cr ; PAT 23-24Crโœ… ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐„: ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ“๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ–-๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ โœ… Margin profile in line with peers like Zeon Lifesciences (unlisted) gives additional comfort ๐Ÿ”นPeer comparison (can check tagged tweet) - ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ญ ๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ% ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐จ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐‚๐ƒ๐Œ๐Ž / ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ญ ๐ฆ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐ฌ - No direct competitors, covered proxies (CDMO pharma, Nutraceutical brand owners, Consumer contract mfr) _________________________________ Disc: Not a buy / sell reco | DYODD
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๐‹๐“ ๐„๐ฅ๐ž๐ฏ๐š๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐‚๐Œ๐ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐„๐ฅ๐ž๐ฏ๐š๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ฒ Currently mainly doing B2G and B2B But, recently acquired Ricardo Elevators, which is a ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐  ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ฒ๐ž๐ซ ๐ข๐ง ๐‡๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐„๐ฅ๐ž๐ฏ๐š๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ (๐๐Ÿ๐‚) - Home Elevators is a 2000Cr market seeing much stronger growth than traditional elevator market - This is a brand play which entails higher multiples โœ…Ricardoโ€™s ๐ฆ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ก๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ซ๐๐ž๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ง ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐š๐ญ ๐Ÿ”๐‚๐ซ โœ…๐Ÿ๐Ÿ– ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ ๐š๐œ๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ˆ๐ง๐๐ข๐š ๐„๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐  ๐ฌ๐ฒ๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ: LTโ€™s R&D, Manufacturing , execution capabilities Ricardoโ€™s product range, Brand and retail presence Video below gives a gist of Ricardo (itโ€™s a bit dated) ___________________________________ Massive expansion: LT has plans to expand its manufacturing facility to ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ“๐ฑโœ… ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ (to commence in 12 months) FY26E: Rev 110Cr ; PAT 17Cr ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐„: ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ (๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ฅ ๐‘๐ข๐œ๐š๐ซ๐๐จ) ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ’๐‚๐ซโœ… (Based on order book - ss 3) Not a buy / sell reco | DYODD
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๐“๐š๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐š๐ง ๐Œ๐๐’ (Update) I have added at these levels (after a guidance cut, stock has been hammered disproportionately) Recent positives: 1๏ธโƒฃAppointed Anand Mohan as Global Sales Head - prior experience 7yrs at Propel (one of the leading domestic competitors - ๐ก๐ž๐ฅ๐ฉ๐ž๐ ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐›๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ ๐‚๐ซ ๐ข๐ง ๐Ÿ•๐ฒ๐ซ๐ฌ) 2๏ธโƒฃOrders worth 34 Cr won in Decโ€™25, expecting most to be shipped out in Q4 itself ๐“๐š๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐š๐ง ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐š๐œ๐ก๐ข๐ž๐ฏ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐‚๐ซ ๐๐€๐“ ๐ข๐ง ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ” & ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ ๐š๐ญ ๐‚๐€๐†๐‘ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ% ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ ๐ง๐ž๐ฑ๐ญ ๐Ÿ-๐Ÿ‘ ๐ฒ๐ซ๐ฌ ๐‚๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ค๐ข๐ง๐ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ, ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐ซ๐š & ๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐ก๐ข๐ฉ ๐ ๐ž๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“-๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ ๐๐„ (Covered in detail below) Current MCap just 210Cr ___________________________________ 1๏ธโƒฃ๐’๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐จ๐ซ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ: - Among the top domestic players in this segment. Competing with likes of Propel, Puzzolana, etc - High acceptance in export markets gives further conviction on its product quality 2๏ธโƒฃ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐š๐ซ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ: - 110,000 sqft automated facility - Strong In house R&D capabilities - Revenue potential of 250Cr from existing infra itself 3๏ธโƒฃ๐๐ซ๐จ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐Œ๐š๐ง๐š๐ ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ: - Covered above - appointed sales head of Propel โœ…This move will help boost exports in markets like Africa, Russia, Middle East (exports was impacted due to US tariffs) Ground level checks done with the competitors on the product, business seasonality , etc all of which checks out No buy / sell reco | DYODD
