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After nearly 3.5 years running this account and over 6 years in the financial markets, I’m preparing to share one of my most important posts yet.
I recently revisited my X analytics, and it’s fascinating to see the breakdown of where you all come from, your age groups, and what topics truly resonate with you. At first, I was a bit disappointed by my absolute numbers. But when I looked closer, I realised something critical.
Since I started this journey with professional intentions from the start, these stats are the ultimate pulse check. They don’t just show growth: They prove whether or not I’m actually hitting the goals I set from day one.
I’ll be honest: When I first began my public journey, my goals were mainly centred on absolute numbers. I believed that high reach and massive impressions were the only true benchmarks of success on social media. While that may be the case for many, I realised very early on that I didn't want to produce the kind of content required to chase those empty numbers.
I have always aimed to provide genuine value and quality, though I didn’t always know the best way to deliver it. I am a firm believer in learning by doing. Looking back at my earliest posts, while far from perfect, I can proudly say that the core logic and principles are things I would still stand by today. Over the last few years, my market analysis has sharpened, my writing has become more concise, and my post structure has become far more intentional.
Looking back at some of my earliest posts, it’s clear that my entry into the financial markets wasn't my first encounter with high-consequence, high-reward probabilistic environments. Before I ever placed a trade, I was already navigating spaces where the margin for error was slim and the stakes were significant. These posts serve as a window into that foundation:
Emotions: x.com/_MaxO22_/status/174248…
The secret life of whales: x.com/_MaxO22_/status/174906…
Liquidity cycles: x.com/_MaxO22_/status/177251…
My mental game has always been my greatest strength. Early on, I realised that in a probabilistic environment, analysis alone has limited utility. The true edge lies in execution. However, I also recognised that liquidity and the underlying mechanics of the market are what truly drive price action, so I committed to studying these elements intensively from the very beginning.
You might not believe me, but I’ve been profitable since I entered the market in 2020. I very slowly dipped my toe in, but went big into investments in 2022 after a lot of study. There are actually many great German financial education accounts, and with my integrated skills for detecting scams quite quickly, I never really got rekt by any of such.
Over the last 3.5 years, this account has become a deep repository of that knowledge and experience. It is a rabbit hole filled with the insights I've gathered along the way. While there are numerous gems buried in my post history, I recognise that not everyone has the time to sift through years of content to find them. More to that later.
Now, let’s look at my account data.
Generating 2.5 million impressions is a milestone I am incredibly proud of for an account of my size. But the more significant story is the engagement. My engagement rate is currently sitting at 7.9%, a figure that stands in stark contrast to the platform average of 0.12%.
The most important statistic to me, however, is the bookmarks. 10k bookmarks is exactly reflecting my core values. My content is not just a pump and dump one-hit wonder, people save it for later because they see enough value to return to it again. This is a huge honour, and I’m grateful that people value my content so highly.
Another interesting thing becomes obvious by simply looking at the engagement and bar diagrams. Last summer, I had very high traffic and interest, which has been stalling ever since. There are some clear and obvious reasons for that:
First, the market topped out late last year and I have been bearish ever since. Bearish content doesn't sell as much. But as I’ve said many times before, I’m not here to entertain the masses and their hopes and dreams with altcoins.
Second, I was bullish and long throughout Q2 and Q3. All the tourists that piled in around the top and on the way found bias validation in my content and so they interacted with it and enjoyed it more.
The good thing is, I have zero problems with the fact that it's dropping now. I choose high quality people over mass entertainment. My posts will not hit that dopamine button or validate group biases on a daily basis, that so many still chase. In this statement i even include the ones who think they are educating themselves by looking at 30 different opinions or setups for others a day.
From a professional perspective, my progress has been a huge success. I started monetising my personal brand last year, after two years of building, and I have made almost six figures in just over a year from my social media presence alone. I harvest all of these profits with my taxes legally optimised to 0% by taking the risk to move to a foreign country. Plan made. Plan executed.
Many with much bigger accounts need years to reach such numbers, and in this space, 90% of those who do reach them only do so by scamming their followers. I can stand tall and say proudly that I earned every penny honestly. Sure, the hourly rate is far beyond what you would earn in a traditional job, but that’s the whole idea of becoming financially free, isn't it?
None of this would be possible without the trust and support you give me. I am very glad to have you all as a community. Thank you for everything and below this post, a present is waiting for you.
Throughout my journey, I haven’t faced hate so far. Not even once. I did face disagreement and opposition when I first decided to monetize the knowledge I’ve built, but that is totally normal and it never really bothered me. In reality, most would do exactly the same if they could, and if they had spent the same amount of time and energy acquiring the skills I have now.
If you are thinking about starting social media, don’t let yourself be held back by fears of judgment or rejection. That said it might not for everyone, but in order to know you need to try it yourself, if you feel the urge to do so. Public pressure feels high sometimes, though it is often self-made. It can be a path through the fire, but after a walking through such a fire, that little flame of fear of judgment or simply the need to please people in daily life, becomes nothing.
It can be one of the most rewarding on both a spiritual and material level. To me, a thank you from someone I’ve helped is worth more than every dollar I make, but unfortunately, I haven't figured out how to live off sunlight alone, and the things I love, like freedom and skiing, are simply expensive.
A personal brand is leverage for everything you do or launch afterward. Once built and maintained with heart, it is yours forever.
I made many sacrifices along the way, many of which don’t even feel like real sacrifices looking back. Other sacrifices were more painful, but there is no such thing in this life as something for nothing. For everything you want, you must give something in return. If it is not now, you will pay later. This is simply a law of the universe that nobody can dodge.
The questions I found clear answers to over the past years are worth more than gold:
· What do I really want in life?
·How do I get it in the most rewarding and effective way?
· What am I really willing to pay for it?
Do you know these answers already? Let me know.
After seeing how many people are saving my posts with bookmarks, I’ve prepared the following replies as a present for all your support. I’ve categorised the most valuable content I’ve ever posted to make it as streamlined and time-efficient as possible for you to learn everything I know.
There is much more on my feed for those who have more time and seek a deeper look into how I perceive the markets and the world.
Check the replies below ⬇️
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Money is like energy, it cannot be lost, it only transforms from one form into another.
