Joined February 2025
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Jun 5
The illusions of peace and victory are very dangerous...
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Hezbollah claims to have hit a Namer "command" APC, however, the footage shows what is likely a Namer CVE with combat engineering equipment.
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Some people have pointed out that the improvised launcher points toward the 358, which I completely agree with.
However, the wings do seem a bit too straight — though this could just be a camera angle issue.
Another note: when the Ghaem-118 was seized en route to Yemen, it was not in a launch container.
Reviewing footage from Iran, the system is not canisterized per se. It does not use a sealed container with cold launch; rather, it is simply a rail housed inside a protective container. The missile have to be even prepared outside the container then loaded before launch.
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Another note: in both the known Ghaem-118 seeker footage from the Iran war and Hezbollah’s latest footage, we can clearly see an outer horizontal triangular targeting mark (open box). In known 358 seeker footage, that mark is absent.
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And the last note: Hezbollah is well known to possess 358 missiles, so why would it blur the missile in this footage when it is openly releasing clear, high-quality footage of its precision-guided ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and drones?
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Looks like Hezbollah has gotten its hands on Iran's latest Ghaem-118 interceptor. Used it to take down a Heron drone earlier n the week. Another evidence that supplies from Iran continue, and with the Lebanese state in complete control of ports and the airport, the most likely route is Syria.
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From another angle of the interception, the interceptor used is clearly much smaller than the Heron — possibly even smaller than the 358.
On the right, we see the moment of impact with no large object visible, which further suggests that the interceptor is closer in size to the Ghaem-118. However, angles and frame rates can be deceptive.
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Hezbollah has released the footage, there are signs that this may be indeed a Ghaem-118, but also that it could be a 358 interceptor — seen before with the group.
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For comparison, here's the Ghaem-118 in action against an Israeli Hermes 900 drone over Iran during the last war.
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Trump will likely hold it against Julani for refusing his invitation. However, we should remember that Trump’s support for Julani is based purely on corruption. In that sense, Trump is simply getting what he’s owed—so it’s all business, nothing personal...
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After five years of sobriety, I returned to drinking last year, for very, very convincing reasons... Anyway, I think I have easily tried over 500 types of beers over the past year, but for some reason, not even known to me, I just like Amstel the most!
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Jun 12
It is not about Julani being a failure or not. Tens of thousands of Sunnis died fighting in the SAA under Assad's command, these people have families, they have fathers, brothers, and so on. What happened in Syria was a civil war, if you expect one side to let go of its loss, you are daydreaming.
Last night, the streets of Tel Rifaat in Aleppo were filled with graffiti praising Assad and defying Jolani.
This settlement is Sunni. Jolani is such a failure that the people in the area now long for the days they once considered hell.
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Jun 12
Ghazal Ghazal had a very strong start, but later failed to capitalize on the large support base he managed to amass, mainly because he failed to build a real political structure enabling communication with the community. From the start, he basically isolated himself.
Those close to Ghazal are very uneducated on political work, extremely difficult to have any sort of conversation wit them with, and likely push anyone trying to approach him away.
For sure Ghazal still has large support, and remains a unifying figure in the community, but yeah, he can't go on like this.
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Jun 12
Thank you @TulsiGabbard for making sure to transfer ISIS remnants to Iraq during the battle in northeast Syria. If it was not for her efforts, these terrorists would have been freed now.
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Jun 12
An agreement to hold more talks on the hope of reaching a real agreement is an off ramp...
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Jun 12
This started embarrassing, actually ended up impressive!
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Jun 12
It is lost on people how Morocco, for a long time, has normalized the practice of purchasing Israel weapons. That's even before it joined the Abrahamic Accords! Fascinating!
Jun 12
فيديو لمنظومة الدفاع الجوي باراك إم إكس التابعة للجيش المغربي
في حرب رمضان استخدمت الإمارات أيضا هذه المنظومة التي كانت في الخدمة لديها، لكننا تمكنا من التغلب على منظومة باراك أيضًا.
وبالنظر إلى أوجه التعاون التي بدأت مع الجزائر منذ مدة طويلة،1/2
🇩🇿🇲🇦🇮🇷
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Jun 11
Apr 27
A large convoy of trailers transporting over 70 Toyota Land Cruiser technical vehicles has arrived at the Port of Berbera in Somaliland.
The TLCs were then moved overland into Ethiopia 🇪🇹 and are believed to be heading towards Asosa, possibly destined for the RSF in Sudan 🇸🇩.
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Jun 11
Julani is apparently trying to dodge the visit, or rather the trap:
"Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa has received an invitation to travel to the United States on June 14, according to a diplomatic source cited by AFP.
The source did not confirm whether al-Sharaa will accept the invitation."
Jun 11
It looks like Trump is done with the fourplay with Syria, on Sunday, he will likely ask Julani to go into Lebanon, especially if no deal with Iran is reached by then. I'm sure Damascus does not want to do that, but do you think they can say no to Trump's face in the White House? I don't think so...
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