๐“๐š๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐š๐ง ๐Œ๐๐’ - ๐‚๐Œ๐ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ“ (MCap 227 Cr) Sector - Capital Goods ๐Ÿญ Taurian is manufacturer of crushers, screeners, etc used mainly in mining, infra, etc ___________________________________ Amazing product and top notch quality (ground checks) ๐‰๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ‘-๐Ÿ’ ๐จ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐œ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ฒ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ & ๐Ÿ‘ ๐Œ๐๐‚๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐จ๐ซ๐ ๐š๐ง๐ข๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ฒ (This product requires higher tech / engineering) Taurian is the only these few players having ๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐š๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ ๐œ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ/๐ฌ๐œ๐ซ๐ž๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ (Upto 800TPH)โœ… โœ…๐“๐จ๐ฉ ๐œ๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ฅ๐ž - ๐‹&๐“, ๐‡๐‚๐‚, ๐“๐š๐ญ๐š, ๐†๐ฅ๐จ๐›๐š๐ฅ ๐€๐ญ๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐œ 110,000 sqft state of the art manufacturing facility (unlike majority SMEs having jugadu facilities 2-3 galas of 10,000 sqft each) ๐‚๐ฎ๐ซ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ% ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ž๐ฌ ๐›๐ข๐  ๐ก๐ž๐š๐๐ซ๐จ๐จ๐ฆโœ… ___________________________________ Dynamic 2nd gen promoter - he will easily grow the business 70-80% CAGR FY25: Rev 74Cr ; PAT 10Cr ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„: ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ“๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐‚๐ซโœ… FY27E: Rev 240Cr ; PAT 35Cr Capital goods companies with this kind of product line in my view ๐๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ซ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“-๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ ๐๐„ (๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐š๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ.๐Ÿ“๐๐„ ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„ ; ๐Ÿ”.๐Ÿ“๐๐„ ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐„) โœ… _____________________________________ Other growth areas: M-Sand machines is a big growth area - with govt moving towards banning of river sand mining, this will gain big traction. Taurian has entire range Superior product quality has opened up export markets - Co expects 40% of revenue from exports next year (was negligible in FY25) Waste processing in another sector which company could explore Note: NOT a buy / sell reco | DYODD
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๐€๐Ÿ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ ๐‡๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ (Update) Finally, the 3rd aircraft has arrived !! โœ…Will give big boost to Q4 Ground checks suggest even Q3 should be all time high So on track for: ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„: ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ ๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ“๐‚๐ซ _______________________________ Further with 4th aircraft expected soon: ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐„: ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ โœ…Trading at just 16.5 PE (FY26E) ; 10PE (FY27E) Further with preferential funds received (despite bad market & all the negativity around the stock), can expect ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ž๐ฅ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐Ÿ ๐ฐ๐ข๐๐ž ๐›๐จ๐๐ฒ ๐š๐ข๐ซ๐œ๐ซ๐š๐Ÿ๐ญ๐ฌ (๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ•) as well which will be a massive massive trigger Not a buy / sell reco | DYODD
๐€๐Ÿ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ ๐‡๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ (Update) Good numbers H1FY26 performance: Rev: 240Cr vs 150Cr HoH vs 89Cr YoY ๐๐€๐“: ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ“๐‚๐ซ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ๐‡๐จ๐‡ ๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐‚๐ซ ๐˜๐จ๐˜ Q1 performance had been out of the park and co has maintained that performance in Q2 ____________________________________ Now key is to track 3rd and 4th aircraft. Expecting these to come in soon 1๏ธโƒฃExisting capacity: 44 tonnes ๐“๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ญ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ— ๐๐„ (๐š๐ง๐ง๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐‡๐Ÿ) - ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐›๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ซ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ“๐๐„ BUT, MAINLY, HUGE EXPANSIONโ€ฆ 2๏ธโƒฃBy Q4FY26: Capacity 110 tonnes And with fund raise plans in place 3๏ธโƒฃBy Q2FY27: Capacity 220 tonnes 4๏ธโƒฃ๐๐ฒ ๐๐Ÿ’๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•: ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ ๐ญ๐จ๐ง๐ง๐ž๐ฌ So with ๐Ÿ•-๐Ÿ–๐ฑ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐งโœ… ๐ข๐ง ๐ฉ๐ข๐ฉ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐ž, ๐๐ˆ๐† ๐๐ˆ๐† ๐ง๐จ๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐›๐ฅ๐ž. Just need patience considering delays due to inherent limitations of this sector DYODD | Not a buy / sell reco