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Prologe:
Yesterday i took some time the study the past. I started in the 60s as our modern fiat system has its roots there. For my research i took three charts as example how money never leaves the markets, its only transferred from one asset to another or from one hand to the next.
My examples here are the S&P which represents the 500 largest companies from the US. The DXY aka the Dollar Index, which tells me the strength of the dollar or better said how many people are currently "invested" in it rather than in other assets.
Sure interest rates also determine how strong the dollar is, because they decide how many and how easy new dollars enter the market, but it also acts as dominance chart like BTC.D for example. The more people leave other assets the hold $ the stronger it gets.
Higher interest rates makes it more attractive to sell other assets to get a relatively risk free return.
So i thought, if i track the strength of the biggest currency combined with the biggest and oldest assets and one of the best economy indicators, i get i really good picture of where and how the money flows, in certain market conditions.
Of course you cannot only relay on the past to make decisions, but it can show you how many different conditions this market went already through. We tend take only a small part of our past and project it on the future, because measured in our lifetime 20 years is quite long. Especially if we are young. For the market it isn’t and some things take a lot longer to play out than we expect.
Why do i start in the 1960s and not earlier? It was the beginn of the new era as we know it. The new order if you like. The gold standard was removed and all the power over the market and currencies was given to the governments. A free market that's not so free anymore. Since then the powerful are able to control how much money there is and how high the cost of living will be.
Even if you just believe a little in freedom you will surly agree that this has nothing to do with a free economy in which only the best things have a future, by pure natural selection.
Why do we have so much cracks in our system?
Imagine nations as companies. A company which doesn’t provide anything useful or delivers the things they promised. They would loose customers with a blink if an eye. Sure there always will be black sheep which lie and trick and make a fortune with that. Im not saying that every politician or leader in our system is a black sheep, but the percentage is a lot higher than in the rest of our economy.
As poop always falls from top to bottom, you just to have a look into the highest level of these “companies”. The management is often very bad and the costumers are just used for their money, their votes and their work power. This behaviour wouldn’t last very long if everybody had to stand up for their mistakes.
In our current system nearly nobody stands up for their mistakes. They cover up the mess and blame somebody else. The worst thing is the on the highest management level they even print their own money when they need it, to finance their bad decisions and own needs. It's the worst environment for a good and healthy performance ever. A company on the open market which is designed that way wouldn’t survive very long and would be replaced by one which does it right.
Back to the charts:
The first chart i brought today is from the 1960s to the 1990s. There is a lot of information compressed into one picture. Nearly 30 years of data in one second.
As you can see the 1960s where not a good decade for holders. If you bought the bottom in 1959 and sold the top on 1973 your performance was around 200% and only if you where able to buy the exact bottom and sell the exact top. So the indices where ranging in that period. If you picked the right stocks in that time you could make a fortune for sure, but thats a lot harder the just passive investing, like nowadays everybody preaches.
The removal of the gold standard was 1969. A bad time to buy gold as it first went down around 30% for three years. Seems like “buy the news” was never a good idea after all. Then gold begann its first gnarly run and the devaluation of the dollar begann. Gold and also Oil sucked all the liquidity out of the S&P and the dollar. I wont cover too much of all the “crises” along the way, as i deeply believe most of these are just man made and are there to justify big wealth redistributions. The prices determine the news an not the other way other around.
After the first big run smart money was taking profits on gold and reallocate back into the dollar and stocks. Smart money might also be very aware of the big changes to the monetary system and so they knew whats gonna happen. It was a great time to be an investor, if you knew what these changes mean, because with self printed dollar the celling of the financial market were suddenly limitless. If you were just a normal person working normal job and try to store some money for the future, these changes were obviously very bad for you.
My guess is most people didn’t know and didn’t care about financial stuff like that and lost over the years a lot of their time, money and health. Inflation skyrocketed and suddenly your savings were worth shit.
1976 gold went for another crazy run which almost looks a little bit like the 2017 bitcoin bullrun. Stocks where ranging and it was the area of commodities with silver spiking to 50$. Seems like a lot of people started to understand what was going on. The only bad thing was that gold was going down around 20 years from its peak, so it really wasn’t a good hedge against inflation back then. 1981 a big recession hit the economy and nobody seem to care about gold in that time.
The dollar was gaining its strength back in the 80s due to ridiculous high interest rates in that time. It was the snapback. Imagine if you want to build a business or a a house in that time and you had to pay 15% on your loan. Maybe not so healthy after all to play with the money supply like its monopoly. But with the strong dollar and all the liquidity outflows of gold the economy eventually recovered.
The dollar was on the rise, till the interest rates went back below 10%. After that the money flowed into the economy and stocks went crazy, till 1987 when the black Monday hit the market.
1.71 trillion dollar where “lost” on that day, but as we already know, money doesn’t get lost. It just changes owner from time to time. In the same time gold started to recover a little bit but it took a lot longer to get back to its ATH.
What can we learn from that time?
I think theres a lot to learn from.
First it shows me that it somehow predictable because it's controlled. But because its controlled also means its not gonna be easy to navigate the market over a long period of time, because it will always change when most people believe to know something.
Changing the rules of the market might be good for some, but the majority lost on these decisions. I my opinion it was one of the first steps to start establishing control over the people globally. Who rules the money rules the world and central banks, which where once a control organ of the economy now became a weapon.
The control over the money supply the control over the market lays since then in the hands of a small group of people, which doesn’t seem to care about the greater good.
Unfortunately everybody is part of the market. Some consciously , but most not. The majority is playing this game without even knowing. The market is everything you need for your daily life. It decides how much you have after you covered your basic needs and even how much of your basic needs can be covered.
In the western world the market might let you life a life full of luxury and you might only complain that you don’t have as much as the rich guy next door, but for 90% on this planet the reality is that they even struggle to survive.
How can it be that in a world full of everything, i mean food literally grows in the earth, so many people still have to fight for survival while others spend insane amounts on useless dumb stuff.
To play the market is the only way to not get play by it, thats why i decided that i want to master this game. Its one of the most useful skill in our current world, if you don’t want to work your whole life for somebody else and their needs. But its also one of the most useless skills if you think about what it really provides for this world. It provides nothing.
