A week ago I deposited $17 on @Polymarket Didn't trade elections. Not crypto. Not geopolitics Found a strategy on weather markets - and just let it run. Checked my account 1-2 times a day. Nothing else Today's balance: ~$33-34. $17 → $34 in one week. Deposit doubled Weather markets are the least competitive niche on Polymarket. Almost nobody looks there Account in comments

World Cup just started. $2.2B already traded on who wins it The entire 2022 World Cup generated less volume on all prediction markets combined We're still in the group stage 54 matches left. 5 weeks of football ahead By the time the final whistle blows at MetLife - this number will look completely different This is just the beginning

89% combined probability. Market leaves 11% on the table. That's the only number that matters @weatherscan_bot signal: Seoul, June 14 - forecast max 26°C. I'm buying all four ranges: 24°C (2.8¢) 25°C (10¢) 26°C (41¢) 27°C (39¢) Four bets. One needs to hit. The math does the rest Bot: t.me/weatherscan_bot?start=r… Market: polymarket.com/event/highest…

Polymarket just launched combo bets for the World Cup Combine multiple YES/NO predictions into one on-chain parlay Someone already put $10 on a 7-leg combo at 43.5x potential Mexico vs South Africa market hit $13M in volume on day one $1M in liquidity rewards running through July 19 This is what happens when prediction markets meet sports betting infrastructure Traditional sportsbooks had parlays for decades. Polymarket just made them transparent and on-chain

2 days of paper-testing. Already found something unexpected The bot kept sending TWO signals for the same city, 1°C apart I thought it was a bug. Turns out it's an edge 27 signals analyzed: > Paired signals: 57% win rate > Single signals: 23% win rate > When paired: result ALWAYS closer to the higher temp Strategy: ignore single signals. Take only pairs. Bet the higher temperature Simulated results over 2 days ($10/bet): $140 invested → $214 returned → $74 ( 52.5%) Still paper-testing. But 57% win rate on a pattern I found by accident is hard to ignore

$1 million in liquidity rewards for World Cup traders $2B already traded on World Cup markets Polymarket didn't just add football. They made it worth showing up for Best timing to join: before the tournament starts

Weather markets run on math, not intuition @weatherscan_bot signal: Seoul, June 12 - forecast max 24.0°C. I'm buying two ranges: 24°C (37¢) 25°C (38¢) Combined probability: 75%. Market leaves 25% on the table. That gap is the whole point One hits - I'm green t.me/weatherscan_bot?start=r…

Moscow wasn't a coincidence London. Same day. Same behavior: First alert: 16°C Second alert: 17°C 4 seconds apart Market resolved: 17°C at 99.9% Two cities. Two self-corrections. Both exact This is starting to look less like luck and more like a system

Two alerts. Same city. Same market. 4 seconds apart First alert: Moscow max temp = 29°C Second alert: Moscow max temp = 30°C I thought it was a bug Market resolved today: 30°C at 100% The bot didn't glitch. It corrected itself Here's the context: I changed strategy a few days ago. Stopped chasing 1-5% odds - only 5% of those bets could double. Switched to 10-50% range First signal under the new approach. And it self-corrected to the exact outcome I don't know if this is luck or the system working But for the first time in weeks - I think I'm close

Combos are coming to polymarket.com very soon. If you're a market maker, start quoting from tomorrow with our simple SDKs 👀

Anthropic just released the most powerful AI model ever made publicly available Claude Fable 5 - Mythos-class. Today. For everyone Here's what it can actually do: > 50 million lines of Ruby code migrated in 1 day (a full team needs 2 months) > SWE-Bench Pro: 80.3% vs GPT-5.5's score > Drug candidates designed autonomously in life sciences > Plays Slay the Spire with persistent memory 3x better than Opus 4.8 The catch: cybersecurity, biology, and chemistry queries fall back to Opus 4.8 Free on Pro/Max/Team until June 22. After that - usage credits required Anthropic released this 4 days after warning AI is getting too dangerous to control

$1.7 billion already traded on World Cup 2026 markets And the tournament hasn't even started yet But look closer at the odds: France 16%. Spain 16%. England 11%. Portugal 10% Portugal at 10% with Ronaldo potentially playing his last World Cup ever That's either the market seeing something everyone else is missing Or 10% is exactly where sentimental value ends and cold probability begins Golden Boot: Mbappé 17%, Kane 12%, Messi only 5% The market already moved on from the GOAT

OpenAI just filed for IPO at $852 billion valuation And published their manifesto the same day Three goals: > Build an automated AI researcher by March 2028 > Accelerate the global economy > Give every person on Earth a personal AGI This isn't a product announcement. This is a pitch to Wall Street 900 million weekly users. $852B valuation. Personal AGI for 8 billion people The ambition is either the biggest vision in tech history or the biggest IPO hype ever @Polymarket will have a market on this soon

Big month ahead for Polymarket High trading volumes are expected during 2026 World Cup What are you focused on predicting this month?

Google just turned NotebookLM into a research engine Not a note-taking app anymore Now it runs on Gemini 3.5, writes and executes its own code, searches Google automatically, and exports results in PDF, docx, Excel, CSV - directly from the panel 65% win rate vs previous version. 78% in advanced search The part nobody's talking about: it starts researching from scratch without your documents You just give it an idea. It b uilds the knowledge base itself

Day 4 with @weatherscan_bot Still building my own bot in parallel. Still learning Then I see this: Seoul, 24°C, June 8 - $6.60 in, $20.00 out. 23% No guessing. Just forecast range That's the standard I'm building toward. For now - I'm using the tool that's already there t.me/weatherscan_bot?start=r…