Chamath's Three Takeaways from Liberation Day 🇺🇸
1) Trump will go through with the tariffs, don't expect a grand capitulation
-- "Trump has had a 40-year view on tariffs."
-- "They're going to go through with this and they're going to see it through."
-- "I don't think you're going to see this grand capitulation."
2) The White House is okay with short-term volatility in the stock market
-- Remember Bessent's quotes on "Main Street over Wall Street" and re-ordering the international trading system
3) Bond yields are down, which will save us hundreds of billions this year
-- "We have $6T we need to finance in the next nine months."
-- "So the singular goal, in my opinion, of the White House, has been move the 10 year as aggressively and as quickly as possible."
-- As of yesterday... you were kissing 4%."
-- "If it had gone in the other direction, 30 or 40 basis points, and it touched 5%, you're talking about hundreds of billions of dollars of extra money that would not have been found, that would've had to be printed."
-- "Irrespective of what you think you know, or what you think you like about tariffs, we should all have a moment where we exhale because the long end of the curve is giving us a respite in a storm."