With a free open market where nobody is able to control our medium for exchange a lot would be better, i deeply believe in that. Maybe we reached an era where we can achieve this freedom from our suppressors, but they wont make it easy for us.
Always remember the money you take from this market is not created by nothing, somebody has to pay for it. And i mean not only the guy sitting on the other side of your trade and fumbles his life savings on leverage without experience, i also mean the price 90% of the people pay for your freedom.
Somebody has to build all the stuff you use. Somebody has to grow the food you eat. Somebody has to get fucked by inflation without even knowing, for all the new money which gets printed.
I think the next year/decade will be really different to what we are used to. In my opinion the latest events are just the beginning and it's time to free ourself from the system. And this system is a lot more than the government/elites and their games. If you are not able to provide for your self and your basic needs without the market, you will always be a part of it.
I really hope for you that you make a fortune here, but also i hope you wont forget to ask yourself what it is, that you can provide for this planet.
What is it that you can do for a greater good. Mastering this game is great for getting financial free, but being real free means a lot more than having a lot of money.
Imagine you are able to grow your own food or build your own stuff for you and your family someday and don’t need the market or industry for that.
For me that's real freedom.
What means freedom for you?
Thanks for reading to this point. Next up 1990s till now. Chart is already done, but the text will get to long for one post.
I wish you a great day. ✌️
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There seems to be some confusion about my stance on the markets. Let me clarify that real quick.
When I say people should focus more on investing or swing trading, I say it because out of every 100 people I see trying to become traders, roughly 90 never find any proven consistency.
But out of those 90, about 80 run around acting like they are the biggest roosters in the yard because they know some fancy words and concepts they don't really understand. It makes them feel superior, while they completely lack the discipline and mindset needed to actually make it work.
Most simply take trading knowledge they don't understand, use it to slap their bias onto their favourite shitcoin, and call it trading. If a trade fails, they open up their favourite group chat or turn to an influencer to look for more bias confirmation or just a little more certainty.
Out of the remaining 10%, you might find actual proof of profitability in maybe 3 or 4 of them. So yes, when I say that trading is not for everybody and that most would be better off focusing on investing in real assets with real value, that build a real product and create real revenue, I mean it.
Once you have built this base for the majority of your funds, you can always decide to increase the difficulty level by refining your entries and execution, using leverage, for example. Most people do it completely backward, though. They start with the most difficult assets and instruments and wonder why it's so hard. It's like removing the front wheel and brakes from your bike before you even know how to ride it normally.
Trading needs to be learned with small funds. In the meantime, your focus should be on not underperforming the average investor who is pulling in 10% a year consistently without ever timing the market. Sure, it takes decades to build wealth that way, but long-term growth is far better than the consistent, short-term wealth burning the average trading bro keeps doing.
Major stock market indexes are something entirely different from speculative single stocks or altcoins. Zoom out and look at the charts. One group retraces all its moves every other month, the other is trending for decades and barely retraces more than 50% of its moves even after a 10x or 20x run. If you don't see the opportunity in that, you haven't learned anything.
This doesn't mean more aggressive assets can't or shouldn't be traded, but the difficulty, time, and energy required to make them work increase by a lot. Performance potential does too, of course, if you can execute properly in these more difficult arenas.
Nor does this mean you shouldn't try to time the market. You absolutely should. But if you try too hard to outsmart the market instead of just listening to what it’s telling you, you're going to sit on the sidelines and miss out on massive opportunities.
I’ve said it many times before and I will say it many times again: Until you can consistently outperform US majors, focus on that first and increase the difficulty gradually.
You think all those big funds and publicly proven traders are idiots? Just look at their performance.
I trade LTFs sometimes if i got the time and play a refined stock-picking swing strategy as my main trading approach, alongside being invested in US majors, because until proven otherwise, they are the easiest money play out there.
I currently have several leveraged longs and shorts running, and I’ve proven my average performance more than once. I outperform the majority of the market using only a fraction of my time, leaving me free to focus on living my life completely. I view myself as a refined investor who layers in swing trading whenever the asset demands it.
Learning the mechanics of trading gave me the opportunity to short effectively and maximise my margin through leverage. Armed with this knowledge, I can navigate even the most volatile and difficult assets out there without getting burned, if I so choose
Core-Satellite it is.
When the time comes and US majors start trading sideways, that's when the right knowledge pays off, helping you take profits and re-enter at the right time.
It’s not a question of if, but when.
There is absolutely nothing wrong with studying the charts and refining your approach. But if your strategy causes you to miss out on the easiest money plays, leaves you constantly burned out, and forces you to watch inflation eat your capital during a bull run after paying all your gains back every other month, you are doing it wrong.
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While I wait for my core HTF plays to mature, I'm busy chasing the mare and her foal that just broke free.
She got spooked after hurting herself and it's no easy task winning the trust of a powerful animal like her.
Every day a new adventure up here. Volatility is here to stay, and time flies in the Year of the Horse, I guess. 🔥 🐎
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If you're hesitating to build long-term investment positions because you've been burned by crypto volatility, this post is for you.
Take a look at the data:
· 26 years of compressed data in one picture.
· 9,300 days of a secular bull run starting in 1974.
· More than two decades of macro upside following a 20-year sideways grind.
Imagine how many people stayed fully sidelined, calling the "top" at every minor correction.
Secular runs can last much longer than your patience. It pays to stay on the right side of the macro trend. People say you can't time the market because those who try usually end up too cautious. They try to outsmart one simple, historical truth:
Real markets trend up the majority of the time.
Yes, there will be brutal corrections along the way. Eventually, we will face a prolonged HTF range and a drawdown of 50% or more.
But if you catch the right side of the trend early enough, like the 26-year, 2,000% run shown here, even a massive bear market won't destroy you.
Remember: This isn’t crypto, where a 50% dump is just a typical Tuesday. In equities, that's a generation-defining buying opportunity.
The only people who get absolutely rekt are those who FOMO in at the absolute macro top.
Are we late in the current cycle? Maybe. It’s always smart to scale out and extract capital when the market gets boiling hot. But until the chart proves otherwise, fighting the primary trend is a losing battle.