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๐…๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก๐š๐ซ๐š ๐€๐ ๐ซ๐จ (Update) ๐’๐ฉ๐š๐ข๐ง ๐š๐œ๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง - ๐’๐š๐ซ๐š๐ฌ๐š: ๐€ ๐๐ˆ๐† ๐†๐š๐ฆ๐ž ๐‚๐ก๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž๐ซ ๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐ฅ ๐ฌ๐ก๐ข๐Ÿ๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐š ๐๐Ÿ๐‚ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ฒโœ…, but more importantly: Freshara will be one of the very very rare companies with own ๐›๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ฅ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ซ๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐œ๐ก๐š๐ข๐ง - right from sourcing directly from farmers to selling under its own brand in leading retail chains like Walmart ____________________________________ ๐€๐œ๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ“๐‚๐ซ (๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ฅ ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ“๐‚๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ) ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐š ๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐›๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž Spain is the largest producer of olives globally. This acquisition opens many potential opportunities for Freshara: 1๏ธโƒฃEntry into retail chains like Walmart (currently Sarasa only selling in Spain) : Getting shelf space in Walmart in the US / UK is not an easy task. But Spanish olives brands have got preference with 3-4 brands already selling there 2๏ธโƒฃFreshara will start selling its own products (Gherkins, etc) under brand โ€˜Sarasaโ€™ & easier to push this as well in retail chains ___________________________________ Mgmt Guidance: FY26E: Rev 325Cr ; PAT 33-35Cr FY27E: Rev 600Cr (incl 200Cr Spain) ; PAT 60-62Cr โœ…๐“๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ญ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ•๐๐„ (๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ• ๐›๐š๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ) ; ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ% ๐๐Ÿ๐‚ ๐›๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ !! ___________________________________ More on the turnaround plan for Sarasa and numbers soon ๐Ÿ”œ Not a buy / sell reco | DYODD
๐…๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก๐š๐ซ๐š ๐€๐ ๐ซ๐จ (Alpha Ideas meet update) โ–ช๏ธ3rd largest Gherkins exporter. ๐†๐จ๐š๐ฅ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ง๐จ. ๐Ÿ (๐ฅ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ) ๐›๐ฒ ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•/๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–โœ… โ–ช๏ธGherkins taste matters a lot - it is customised for each geography, customer stickiness also higher so not exactly a commodity play, but more B2B consumer play โ–ช๏ธCurrently exporting to 40 countries, plans to take this to 80 by FY27 โ–ช๏ธ๐–๐š๐ฅ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐ญ๐ž ๐ฅ๐š๐›๐ž๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ซ expected next month (Sepโ€™25)โœ… โ–ช๏ธNew products like Baby corn, jalapeรฑos, etc have lot of potential and to drive growth _________________________________ Now coming to the numbers (my view)โ€ฆ FY25: Revenue 250Cr ; PAT 29Cr New unit which started in Janโ€™25, alone has revenue potential of 250-300 Croreโœ…โœ… Currently, running at 45-50% utilisation, with plans to ramp up to 90% by Marโ€™26 ๐’๐จ, ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„: ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ–-๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซโœ… Further, few inorganic opportunities being evaluated and further capex being planned ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐„: ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ-๐Ÿ”๐Ÿ’๐‚๐ซ View on Promoter Mr Junaid: Purely focused on execution with a well defined business plan NOTE: Not a buy/sell reco | DYODD
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Wealth Solitaire retweeted
Thanks times for recognizing @Zappfresh.
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๐ƒ๐’๐Œ ๐…๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก ๐…๐จ๐จ๐๐ฌ (๐™๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก) - Concall Update Revenue ambition of 1000 Crore๐Ÿ”ฅ Key takeaways: FอŸiอŸnอŸaอŸnอŸcอŸiอŸaอŸlอŸsอŸ:อŸ 1. ๐‡๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐œ๐ก ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ž๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ง ๐‡๐Ÿ (as H1 sees festivals like Navratra, Shraddh, etc) 2. Margin improvement due to increased efficiency in Fish & Mutton categories. โœ…๐Œ๐š๐ง๐š๐ ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ž๐ž๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐ฌ๐œ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐ข๐ง ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ AอŸdอŸdอŸiอŸtอŸiอŸoอŸnอŸaอŸlอŸ อŸGอŸrอŸoอŸwอŸtอŸhอŸ อŸLอŸeอŸvอŸeอŸrอŸsอŸ:อŸ 3. Big inorganic plans: Co at advanced stages for 2 acquisitions in the ๐’๐ง๐š๐œ๐ค๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ง๐ ๐‘๐“๐‚ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ž โœ…. These are ๐›๐ข๐  ๐ฌ๐ข๐ณ๐ž๐ ๐จ๐ง๐ž๐ฌ.