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Joined July 2015
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I think what most people are wondering is: what exactly does Trump gain from a deal with Iran after everything that's happened?
Yes, Iran has suffered significant military losses and had key assets destroyed. But beyond degrading Iran's military capabilities, what is the strategic victory for the United States? If the costs of the war outweigh the benefits, it's fair to ask what the U.S. ultimately achieved.
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The United States' primary oil distribution hub, Cushing, is running dangerously low on crude, according to CNN.
If the war with Iran continues and the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted, the U.S. could face an energy crisis within weeks as critical oil inventories approach operational minimums.
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I actually think a peace deal could end up crashing the stock market.
Markets have been rallying on the expectation of a peace deal for quite some time. If one finally materializes, which I still doubt, it could turn into a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" event.
At that point, there may be little left to drive further upside, especially in an already overbought tech market.
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