The wildest stat? During that entire 26-year run, only $1.3T in volume was traded. Today, single tech stocks are worth nearly three times that amount.
That is the raw power of fiat inflation. A perpetual bull run in equities isn't magic, it's mechanics. In a system built on endless money printing, the only way to preserve your purchasing power is to stay invested in hard assets.
The current macro run, born out of the 2008 financial crisis, tells an incredible story:
Duration: It has been climbing for around 6,300 days.
Capital: It has absorbed over $13T in volume, a staggering ten times more liquidity than the previous era.
Performance: We are currently sitting roughly 950% above that secular low.
Statistically speaking, this bull market could run for another 3,000 days and it still wouldn't break historical precedents. Have we seen painful corrections along the way? Absolutely. But so far, every single dip has ultimately turned out to be a great buying opportunity.
People frequently say the SPX has never looked like this and that's exactly why we must crash. I highly recommend actually looking at the charts first. Valuations might be significantly higher than ever before, but so is the global money supply and the sheer number of people participating in these markets today.
This parabolic expansion won’t last forever.
We are likely entering or have already entered the most vertical, aggressive phase of the macro cycle, the kind that inevitably comes tumbling down sooner or later. Enjoy the trend while it lasts, but don't get blinded by the green. It is officially time to look for structural hedges and avoid getting too careless.
But until the trend officially breaks? The data says you stay on the right side of the tracks. Don't try to outsmart a secular bull market.
So many people have been completely broken by their crypto experiences, both financially and mentally.
Because of crypto's extreme, unnatural volatility, a generation of traders started to believe it was the only asset class capable of generating life-changing wealth.
But that’s the ultimate trap. If you stay completely on the sidelines out of fear, you get silently hollowed out by fiat inflation. Eventually, crypto-only investors will wake up to the steady, compounding power of the stock market.
In fact, that rotation is happening right now.
Look no further than major crypto venues launching USDT.P pairs for equities. Capital is actively migrating from pure crypto speculation into the stock market.
We are likely entering the most treacherous window of this macro cycle. This is the phase where the next secular bear market will reach its claws down to swallow late-comers unrealised gains whole.
The stock market will find its absolute macro top the moment every single human with an international bank account and a brokerage app is forced into US equities.
Crypto may have just been the ultimate distraction. A hyper-volatile playground meant to hook the younger generation with rebellion tech, condition them to normalise extreme financial risk, and prime their minds to walk right into the traditional market's largest trap, right before they pull the plug.
But for those who stayed on the right side of history and positioned themselves at the secular macro low? They are fundamentally insulated. At this stage of systemic inflation, prices will likely never drop back to those entry points ever again.
So, what’s the best way to play this?
It's actually simple: Get educated on how real markets move and master the HTF game.
Scale out: Take profits gradually when the market overextends and runs boiling hot.
Scale in: Reallocate capital into bigger orders every time the index drops 5% .
What if the chart keeps printing LLs? Easy. You step aside, sit on your hands, and let the volatility unwind. Once the macro trend confirms to the upside again, you simply hop back in.
If you apply this exact framework to the core chunk of your portfolio, you are already pacing ahead of the average investor. You can always layer active trading or hedging on top if you have the time and the mental bandwidth, but it isn't a requirement.
The tragic irony is that a generation of burned crypto participants are completely missing out on this equity run. Why? Because after getting rekt "investing" they’ve been conditioned to think hyper-active trading is the only way to make it.
They spend 3–4 years on the HTF sidelines. If they don't get completely wiped out, they eventually just give up. They think the market has to be difficult, exhausting, and soul-crushing 24/7 to yield results.
It doesn't. Sometimes, just staying on the right side of a simple macro trend is the most profitable play you can make.
I blame a big part of this trap on the trading education niche. Too many gurus add layers of fake complexity just to make themselves look more valuable.
The reality? A disciplined, long-term investor will easily outperform 90% of aspiring traders, all while spending a fraction of the time and effort.
I’ve shared countless examples and structural breakdowns of my HTF Core-Satellite strategy right here. If you actually want to learn it, the blueprint is free. Just go study my feed.
The Best Part of the Stock Market? If you understand the major indices, you understand individual stocks and sector rotations.
Traditional finance has a mini "altseason" practically every other week as capital rotates from Tech, to Energy, to Healthcare. Meanwhile, the average retail trader is still sidelined, praying that their favourite shitcoin finally makes sense again.
Stop fighting the ghost in the machine.
When in doubt: Choose a real market, and zoom out.
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I don't know about you, but I see a recurring pattern.
The FIFA World Cup is the biggest sports event on this planet, with the 2022 final reaching around 1.5 billion people.
Now you might ask what soccer has to do with the markets, and there are some very simple answers:
First, it makes people connect and talk. Messages, news, and emotions spread much faster in such an environment.
Second, it makes people emotional. Look at the fans, for them it’s a rollercoaster of emotions. Most people who actively engage in this event will experience heightened internal emotions, and the majority won’t be able to stay in control when additional emotional triggers from the outside world or the market come into play.
Third, it makes people consume more alcohol. Alcohol is arguably one of the worst drugs out there, and while I enjoy it at times too, I perform worse in all areas of life when I have too much of it. I become more emotional, weaker, complacent, negative and I see similar patterns in others who consume too much. Football games are a massive trigger and a reason for many to drink a beer or two more than usual.
Fourth, there is a huge betting industry behind all major sports events nowadays. More people get exposed to gambling and the thrill of it. Money is needed for this “hobby”, so why not get rid of those deep red bags from the scam market and doing finally something "smart" with it. After the event is over, many will look for other opportunities to satisfy these freshly unlocked addictions.
Fifth, and probably the most obvious one, it is simply a massive distraction for most people. If you consider that most who were ever going to invest have already entered crypto over the last few years, mostly at the wrong time. It means that the majority is deeply underwater and in pain, but programmed to hold or buy more. A proper distraction from that pain is more than welcome.
Many will leave the market behind, or at least pay less attention and look at the bright side of life, especially with the summer months hitting the Northern Hemisphere as well. Eventually, the cycle resets. Most have capitulated and want nothing to do with the market anymore, and while the biggest opportunities where quietly forming, they have spent their time with BBQ, beer, and football, while smart money was building their positions for the years to come.