โœ… โœ…Co has a brilliant track record of acquiring struggling assets and turning around within 6-12 months (๐ฌ๐ž๐ž ๐Ÿ‘๐ซ๐ ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐Ÿ”ฝ). So anything on these lines will be huge boost for FY27 4. Local meat shop tie ups: Pilot project of 15-20 stores done in Bangalore. โœ…๐‹๐จ๐จ๐ค๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐จ ๐ซ๐š๐ฆ๐ฉ ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐›๐ข๐  ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ž - not baked this in projections 5. Public private partnerships: In talks with certain State Govts for a PPP to improve local meat ecosystem โœ…Even if Co can ๐œ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ค ๐Ÿ ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ž, ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐›๐ž ๐ก๐ฎ๐ ๐ž Previous FY27 projections are excluding Local meat shops , PPP and inorganic. If that kicks in, ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ• ๐œ๐š๐ง ๐›๐ž ๐‡๐”๐†๐„! โ‡๏ธ _____________________________ FY26E: Rev 220Cr ; PAT 17Cr FY27E (excl above levers): Rev 320Cr ; PAT 24-25Cr FY27E (incl above levers): Rev 400Cr ; PAT 30Cr โœ…๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐‚๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ ๐›๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ญ ๐Ÿ•๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ–๐ŸŽ% ๐š๐ฏ๐š๐ข๐ฅ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐š๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐๐„ ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐„ vs other brands at 30-35 forward PE with 30-40% CAGR No buy / sell reco | DYODD
๐ƒ๐’๐Œ ๐…๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก ๐…๐จ๐จ๐๐ฌ (๐™๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก) - Update Superb H1 nos H1FY26 performance: Rev 96Cr vs 66Cr YoY PAT 7Cr๐Ÿ”ฅ vs 2.5Cr YoY ๐…๐ฎ๐ซ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ, ๐‡๐Ÿ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐›๐ž ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐Œ๐ž๐š๐ญ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ข๐ง ๐ฐ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ซ (Q3 & Q4) โ–ถ๏ธ FY26E: Rev 220Cr ; PAT 17Cr (vs FY25 Rev 131Cr ; PAT 9Cr) IPO funds full impact in FY27 โ–ถ๏ธ FY27E: Rev 320Cr ; PAT 24-25Crโœ… _________________________________ Profitable D2C with high growth available at very reasonable valuations: FY26 basis: 1.8x revenue ; 22x PE FY27 basis: 1.3x revenue ; 16x PE v/s Exorbitant valuations of other platform / D2C businesses DYODD | Not a buy / sell reco
4
15
72
22,499
Phantom Digital (Business Update) โฉ๏ธ๐Ž๐ซ๐๐ž๐ซ ๐›๐จ๐จ๐ค ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐š๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ž๐œ๐ญโ€™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ๐‚๐ซ ๐š๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐‰๐ฎ๐งโ€™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐‡๐Ÿ ๐ง๐จ๐ฌ ๐š๐ฅ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ ๐›๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ. Huge order book gives ๐ฏ๐ข๐ฌ๐ข๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฌ๐ž ๐ง๐จ๐ฌ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฅ Tippet consolidation from Julโ€™25 and Milk consolidation from Octโ€™25 โœ…Collections of 14Crore (20% of Sepโ€™25 Receivables) in Oct-Nov Trading at just 9PE FY26E ; 6-7PE FY27E Not a buy / sell reco | DYODD
๐๐ก๐š๐ง๐ญ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ƒ๐ข๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅ (H1FY26 Update) Absolute BLOCKBUSTER set ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ Beyond everyoneโ€™s expectations. ๐๐จ๐ฐ ๐š๐ญ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ—๐๐„ ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„ ๐›๐š๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ In my view, ๐ƒ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ซ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐š๐ญ ๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐๐„: 1. Creative capabilities super portfolio of brands (Tippett, Milk, etc) 2. Serving Marquee customers directly: Netflix, Marvel, Warner Bros 3. High margin business: 20% PAT 4. Growth outlook of 70% (current year 100-120%) ____________________________________ H1FY26 performance: Revenue: 89Cr vs 35Cr YoY vs 64Cr HoH (vs management guidance 65Cr) ๐๐€๐“: ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐‚๐ซ ๐Ÿ”ฅ vs 8Cr YoY vs 12Cr HoH (vs management guidance 13Cr) ๐€๐›๐จ๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Œ๐ข๐ฅ๐ค ๐š๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ ๐ช๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐“๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ž๐ญ๐ญ. ๐ˆ๐ง ๐‡๐Ÿ ๐ฐ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ฌ๐ž๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐“๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ž๐ญ๐ญ ๐ง๐จ๐ฌ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐Œ๐ข๐ฅ๐ค ๐ง๐จ๐ฌ. ๐’๐จ ๐ข๐ฆ๐š๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ___________________________________ Market had been discounting / punishing phantom due to not meeting guidances in FY25 - but did not care to understand that entire industry was suffering then due to sudden external factors โœ…Now with this performance exceeding guidance big way huge valuation mismatch, potential for huge re-rating ___________________________________ Industry checks: 1. Big turnaround in VFX is already underway 2. Strong order inflow and very good collections recently Phantom is best poised to benefit with its creative capabilities and especially with recent acquisitions of top studios in US and Europe: Tippett and Milk
1
6
36
9,881
