reasons to be cheerful, part 3

Joined September 2015
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through no fault of my own, I have angered the neighborhood crows
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Impressions of 5.5 VS Fable for math research. Fable is like a very well-read but verbose and handwavy PhD student, 5.5 is more concrete and down-to-earth. Overall Fable seems a bit "smarter" overall. This is a noticable change from previous models where GPT was clearly better.
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update: Fable can in fact oneshot(well, mostly) the result referenced here. this thing is a beast. x.com/an_interstice/status/2… a bit faster than I expected. welp, guess I'm glad I got it on the arxiv a month ago for signalling value.

annnd wrote it up. mixed feelings since (a) GPT6.5 will probably be able to oneshot it in a few months (b) it was a distraction from more directly AI-relevant work, but I'm still pretty happy with the result.
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it's been two whole weeks and no dyson sphere, deep learning is hitting a wall
<trying to revise timelines such that I'm surprised upwards as much as downwards>so dyson sphere by.....tuesday?
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Our new campaign in Canada, backed by over 30 MPs and Senators, is cause for real optimism. For the first time, a cross-party coalition of Canadian lawmakers is calling for an international ban on developing superintelligence, recognizing the extinction risk it poses. 🧵
🚨NEW: We’ve just launched our campaign in Canada! A cross-party coalition of over 30 MPs and Senators are calling for Canada to negotiate an international prohibition on the development of superintelligence, recognizing the risk of human extinction posed by the technology. 🧵
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please retweet this and @ anyone you know in a position to reverse the recent "ban random small accounts with years of good posts" policy
what the fuck is happening
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<trying to revise timelines such that I'm surprised upwards as much as downwards>so dyson sphere by.....tuesday?
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x.com/an_interstice/status/1…"just fit population size to a hyperbola" seems to be more plausible than it has any right to be at predicting the date of the singularity

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Replying to @Algon_33
so there's this inscruable sequence of numbers. it turns out it's generated by an automaton. but the automaton is also inscrutable. but the automaton has a symmetry group, and *that* thing is scrutable.
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starting a pseudo-reading group. every month we will pick an author and read works falsely attributed to them in antiquity
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annnd wrote it up. mixed feelings since (a) GPT6.5 will probably be able to oneshot it in a few months (b) it was a distraction from more directly AI-relevant work, but I'm still pretty happy with the result.
proved a nontrivial theorem for the first time ever plz clap
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half the people formerly researching the area work in industry now so I'm harassing them on linkedin with my arxiv links
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now that that's done back to more practical endeavors like creating a mathematical pseudo-religion for AIs
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specie
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thanks gemini
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proved a nontrivial theorem for the first time ever plz clap
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yup, we are still taking off 80% METR time horizons for Claude Mythos Preview: 3 hours 6 minutes
Claude Mythos Preview's METR time horizons AT LEAST 16 hours confidence interval: 8hrs 29 mins - 2 days 7 hours but measurements are unreliable due low number of long-horizon tasks
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openai․com was once the personal homepage of a guy named glenn (2001), and tiktok․com was the quaint shared homepage of a couple who went from dating to married with a baby (~1998-2001). THREAD!!!
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