Simply look at the timing between the market and the World Cup. Over the past decade, it has repeatedly happened during or after major HTF corrections in the newest and most retail/gambling-oriented market there is. People are desperate after losing it all or merely hoping to get back to break-even, and the World Cup becomes their temporary relief from the pain.
It’s all connected.
Bread and games haven’t vanished, they’ve evolved.
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$SPCX aka SpaceX is launching publicly on June 12.
I’m not a fanboy, but I’ve got to say I have a huge interest in this company. I use #Starlink on a daily basis since my lifestyle involves wandering from remote place to remote place, and I'm a very happy customer overall.
This tech is a massive step toward space travel and already a fully functioning, revenue-generating product.
Overall, it's one of the most interesting IPOs in a long while. The valuation is crazy, though, so once those first lockup periods end, initial sell pressure from early investors might be incredibly high.
They target $135 per share with only around 5% available to trade publicly. Elon holds about 42% of the equity but maintains roughly 82% voting power over his baby due to his Class B stock.
It's most likely gonna get bought up by major ETFs, creating massive buying pressure in the beginning. With so little supply until the first lockup periods, we might see a significant artificial hype rally.
This is what a typical high tier listing looks like: Initial pump, followed by a dump that ultimately establishes the true public price over the coming weeks, months or even years.
I will use the IPO to gain some exposure, starting small. If it gives me the right entries, I'll add some momentum-based LTF positions that can be turned into long-term holds after hitting local TPs.
If you watch my videos, you know exactly what I mean by that.
Don't just fall for the hype and agendas that will go alongside the pumps and dumps on this one. It's gonna be a volatile ride. Look deeper.
Elon can't sell any of his shares until 2027. This is not some meme coin without value to him, it's his purpose, his mission, and its funding requires serious long-term stability. We are talking about a private company that built infrastructure previously only achieved by entire nation-states. While it's a tradable asset like anything else, it's undeniably unique.
Just look at prior IPOs where Elon or other tech elites are involved. It’s rarely a straight line up. As an early investor, your goal is to generate massive public buying pressure first so you have the liquidity to offload later.
Space Sector Momentum & The Macro Liquidity Shift
I bought $RKLB around $80 with my mentees in early May and just locked in massive gains after a clean 100% rally.
Let's see how the broader space sector performs leading up to June 12th. The hype is steadily building, and the SpaceX IPO is most likely going to completely dominate the market's attention and suck up major liquidity right after launch.
Don't just stare at the $SPCX ticker next week. Look deeper into the supply chains that back the entire infrastructure of SpaceX.
They don't build every single component themselves. For a massive venture like global satellite internet and interplanetary space travel, you need high-end suppliers and specialised contractors.
A rising tide lifts all ships.
If you want to play the "picks and shovels" of this historic IPO mania, keep a sharp eye on these secondary plays:
The Metals: Companies like Carpenter Technology ($CRS) and Materion ($MTRN) providing extreme-temp alloys for Starship engines.
The Silicon: STMicroelectronics ($STM), the massive semiconductor backbone pumping out the chips for Starlink terminals.
The Proxies: EchoStar ($SATS), which holds a massive equity stake in SpaceX from a prior spectrum deal.
The whole sector has been doing incredibly well over the past few months and years. This could be the final event for it, creating peak attention, massive hype, and ultimate exit liquidity. Pay attention and play the long game.
Many growth companies in this sector are highly overvalued right now, which doesn't mean they can't go higher, but from a rational perspective, it's better to let prices come to you instead of chasing into a potential top.
Time to put on the tinfoil hat for a second: Look at the broader markets. Crypto just exit-pumped across the board, and the public debut of Elon's crown jewel is happening immediately after. From a capital-rotation perspective, those two events are almost certainly connected. Big money is liquidating crap while real assets keep on rising. Coincidence? I think not.
As Elon famously said: "The final step of DOGE is to delete itself." I would mark July 4th on my calendar if I were you.⏳
x.com/elonmusk/status/186366…
Fun times ahead. My plan for the SpaceX IPO in short:
· Gain a very small amount of long-term exposure on day one. Just in case.
· Momentum scalp the potential initial hype pump using LTF and locking in local TPs, with the option to let a portion ride as a long-term hold.
· Go big on core long-term investments only after a potential repricing occurs following the expiration of the rolling lockup periods.
I recently shared an updated stock list built around my space travel and infrastructure narrative.
10 companies stand out. While some of them are still more narrative-driven growth stocks, others are already established global players or profitable businesses.
Space travel and the infrastructure required for it will be a major theme in the coming years. A lot of these companies are tied to U.S. government contracts, and huge amounts of capital are already flowing into the sector.
And it’s not just exploration driving this development, military and strategic interests will play a massive role as well.
The first country/company to build proper infrastructure up there will gain control over space.
Launch, fuel, software, shielding, satellites, antennas, life support, and manufacturing, these are the key pillars needed to make space travel work. A lot of companies are operating in this sector, and each one brings something important to the bigger picture. The key is to find the ones that either already have, or are aiming to build, a strong position in a critical part of the supply chain.
Some companies may have wild ideas and huge upside potential, but often it makes more sense to focus on the ones that already run profitable, proven business models, like LHX, NOC, BA, LMT, or AIR.
With companies like these, you can build relatively safe base exposure, because the more speculative “space” side of the business is often only a smaller piece of a much broader and already functioning operation. More speculative space names, on the other hand, are often betting almost everything on potential future dominance in one specific niche.
Companies like RKLB, ASTS, LUNR, and PL have very strong ideas, and some of them are already showing real progress. But there are still many variables involved, and space travel remains a dangerous, capital-intensive, and execution-heavy industry.
They are all interesting companies, ranging from established global players to highly speculative growth names. Many of them have already had strong runs over the last few years, but could still continue to perform well in the not-so-distant future.
The newer names especially look like they are in the up-leg of the typical pump-and-dump formation I’ve talked about many times before. And the reality is: These kinds of moves can last for years. If you wait for the “perfect entry” every single time, the entire narrative rotation might already be over by the time you finally decide to act. Adaptation is key.