๐๐ก๐š๐ง๐ญ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ƒ๐ข๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅ (H1FY26 Update) Absolute BLOCKBUSTER set ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ Beyond everyoneโ€™s expectations. ๐๐จ๐ฐ ๐š๐ญ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ—๐๐„ ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„ ๐›๐š๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ In my view, ๐ƒ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ซ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐š๐ญ ๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐๐„: 1. Creative capabilities super portfolio of brands (Tippett, Milk, etc) 2. Serving Marquee customers directly: Netflix, Marvel, Warner Bros 3. High margin business: 20% PAT 4. Growth outlook of 70% (current year 100-120%) ____________________________________ H1FY26 performance: Revenue: 89Cr vs 35Cr YoY vs 64Cr HoH (vs management guidance 65Cr) ๐๐€๐“: ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐‚๐ซ ๐Ÿ”ฅ vs 8Cr YoY vs 12Cr HoH (vs management guidance 13Cr) ๐€๐›๐จ๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Œ๐ข๐ฅ๐ค ๐š๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ ๐ช๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐“๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ž๐ญ๐ญ. ๐ˆ๐ง ๐‡๐Ÿ ๐ฐ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ฌ๐ž๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐“๐ข๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ž๐ญ๐ญ ๐ง๐จ๐ฌ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐Œ๐ข๐ฅ๐ค ๐ง๐จ๐ฌ. ๐’๐จ ๐ข๐ฆ๐š๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ___________________________________ Market had been discounting / punishing phantom due to not meeting guidances in FY25 - but did not care to understand that entire industry was suffering then due to sudden external factors โœ…Now with this performance exceeding guidance big way huge valuation mismatch, potential for huge re-rating ___________________________________ Industry checks: 1. Big turnaround in VFX is already underway 2. Strong order inflow and very good collections recently Phantom is best poised to benefit with its creative capabilities and especially with recent acquisitions of top studios in US and Europe: Tippett and Milk
8
11
65
21,739
๐’๐ญ๐š๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ฆ๐š๐ ๐ข๐ง๐  (๐”๐ฉ๐๐š๐ญ๐ž) Very strong H1 performance H1FY26: Rev 45Cr ; PAT 10Crโœ… ๐Ž๐ง ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ค ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„: ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ‘๐‚๐ซ โ–ถ๏ธRecent B2C and B2B expansion to see impact in H2 ______________________________________ Further full impact of IPO funds in FY27 ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐„: ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–๐‚๐ซ ๐๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐š๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐ก๐ž๐š๐ฉ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ข๐š๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐œ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐œ๐ค. Just 11PE FY26E ; 8PE FY27E Poised for re-rating DYODD | No buy / sell reco
๐’๐ญ๐š๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ฆ๐š๐ ๐ข๐ง๐  (๐”๐ฉ๐๐š๐ญ๐ž) โœ…๐๐Ÿ๐ ๐ญ๐ข๐ž ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐Ÿ’ ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ to be added over next 6 months โฉ๏ธAlso since these will be within the hospital, ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ž๐๐ข๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐จ๐จ๐ญ๐Ÿ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ. ๐’๐จ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง / ๐ซ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐Ÿ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฅ๐Ÿ Star Imaging currently has 4 B2C centres generating 45Crore revenue. ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ฌ๐ž ๐Ÿ’ ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง ๐๐Ÿ๐ ๐œ๐š๐ง ๐š๐ฅ๐ฌ๐จ ๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐‚๐ซ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐š๐๐๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž (assuming these might be smaller ones) After yesterdayโ€™s update on B2C centre expansion, now this. Seems like ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐›๐ข๐  ๐จ๐ง ๐๐Ÿ๐‚ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐๐Ÿ๐ ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐œ๐ก ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ข๐  ๐ซ๐ž-๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ โœ…โœ… Not a buy / sell reco | DYODD
1
5
25
7,286
๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐‡๐ž๐š๐ฅ๐ญ๐ก๐ญ๐ž๐œ๐ก (๐œ๐จ๐ง๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐๐š๐ญ๐ž) What a superb concall. This business will definitely ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ญ ๐š๐ญ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ข๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ at the appropriate time A few takeaways: 1๏ธโƒฃCapacity expanded by 30% in H1FY26. โœ…๐๐ฒ ๐‰๐ฎ๐งโ€™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”, ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐จ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ% ๐ข.๐ž. ๐Ÿ.๐Ÿ“๐ฑ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ________________________________ 2๏ธโƒฃLargest client - Carbamide Forte has grown 4x in last 18 months. Influx is best positioned to serve them with its certifications etc โœ… ๐ƒ๐ž๐๐ข๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ญ / ๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฆ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ž ๐ฆ๐š๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐š๐ซ๐ž๐š ๐“๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐‡๐ข๐ง๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ง ๐…๐จ๐จ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐‡๐”๐‹, ๐’๐œ๐ก๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฌ, ๐ž๐ญ๐œ (see ss 2 and 3) ________________________________ 3๏ธโƒฃProjections: FY26 guidance Rev 160Cr ; PAT 24Cr โœ…๐‚๐š๐ง ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐œ๐ก ๐จ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง (๐Ÿ—๐ŸŽ%) ๐›๐ฒ ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ– ๐ข.๐ž. ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž __________________________________ See full concall notes here โ–ถ๏ธ x.com/sachprat07/status/1988โ€ฆ DYODD | Not a buy / sell reco
๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐‡๐ž๐š๐ฅ๐ญ๐ก๐ญ๐ž๐œ๐ก (H1 Update) Very very strong set H1FY26: Rev 69Cr ; PAT 10Cr ๐Ÿ”ฅ (vs guidance of 8.5Cr PAT) Expanded capacity (out of internal accruals) in August to October will see full impact in H2FY26 ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„: ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐‚๐ซ Also just look at the ๐›๐š๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ฌ๐ก๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ช๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ซ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐ง๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ง๐š๐ง๐œ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ฌ , ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ฎ๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐  โœ… ___________________________________ Further, above is without IPO funds usage ๐๐ˆ๐† ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ž๐ซ๐ฐ๐š๐ฒ FY27E: Rev 250Cr ; PAT 38Cr FY28E: Rev 370Cr ; PAT 52Cr ๐‚๐ก๐ž๐š๐ฉ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ญ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ– ๐๐„ (๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„) ; ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐๐„ (๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐„) I feel in the future, company will be compared to the likes of Hindustan Foods, which are trading at 50PE __________________________ Will post concall update soon Not a buy / sell reco | DYODD
7
30
9,101
๐€๐Ÿ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ ๐‡๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ (Update) Good numbers H1FY26 performance: Rev: 240Cr vs 150Cr HoH vs 89Cr YoY ๐๐€๐“: ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ“๐‚๐ซ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ๐‡๐จ๐‡ ๐ฏ๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐‚๐ซ ๐˜๐จ๐˜ Q1 performance had been out of the park and co has maintained that performance in Q2 ____________________________________ Now key is to track 3rd and 4th aircraft. Expecting these to come in soon 1๏ธโƒฃExisting capacity: 44 tonnes ๐“๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ญ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ— ๐๐„ (๐š๐ง๐ง๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐‡๐Ÿ) - ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐›๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ซ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ“๐๐„ BUT, MAINLY, HUGE EXPANSIONโ€ฆ 2๏ธโƒฃBy Q4FY26: Capacity 110 tonnes And with fund raise plans in place 3๏ธโƒฃBy Q2FY27: Capacity 220 tonnes 4๏ธโƒฃ๐๐ฒ ๐๐Ÿ’๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•: ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ ๐ญ๐จ๐ง๐ง๐ž๐ฌ So with ๐Ÿ•-๐Ÿ–๐ฑ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐งโœ… ๐ข๐ง ๐ฉ๐ข๐ฉ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐ž, ๐๐ˆ๐† ๐๐ˆ๐† ๐ง๐จ๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐›๐ฅ๐ž. Just need patience considering delays due to inherent limitations of this sector DYODD | Not a buy / sell reco
๐€๐Ÿ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ ๐‡๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ (Alpha Ideas Meet update) Good presentation - Iโ€™ll cover just an ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ž๐ž๐ญ (have covered all aspects previously so wonโ€™t repeat) _____________________________________ Existing aircraft: - 2 Boeing 737 at 85% utilisation - Major destinations Male, Hanoi, Myanmar, Bangkok New aircraft: - ๐Ÿ‘๐ซ๐ ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ• ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐Ÿ–-๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ๐ญ๐ก ๐’๐ž๐ฉ๐ญโ€™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“โœ… (๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ง ๐ง๐ž๐ฑ๐ญ ๐Ÿ-๐Ÿ‘ ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ค) - ๐Ÿ’๐ญ๐ก ๐Ÿ•๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ• ๐›๐ฒ ๐„๐š๐ซ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ž๐œ๐ญโ€™๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“โœ… - 5th 737 by Marโ€™26 Further, 2 Boeing 777 (wide body with 5x capacity vs 737) to be inducted by Decโ€™26 Faced some delays due to more stringent checks by Regulators after the recent Air India incident Note: Not a buy / sell reco | DYODD
2
10
42
25,739
๐ƒ๐’๐Œ ๐…๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก ๐…๐จ๐จ๐๐ฌ (๐™๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก) - Update Superb H1 nos H1FY26 performance: Rev 96Cr vs 66Cr YoY PAT 7Cr๐Ÿ”ฅ vs 2.5Cr YoY ๐…๐ฎ๐ซ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ, ๐‡๐Ÿ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐›๐ž ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐Œ๐ž๐š๐ญ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ข๐ง ๐ฐ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ซ (Q3 & Q4) โ–ถ๏ธ FY26E: Rev 220Cr ; PAT 17Cr (vs FY25 Rev 131Cr ; PAT 9Cr) IPO funds full impact in FY27 โ–ถ๏ธ FY27E: Rev 320Cr ; PAT 24-25Crโœ… _________________________________ Profitable D2C with high growth available at very reasonable valuations: FY26 basis: 1.8x revenue ; 22x PE FY27 basis: 1.3x revenue ; 16x PE v/s Exorbitant valuations of other platform / D2C businesses DYODD | Not a buy / sell reco
