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1/7
MiroFish simulation: China's AI and electronics export surge is unlikely to trigger one clean Western trade wall in 90 days. The likelier path is fragmented pressure with coordinated rhetoric and targeted enforcement.
6/7
Tipping point: another strong month of China AI/electronics exports plus visible tariff front-loading before a G7 window. That could turn shared concern into coordinated procedures.
7/7
Bottom line: expect harder G7 language, more EU trade cases, tighter U.S. enforcement, and corporate front-loading. Not a full trade war yet, but the system moves closer one headline at a time.
ICC Prosecutor Karim Khan's suspension creates a 90-day stress test: does the Court look like an institution with procedures, or like a personality-driven office whose biggest cases can be politically discredited?
Supporter states face a balancing act. If they defend the Court too aggressively, they look like they excuse misconduct. If they stay quiet, critics define the scandal as institutional rot.
Bottom line for the next 90 days: the ICC probably contains the shock, but does not escape it. Expect continuity in legal machinery, delay at the margins, and a louder legitimacy fight.