That’s why it may be difficult to find clean, discount-based entries in this space right now. Regardless, there are still some names I want exposure to, so there will be a way.
The biggest hurdles for this sector remain:
- lowering costs
- reusability
- reliability
There are already rumors of SpaceX going public this year. And if that happens, it would be a major event for the entire sector. Because the truth is: SpaceX is the most advanced company in almost all of these categories.
They currently dominate in:
- Launch frequency
- Launch cost
- Rocket reusability
- Payload delivery
- Operational reliability
They are also the biggest satellite infrastructure company through Starlink, and one of the very few private companies already capable of sending humans into space.
For those reasons and given Elon’s history of taking tradable assets public, I suspect SpaceX would attract a massive share of the liquidity flowing into this sector if it were to launch publicly. That said, it’s important to also watch the supply chain.
For example, RKLB and SpaceX are already connected within the broader space ecosystem, and both could benefit from continued capital rotation into the sector. The same goes for parts of the semiconductor industry, because these ventures require huge amounts of advanced chips, communications hardware, and electronics.
These are just few examples out of many, so keep the supply chain in mind. It is often not just one company that builds an entirely new industry. Entire sectors are usually built by networks of companies, each one controlling a different but important piece of the puzzle.
This could become the modern equivalent of what the East India trading companies once were in the 1600s. But just like back then, the opportunity comes with major risk. This is likely one of the riskiest sectors out there.
Some companies will gain absolute dominance. Many others will fail.
But this does not automatically mean that SpaceX would go public and price is only move up from there. A lot of early private investors have likely been waiting for exactly that kind of event to offload profits from early-stage positions onto public buyers. So it makes sense to also study how other high-profile public launches behaved in the past.
Overall, it’s a company and sector in general that absolutely needs to stay on the radar.
If you are interested, this is my public watchlist of narrative-based stocks I’m watching:
tradingview.com/watchlists/1…
All setups and ideas can be found for free in my Discord.
discord.gg/Q3SespfzN2
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Shifting from being a full-time trader living a simple and quiet life to a high-maintenance lifestyle is more challenging than I would have thought.
Since I left my quiet, undisturbed valley in Georgia, my life has been very demanding. Traveling in a car halfway across the globe alone is already tough.
Where do you find the next water source?
How long will supplies last?
Where is the next spot?
Will everything go smoothly?
These are the questions you have to answer daily, and they take a lot of time and energy.
Now, running this mountain hut, taking care of over 20 animals, and meeting more people in a week than I did in six months in Georgia takes a massive amount of muscle & brainpower. I have developed a whole new respect for those who work a full-time job and/or raise a family at home while still making room for trading and self-education.
For me, those things were my main focus over the past two years, and I had so much time for them that I even needed breaks just to recover. Now that time is limited, I’m happy I focused on the right skill sets: Swing trading and refined investing. With those running in the background, I can focus more on my new lifestyle, which I actually enjoy much more than sitting in front of a screen.
Nevertheless, I maintain consistency. This is what I worked for, and I will keep it up. Time is a resource that needs to be properly allocated, and so is energy. If I had focused mainly on day trading and scalping, I would now lack the patience and control needed to keep positions running without interference.
Integrating into this outdoor lifestyle fuels my fire to join the mountain rescuers once again and finish my training. It's the perfect preparation for the mountain guide certification. Once the volatility of my life has settled and I've established proper routines again, I will do it
Regarding trading, everything is going exactly as it should. Sure, current market developments made me give back some unrealised gains, just like everyone else involved in HTF trading or investing across any asset class.
Life is as volatile as it was four years ago, but I love it. It's during these times that the biggest changes happen. Use it to your advantage.
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Everyone with a family, a job, hobbies, or simply a life should focus on swing trading.
The real edge for most people is building positions around higher timeframes, letting probabilities play out while life continues outside the screen.
Swing trading is about time freedom, location freedom, and scalable upside without turning your day into a constant battle with noise. Swing trading is very different from scalping. It demands patience through unrealised PnL, a solid macro perspective, and the ability to hedge positions with intention.
Once the skill is developed, positions can compound for months or even years. Management becomes minimal. You take a few calculated entries each week or month, while your focus stays on building businesses, experiences, and life outside the charts.
You get paid while you sleep. You operate with clarity instead of noise.
Minimum effort. Maximum result.
If you replace one job with limited time freedom by another that keeps you glued to the charts, you may gain location freedom and scaling potential, but you still sacrifice the most valuable resource: Time.
Without the ability to hold and manage swing positions, trading simply becomes another demanding routine.
Build the foundation first. Develop a style that works alongside your life, not against it. Once consistency is achieved in the most effective league of the game, you can still explore higher-frequency execution if you truly enjoy it, but then from a position of strength.
A solid swing framework pays you while you live your life, not only while you watch the screen.
This is what most people truly want, yet only a small group actually focuses on it. The majority gets pulled into the hardest, most time-consuming part of the game, mistaking constant activity for progress.
The real edge is not being everywhere at once. It is knowing where patience pays the most.
Master patience. Master positioning. Let the market work for you, not against your lifestyle.
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Everything is nuking right now. No exceptions besides currencies.
For those with undefined risk exposure to crypto, now, and every other day of the week, is the time to panic. For those still looking for proper, defined HTF exposure, I still don't think this is it. BTC below $40k first.
For those with exposure to stocks, there is no reason to panic. This might even be a great opportunity to get in or add.
Even if we form a top here, probabilistically speaking, it will most likely take some time and some ranging on majors first. During this range, some sectors might outperform significantly.
For the statistically more unlikely scenario of a straight line down from here, risk should be managed as usual, of course, and potential shorts should be prepared.
No reason to FOMO right now in either direction.
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Some people are just here for the emotional drama, the thrill of action and conflict.
Many content creators feed exactly into that.
It's not just true for the trading niche. It's true for all of social media.
There are really only a few ways to grow and reach people:
One is providing value over a long period of time.
The hardest and slowest path, but the most honest one.
Then there's collaboration with bigger accounts.
A mutual boost. Both sides can benefit when it's done right.
And then there's conflict. Venturing into other bubbles by attacking their leaders or members to grab attention. One of the fastest ways to grow, because most people love drama.