๐ƒ๐’๐Œ ๐…๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก ๐…๐จ๐จ๐๐ฌ (๐™๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก) - Update โœ…๐™๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐œ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ค๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐๐ž ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ โ€˜๐๐ซ๐จ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐กโ€™ - Very few new age consumer brands have managed to do this A view on the business model below๐Ÿ”ฝ _________________________________ ๐Œ๐ž๐š๐ญ ๐ฆ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐ข๐ง ๐ˆ๐ง๐๐ข๐š ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐š ๐ฆ๐š๐ฃ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐›๐ฅ๐ž๐ฆ - Being 90% unorganised, absence of integrated supply chain and cold chain facilities leads to Poor quality , hygiene ๐™๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฏ๐ข๐š ๐š ๐Ÿ๐š๐ซ๐ฆ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ค ๐ฆ๐จ๐๐ž๐ฅ with an integrated supply chain - incl end-to-end cold chain facilties, delivering within 24hrs __________________________________ Omnichannel strategy: ๐Ÿ. ๐ƒ๐Ÿ๐‚ (๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ% ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐›๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ) - Targeting the mass segment with pricing 10-15% cheaper than licious and competitive (slightly higher) than local meat shops - Personally liked the app a lot - superb interface / UI , easy tracking, etc ๐Ÿ. ๐‡๐จ๐ซ๐ž๐œ๐š ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ: - Supplying to select food service chains like Pop Tates, Tibbs, etc - Supply chain for meat is much more intensive than groceries etc. Hence, โœ…๐™๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ก ๐ข๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ค๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐‡๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž (๐™๐จ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐จ), Zepto - (already existing customers) ๐Ÿ‘. ๐Œ๐ž๐š๐ญ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฉ๐ฌ: - Unique offline strategy where Co ties up with local meat shops โœ…๐„๐ง๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ฑ๐ž๐ ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ญ๐š๐ค๐ž ๐๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ฎ๐ข๐ฅ๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐€๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ญ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ญ (๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ ๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐ž๐ฑ) _________________________________ ๐๐จ๐ข๐ง๐ญ ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ ๐ฆ๐š๐ค๐ž๐ฌ ๐ข๐ญ ๐‚๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐š ๐ก๐ฎ๐ ๐ž ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ฒ ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐›๐จ๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ž-๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐œ๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฒ / ๐๐ข๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฆ๐ž Licious struggling since 3 years, with no growth (stuck at 700-800Cr) and burning huge cash (majorly in marketing) On the other hand, Zappfresh has carved a niche with its pricing & omnichannel strategy without going berserk on marketing spends _________________________________ Will cover Growth potential soon ๐Ÿ”œ (Valuation covered in tagged tweet) Note: Not a buy/sell reco | DYODD
3
11
35
27,183
๐’๐ญ๐š๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ฆ๐š๐ ๐ข๐ง๐  (๐”๐ฉ๐๐š๐ญ๐ž) โœ…๐๐Ÿ๐ ๐ญ๐ข๐ž ๐ฎ๐ฉ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐Ÿ’ ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ to be added over next 6 months โฉ๏ธAlso since these will be within the hospital, ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ž๐๐ข๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐จ๐จ๐ญ๐Ÿ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ. ๐’๐จ ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง / ๐ซ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐š๐ฒ ๐Ÿ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฅ๐Ÿ Star Imaging currently has 4 B2C centres generating 45Crore revenue. ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ฌ๐ž ๐Ÿ’ ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง ๐๐Ÿ๐ ๐œ๐š๐ง ๐š๐ฅ๐ฌ๐จ ๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“ ๐‚๐ซ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐š๐๐๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž (assuming these might be smaller ones) After yesterdayโ€™s update on B2C centre expansion, now this. Seems like ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ ๐จ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐›๐ข๐  ๐จ๐ง ๐๐Ÿ๐‚ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐๐Ÿ๐ ๐ฐ๐ก๐ข๐œ๐ก ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ข๐  ๐ซ๐ž-๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ โœ…โœ… Not a buy / sell reco | DYODD
