Seeing a wave of tweets claiming crypto VCs aren’t deploying.
From our side, not much has changed. Alliance runs three batches a year and backs ~75–100 teams annually.
What has changed is VC behavior. A small subset of funds remain aggressive, but the majority feel more passive, taking meetings and staying warm without deploying with the same conviction as before.
If I had to guess why, crypto as a VC category generated strong and obvious returns in its early and middle cycles, which drove focused attention on finding fund returners. Today, that attention has shifted to AI, which is capturing a disproportionate share of attention, outcomes, and talent.
Talent begets liquidity and drives capital inflows, and I believe the talent pendulum is slowly swinging back toward crypto with the success of Hyperliquid, Polymarket, Rain, Fomo, Pump, Aave and many others.
My view is that crypto has several broad narratives that make it easier for generalists to understand and invest in, such as prediction markets, stablecoins, tokenization, and fintech infrastructure. This, in my view, means crypto is being absorbed into broader tech, and many previously crypto specific funds will evolve into generalists.
Both crypto and AI are becoming layers within startups rather than standalone categories, so focusing on just one may be limiting for larger funds. However, every time it feels like crypto is over, a startup emerges that returns 100x and becomes the golden child of the next cycle. This is why I continue to believe the best domain focused crypto VCs will capture the outliers and not get swayed by public sentiment.