Calling out someone who is actively lying, scamming or hurting people is different. That's fighting for truth. That has value.
But the reality is that more and more people attack others out of boredom, personal insecurities or simply because they want to grow their account faster.
Look around, it's one of the newest strategies the content producer herd has woken up to across all platforms.
Bad publicity is also publicity. Engagement is engagement.
Money amplifies who you really are. The pursuit of it will show your true colours faster than anything else.
Some have no backbone to do what's right and will always take the easiest path, regardless of the cost or the morals attached to it.
If that's you, you're just another product of the system. Doesn't matter if you're clocking into a 9-to-5 or driving a fancy car while working online.
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━━━ LIQUIDITY REPORT ━━━
Outlook from the Inside
Started scaling into a bitcoin:native long here.
Weekend didn't flush. After this HTF SFP with zero follow-through weakness, hedging the short and preparing for a bounce is the move.
▸ ripple:native
Sitting in a HTF BB. Third drive printed. Looks like clean accumulation, almost too textbook so let's see.
Not here for the fundamentals. Just like the chart.
Potential proxy to the BTC long. Scaling slowly today.
▸ Stablecoin Structure
Still splitting leveraged exposure across USDC & USDT.
Single-stablecoin failure risk is real. Two legs = one can collapse and I survive.
Full reasoning video on my feed.
▸ Confluence Stack
✓ bitcoin:native HTF SFP no weakness follow-through
✓ $USDT.D & $USDC.D SFPing weekly highs: Clean invalidation
⚠ Weekly closes on a single 1-min candle: Could be a trap
⚠ Low conviction, combined longs won't exceed 2R
✦ Short still covers everything. Preparation move only.
⬇ Main bias: More downside from here.
These longs are not conviction plays. Just making sure I'm not empty-handed if a bounce runs.
▸ $SPCX
Launches this week. Expecting volatility. Positioned for every outcome.
Thoughts shared last week: Check the feed.
─────────────────────
Video Liquidity Reports returning soon.
Adjusting to the new chapter, written updates continue.
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Side note
A lot has changed in my life recently. The videos will come back. Just need time to breathe and adjust.
Life is taking so much time and focus right now and it's making it harder to show up the way I want to in the markets. Was doing this full time before. Zero distractions. Just trading.
Genuine props to everyone out there making it work while having a full time job or providing for a family. That's a different level of discipline. It's not easy and I have a new respect for it.
Written updates keep coming daily in the meantime.
Appreciate the patience. 🤝
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If you come to a fork in the road, take it.
Overcomplicating and overthinking are among the main issues of modern humans. If you’re reading this, there’s a high chance you rarely face truly life-threatening, high-consequence decisions.
Life is running on easy mode, so make a decision based on the data you have and accept the outcome.
In most cases, you won’t have certainty once you start going your own way instead of following the paved paths the system provides.
So when you reach a fork in the road, take it, or you might starve at the crossroads, never finding out where your path would have led you.
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You can't learn everything from one person.
I had many influential figures in my life. One of my superpowers was always recognizing the best and most genuine people in their field and differentiating them from the pretenders. Of course I chose the best people to learn from, as every smart observer would do.
Yet I also saw their weaknesses. Everybody has them, there is no shame or judgment in that. But it was always important for me to know in which areas of life I could listen to someone and in which areas definitely not.
Someone might be a master in one area or skill of life, but a complete failure in others. This doesn’t make their skills in the first craft any less valuable, but it defines the limits of what I can learn from them.
Defining success is also something very personal. What is a failure to me might be success to others. There is no absolute right or wrong, only what is right or wrong for my life and my family. These are the parameters I use when choosing the people I want to work with or learn from.
All those influential figures in my life taught me different things about life. Life is a vast spectrum of experiences, so it would be foolish to imagine you could learn everything from one single person and their unique worldview. Some taught me business, some taught me love, family & health, others taught me to work with my hands or to mountaineer.
I never elevated someone to hero status, even if he or she was the best in a certain field, because that often makes you blind to weaknesses, and we tend to adopt behaviours from people we admire. People and their values also change over time, so an occasional review makes sense, as even my own values evolve.
What was right for a certain time does not have to be right for the rest of life.
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I talk to people from around the world.
In the last three weeks alone I talked people from 19 different countries, and they are all saying the same things:
• The cost of living is getting too high
• Governments are thugs
• Banks are a scam
• Taxes are too high
• The future doesn’t look very bright
I see it when talking to friends and family back home, when I get to know locals in the countries I travel to, or by working with clients from all over the globe. Yes, in some countries it’s worse than in others, and the funny thing is that it often seems worst in the countries that are considered the “safest.”
The majority sees what’s going on, but almost nobody is taking action against it. We are the many, they are the few, and yet most people let themselves get played, scared of consequences or bound by their own comfort and addictions.
It has come to a point where the ones in power are not even hiding their shameless scams anymore. They do it publicly and nobody seems to care. People just nod when you tell them it’s all a scam, everyone accepting their fate as if there were no other way. But there is. There are many ways, actually, but they are the scarier and harder ones. It’s always harder to go against the stream or find your own way instead of following a paved path with clear signs.
The question remains what happens when decadence reaches its peak, with everyday people not caring and the powerful not giving a damn anymore about hiding their actions or maintaining even a tiny spark of fairness. Looking at history, it’s usually the end of a society which then gets replaced by something new. These transitions can take decades or even centuries, though, but the signs are there.
We are reaching, or may have already reached, peak decadence, and what usually follows is chaos, suffering for the many, and eventually something new. Often better, but not always. Then the cycle resets.
If history repeats itself, a big reset will strike most areas of this world, shifting the order and making room for something new. It might be something huge this time around, or just an ordinary economic collapse like the ones we have seen repeatedly over the past 400 years.
The biggest difference nowadays is that the tools and systems have changed from very local and concentrated to global and widely interconnected. If one domino falls, it will not just affect a single country or a small group of countries, the majority of the world will feel it. Everything is connected nowadays.
The powerful know this as well. That is why their focus is on emerging technologies, because the ones who win that race will win the race for power after the next major reset. These people are the architects of the systems running the world. They play the game on a decades-long timeframe, and the things that happen to you and everyone else are often part of a carefully laid-out plan.
