BREAKING: software developers are not losing their jobs.
Personally, I think the current environment is just all companies reacting to what other large companies are doing:
size down their workforce and trying to see what operating looks like with a smaller number of employees.
AWS has already blocked junior and mid-level engineers from pushing AI-assisted code with approval from a senior engineer.
Thus we're already starting to see that large scale AI-assisted software development is hitting bottlenecks when it the AI model chooses to optimize for the wrong thing (e.g. context corruption).
Is now the right time to start a side project with Claude or your open-source model of choice? Absolutely.
Is everyone losing their job in the long-run? Probably not at least until we see another major jump in the models put out by Anthropic and others.
🤯BREAKING: Alibaba just proved that AI Coding isn't taking your job, it's just writing the legacy code that will keep you employed fixing it for the next decade. 🤣
Passing a coding test once is easy. Maintaining that code for 8 months without it exploding? Apparently, it’s nearly impossible for AI.
Alibaba tested 18 AI agents on 100 real codebases over 233-day cycles. They didn't just look for "quick fixes"—they looked for long-term survival.
The results were a bloodbath:
75% of models broke previously working code during maintenance.
Only Claude Opus 4.5/4.6 maintained a >50% zero-regression rate.
Every other model accumulated technical debt that compounded until the codebase collapsed.
We’ve been using "snapshot" benchmarks like HumanEval that only ask "Does it work right now?"
The new SWE-CI benchmark asks: "Does it still work after 8 months of evolution?"
Most AI agents are "Quick-Fix Artists." They write brittle code that passes tests today but becomes a maintenance nightmare tomorrow. They aren't building software; they're building a house of cards.
The narrative just got honest: Most models can write code. Almost none can maintain it.