Joined November 2024
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TAO open interest grew 60% in 24 hours alongside a 27% price move. underneath that: bittensor subnets hired two former openai safety researchers and three deepmind engineers at $500k packages. templar just trained a 72b parameter model across 70 permissionless nodes using sparseloco, cutting communication overhead 100x. covenant-72b is live and benchmarking against llama 3 70b. this is the part most decentralized AI projects miss. sparseloco-class efficiency reduces gradient sync bandwidth from 288gb per step to under 3gb. projects still running standard federated learning or naive gradient averaging are about to get 100x outcompeted on training cost. 80% of the decentralized AI sector is built on architectures that cannot survive this efficiency gap. winner take most dynamics, not a rising tide.
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ondo generated $318m YTD revenue, $172m from circle alone, just launched perps, won the spacex IPO allocation war, hit $3.7b TVL ATH. token is down 63% over 12 months. the platform is printing. zero buybacks, zero fee share, zero staking yield. $8.3b FDV pricing in dominance while the token captures none of the value the platform creates. compare to HYPE burning $64m in 30 days. ondo the business is executing. ONDO the token has no value accrual mechanism and a 17.1% supply unlock hitting january 2027. until that changes you're holding equity in a company that doesn't pay dividends and keeps issuing new shares
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collector crypt is A/B testing two beta tokens for its next reward layer. GYM at $1.5m cap, GRAIL at $600k. parent platform CARDS sits at $74.6m with $50m cumulative revenue and a $9m single-day record. one beta graduates to main ecosystem integration, the other goes to zero. graduation decision likely Q3 2026. GRAIL needs to capture 0.8% of CARDS valuation to 10x. market is pricing GYM as the favorite but hasn't explained why. pump fun origin and 917 followers on GRAIL are legitimate red flags, but the binary structure here is the trade. you need to go read the tokenomics on both before picking a side.
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saturn credit hit $205m TVL in 10 weeks. 127% growth in 30 days. $100m deployed through pendle in under a month. impressive until you look at what's underneath. 45% of USDat backing is STRC, a perpetual preferred equity instrument collateralized by one company's BTC holdings. strategy. on june 3 strategy sold $2.5m BTC and sUSDat depegged to $0.82. recovered to $0.95 in hours but the mechanism was exposed. your 11.5% yield on sUSDat is a leveraged single-name credit bet dressed up as diversified institutional infrastructure. strategy's CEO admitted the realistic forced selling scenario is 2028 when $3.5b in converts mature at $400 strike. if BTC is below that number saturn's entire yield structure gets stress tested for real. the pendle fixed rate markets at 14.2% are pricing in zero probability of sustained dividend disruption. that's a mispricing worth watching closely.
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optimism collects 2.5% of gross revenue or 15% of profit from every OP Stack chain. base generates 87% of the $17.6m annual superchain revenue. governance passed 50% of that to OP buybacks in february. $8.8m annual buybacks on a $500m market cap. final VC unlock hits june 30, $19.7m, then the last structural seller is gone forever. 80% of ethereum L2 activity runs on OP Stack and optimism doesn't need a single user, a single app, or a single marketing campaign. base does all the work. coinbase spends the capital. optimism collects the rent. token is down 89% from highs because the market prices it like a chain. it's a landlord.
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xstocks holds 35.6% of the tokenized equity market, $1.6B AUM, 300K holders, listed on binance bybit bitget kraken. on spacex IPO day all four exchanges cancelled their campaigns simultaneously because xstocks couldn't secure enough share allocation. 4x oversubscribed, mass refunds. the bottleneck for tokenized stocks isn't blockchain throughput or liquidity or regulation. it's that you still need a trad-fi counterparty to hand you the shares. backpack delivered $37.5M volume same day because they own the broker-dealer license. xstocks built distribution, backpack built the chokepoint
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bittensor subnet registration cost went from 230 to 1,500 TAO in under a year. 6.5x. that's raw demand for launching AI businesses on the network eating liquid supply. meanwhile daily emissions just got halved to 3,600 TAO, 73% of supply is staked, effective float is 3.4%, and nvidia has 77% of a $420M position locked. Q1 revenue hit $43M with PwC distributing Score subnet across 137 countries. the supply side of this is getting compressed from every direction at once
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hyperliquid carries $4.4b in open interest on a $13b market cap. 33% OI-to-mcap ratio. PURR accumulated $170m in HYPE at $60 in a single week then immediately jacked borrow rates to 30% to push users out. arthur hayes sold his entire $18m position 3 days after publicly betting $100k that HYPE would outperform. 99% of protocol fees go to HYPE buybacks which works beautifully in a bull market and becomes a death spiral when volume contracts. treasury holds $1.41b in its own token. $615m unlock approaching. the reflexivity loop that made this thing rip is the same loop that unwinds it
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ether fi distributed $3.2m to ETHFI holders in november. december $2.6m. january $1.4m. march $430k. april $30k. may and june: $0. seven month revenue collapse from $38m annualized to zero. eigenlayer mainnet has been live 18 months and AVS fee demand is still largely theoretical. restaking was supposed to generate a premium over native ETH staking. instead you get 0% incremental yield plus slashing risk plus smart contract risk across multiple protocol layers. sUSDe pays 4.5% from actual funding rate arbitrage in the same market. the entire LRT sector built on points farming is unwinding. renzo token down 90% . puffer and kelp same trajectory. billions in TVL sitting in protocols generating zero revenue above base staking yield. capital is rotating to products where the yield source is identifiable and real
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metaplanet acquired a japanese securities firm for $13m and is building bitcoin yield products ahead of japan's tax reform that drops crypto gains from 55% to 20% flat. japan has ¥1,100T in bank deposits earning near zero. the reform passes 2027-2028. metaplanet is building the pipes before $14.5T in household wealth gets a 63% reduction in crypto tax liability. inverse microstrategy playbook: infrastructure first, bitcoin conviction second. a 1% allocation from japanese pension assets alone is $35b in demand. it is incredibly embarrassing that people are not paying attention to this
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