๐’๐ญ๐š๐ซ ๐ˆ๐ฆ๐š๐ ๐ข๐ง๐  (๐”๐ฉ๐๐š๐ญ๐ž) I have added more. Now part of high conviction portfolio Key updates (see ss): 1๏ธโƒฃ๐‘๐ž-๐ž๐ฆ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ž๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ž๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐‚๐†๐‡๐’ ๐ฌ๐œ๐ก๐ž๐ฆ๐ž โ–ช๏ธWith 4 B2C centres in UP, considering the micro market population in these areas, there is easy potential to add revenue of 12Cr from CGHS linked footfall itself โ–ช๏ธHoS company was previously doing 20Cr revenue from CGHS scheme 2๏ธโƒฃ๐„๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง ๐๐Ÿ๐‚ ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ž ๐š๐ญ ๐•๐ข๐ค๐š๐ฌ ๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข โ–ช๏ธAdded 1 CT scan and 3 MRI machines - this should roughly mean additional revenue potential of 3-4Crore p.a. โ–ช๏ธFurther, radiology margins are much higher operating leverage as these machines are in existing space โ–ถ๏ธ๐’๐จ ๐š๐ฅ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ% ๐จ๐ซ๐ ๐š๐ง๐ข๐œ ๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก ๐š๐๐๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐š๐›๐จ๐ฏ๐ž ๐Ÿ. โฉ๏ธ๐†๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ก ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ˆ๐๐Ž ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐›๐ž ๐š๐๐๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ _______________________________________ โœ…Further, industry checks suggest UP ๐™‚๐™ค๐™ซ๐™ฉ ๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ฎ๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ ๐™™๐™š๐™ก๐™–๐™ฎ๐™จ ๐™๐™–๐™ซ๐™š ๐™—๐™š๐™š๐™ฃ ๐™ง๐™š๐™จ๐™ค๐™ก๐™ซ๐™š๐™™ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ข๐™ค๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™˜๐™ค๐™ข๐™ฅ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ž๐™š๐™จ ๐™๐™–๐™ซ๐™š ๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™–๐™ง๐™ฉ๐™š๐™™ ๐™ง๐™š๐™˜๐™š๐™ž๐™ซ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ž๐™ง ๐™™๐™ช๐™š๐™จ FY26E: Rev 110Cr ; PAT 22Cr FY27E: Rev 140Cr ; PAT 28Cr ๐’๐ญ๐š๐ซ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ญ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐๐„ ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„ vs Chandan Healthcare at 23PE vs other main board peers at 30-35PE ๐˜ฝ๐™ฎ ๐™›๐™–๐™ง ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™˜๐™๐™š๐™–๐™ฅ๐™š๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™™๐™ž๐™–๐™œ๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™จ๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™˜ ๐™จ๐™๐™–๐™ง๐™š. With CGHS re-empanelment and if itโ€™s true that receivables issue is resolved, ๐๐ˆ๐† ๐๐ˆ๐† ๐ซ๐ž-๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐œ๐š๐ง๐๐ข๐๐š๐ญ๐ž For more details, my previous tweetโ–ถ๏ธ x.com/wealthsolitaire/statusโ€ฆ Not a buy / sell reco | DYODD
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๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐‡๐ž๐š๐ฅ๐ญ๐ก๐ญ๐ž๐œ๐ก (H1 Update) Very very strong set H1FY26: Rev 69Cr ; PAT 10Cr ๐Ÿ”ฅ (vs guidance of 8.5Cr PAT) Expanded capacity (out of internal accruals) in August to October will see full impact in H2FY26 ๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„: ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ๐‚๐ซ ; ๐๐€๐“ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ’๐‚๐ซ Also just look at the ๐›๐š๐ฅ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ฌ๐ก๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ช๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐›๐ซ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐ง๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ง๐š๐ง๐œ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ฌ , ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ฎ๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐  โœ… ___________________________________ Further, above is without IPO funds usage ๐๐ˆ๐† ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐š๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ž๐ซ๐ฐ๐š๐ฒ FY27E: Rev 250Cr ; PAT 38Cr FY28E: Rev 370Cr ; PAT 52Cr ๐‚๐ก๐ž๐š๐ฉ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐š๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐š๐ญ ๐ฃ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ– ๐๐„ (๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ”๐„) ; ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐๐„ (๐…๐˜๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐„) I feel in the future, company will be compared to the likes of Hindustan Foods, which are trading at 50PE __________________________ Will post concall update soon Not a buy / sell reco | DYODD
๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐‡๐ž๐š๐ฅ๐ญ๐ก๐ญ๐ž๐œ๐ก (Update) ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐ฎ๐Ÿ๐š๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐Ÿ”๐ฑโœ… From my limited understanding of the economics: โ–ช๏ธ23,000/hr capsule line might yield revenue of INR 4.5-5 Crore โ–ช๏ธThe new 122,000/hr capsule line should yield ๐š๐๐๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ˆ๐๐‘ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ ๐‚๐ซ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐š๐ญ ๐จ๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐š๐ฅ ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง โœ…โœ… (So this new line added ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ซ๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ฅ๐ž๐š๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐š๐ง๐จ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ ๐Ÿ๐ŸŽ-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“% ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐ข๐ง ๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐š๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ)
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