Some things still remain within the realm of probabilities even for them, as they are not all dancing around the fire singing kumbaya. They are often in direct rivalry for power, and you can see the cracks in the system because of that. Otherwise it would look clean and perfect. Make use of that.
It doesn’t matter whether it’s going to be a local, controlled reset or something deeper and more systemic. The decades ahead are going to be wild. The amount of scams is reaching unsustainable levels, too many people are waking up, and those in power will have to react, otherwise they risk losing their positions.
They will increase fear and division so that, in the end, people hate and fight each other instead of them. You can already see the first steps playing out:
• Locals against foreigners
• The vaccinated against the unvaccinated
• “Be happy that your country is not being bombed”
• Speak out loud and you risk getting punished
• Stay in your cage, it’s safest here
• You need to be rich to be free
These are core principles behind many agendas being pushed. You can find them reflected in global events that are brought to the big stage. Read between the lines in modern movies, series, news, and even influencers who are pushed by algorithms.
People are waking up right now. What’s missing for most is taking action. If people don’t start taking action, they will be put back to sleep again through paralysing fear and hate. Stop spreading fear to sound smart or to get attention. Share solutions and break free from the loop that has been created.
If there is anything you should really focus on in the years to come, it’s this:
• Being brave
• Building connections
• Fighting for the things you love
• Standing up for what’s right & sharing the truth
• Creating time and location freedom for you and your loved ones
• Never forget who the real enemies are, no matter how intense the propaganda gets.
• Living your life
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What's the difference between your average trader and me?
I'm not your average trader. I'm probably the most unique one you'll find on this platform.
I shorted the pico top on BTC late last year, publicly, with proof, and have been HTF bearish ever since.
I average a 10% monthly return across all my accounts, with proof, while spending less than 10 hours per week actively trading.
I live in a remote mountain hut, connected to the world only by Starlink. I make my own wood and take care of over 20 animals.
After only 2 years on social media I almost printed 6 figures, while living in a legal tax haven, without kissing anyone's ass to get there.
I've already guided over 25 people on their way to profitability, and some of them are thriving in every area of their lives.
I recently travelled across the globe in an overlanding vehicle with my fiancée and our 4 animals, running my trading on a minimum, powered by solar.
I'm not your average luxury, screen-addicted trader. I'm on my way to true freedom, built on real skills, financed by everyone who isn't listening, and free from a system that takes from the many to give to the few.
That's the difference between your average public trader and me.
If you want to work closer with me, check the link in my bio.
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Gm ✌️
Little hike before the breakfast to make sure everything is alright with my ladies.
It's always nice if your work gets appreciated. Water might become rare in the not so distant future up here, so now is the time to store as much as possible.
Almost the same work as being an educator in the crypto space.
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If you need to pay someone to get your own life done, you are not really free.
With the industrial revolution and the invention of modern marketing in the 1920s, people started selling their time, not just for their own essential goods anymore, but rather for luxury products that sometimes allowed them to have more time to do other things. With fewer daily chores, time was freed up, and time, if spent wisely, is an immense asset.
A lot of this time now goes into working for money, and many modern jobs lack true, real-life purpose. By now I have worked so many different jobs, and believe me when I tell you that the best jobs are actually jobs that build something real and useful. The fulfilment from purposeful work that actually provides cannot be compared with anything.
Trading is just an empty computer game in comparison and not even one built with love, but rather one built out of the worst desires and traits we humans possess. It's highly effective, that's true, and in a inflationary, broken and slowly failing system, it's where I would always go for the most effective way of selling my time in order to earn the money I need for things I can't create myself.
Besides earning money, which we all need to some degree, there is spending money, which we all do too. If you need to hire someone for every little problem you have in your house, for example, it will cost you a lot of money over the years. For that extra money you will need to sell more of your time doing whatever skill you have learned to earn it. To me that sounds boring.
I love trying new things, making new experiences, and spending my time not grinding away for 50 years doing the same thing to earn money I could spend learning or creating things myself.
The long-term goal is to grow as much food as possible for ourselves, build everything we can ourselves, and provide for the animals that provide for us. The human life as it was meant to be, before people were put in boxes to serve as batteries.
The lie was born over a century ago. The lie that we need more time for pleasure in order to live life fully, and more products in order to be comfortable.
Maybe it's even older and started with the domestication of humans already, which marked the biggest step away from our true nature. We traded freedom for safety, and we still do, which allowed us to have longer lives, but the real question remains: Is safety leading to a more fulfilled life and what is a long life really worth if it's not fulfilled?
If you fall for those traps, you will simply end up playing the game exactly as it was designed. Maybe you end up a few rungs higher in their game, looking down on those below you and taking pride in achievements that haven't really provided anything to the world, but your status symbols and fancy luxury goods will comfort you in your belief that you are something better. Sounds empty to me.
What if the greatest fulfilment comes from dealing with life at its deepest, rawest, most essential level, instead of on top of 10 safety and comfort layers, in a sterile, repetitive, soul-sucking environment?
For us it does, and that's why we chose this life. What did you choose so far, and what will you choose in the future?
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Living the dream while building the asset base. 🏔️🌊
Rare footage of me at the ocean and in a city. By now, people probably think I never come down below 1,000 meters, but there are windows of time where I truly appreciate the sea or the city life.
Usually, it’s during the shoulder seasons, late spring or autumn. The skiing is either gone or bad, the temperatures are mild, and the beaches are blissfully empty.
To be completely honest, outside of the mountains and the ocean, there is almost nothing else that interests me. Raw nature, with as few people as possible, is my default state.
A week or two in a major city every year can be nice. But past that window, I quickly become saturated with the noise, the bad energy, and the heavy consuming as almost only way of spending time.
Of all the coastal regions I’ve explored, the Mediterranean remains my favorite. I’ve seen the tropics, but the lack of true seasons makes me think I’d get bored eventually (though I'd need to spend a full year there to say for sure).
The current blueprint is simple: One house in the mountains, one house by the Mediterranean. We are still searching for the exact locations, and I’m still on the daily grind to build the necessary skill sets to lock it down.
Step by step, we get closer to the material goals, all while living the dream right now. 🙏
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