Comp sci pro, equities swing trading, macro, precious metals, uranium, global finance & gambling ( poker horses sports ). 30 years private trader & speculator.

Joined May 2009
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Elon's master long con : Level 1 : Roadster, S, X sold to wealthy tech bro buyers who paid ~$100K and saw 65% depreciation over 5 years side-cons EV tax credits paid for by poor taxpayers Bitcoin mining and crypto scams Level 2 : leverage early EVs to equip homes with pricey solar panels plus batteries so they can burn to the ground ( Solar City acquisition ) Level 3 : scammed tech bros funds cheaper cars 3, Y sold as save the planet but quality is crap, nobody can repair, and catch on fire Level 4 : cheap crap for the masses funds Gigafactories plus international expansion to find more marks Level 5 : mass adoption funds autonomous/FSD endless option on future of driving but it's not safe, meanwhile your cash is locked-up and transfer license negated. Level 6 : FSD scam funds unmanned autonomous vehicles Robotaxi, semi, delivery, etc. Level 7 : Autonomous suckers fund xAI Optimus worthless gimmick leveraging AI hype you end up with junk bots taking up space in your garage Level 8 : side-scams Neuralink ( medical insurance ) and Boring Company ( government ) suck-up taxpayer dollars Level 9 fractals ( evolving ) : all above feeder funds for next-gen master con SpaceX stealing NASA taxpayer dollars while exploiting wide-eyed doomers. Premised on fantasy escape horror show Planet Earth with space junk, rocket rides, and cryo pods on Moon/Mars wake up in 22nd century to the new human race.
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Get that criminal piece of shit Donald J. Trump name off the Kennedy Center. Can't happen fast enough.
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A very small group of Jewish billionaires have stolen a vast amount of society's wealth. Now they are attempting to subvert American Democracy, pervert & crippled the Federal government, and force society to conform to their twisted culture. They are corrupt and deploy every trick imaginable to steal more wealth. Ellison Thiel Musk Brin Zuckerberg Bezos Dell Ackman Schwarzman Lutnick Adelson They must be stopped, arrested, charged with treason, tried, convicted, and sentenced to life in prison.
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Today Elon becomes world's first trillionaire. Last night in Guadalajara there were thousands of empty seats for South Korea v Czech Republic. Lower tier $500 Upper tier sidelines $400 Hospitality $5000 This is in Mexico where avg wage earner gets $20-21K / yr , around $1700 / mo Wealth gap is out-of-control. Everyone only thinks about making that 1%. Meanwhile for most their life experience is plummeting.
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On pure technicals, crude sure is looking like a funky double-headed head & shoulders top. WTI measures to 50 Brent measures to 56 $WBS1! $BRN1!
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Iran hardline senior lawmaker doubts Trump has an actual deal Iran has or will agree to. Instead Trump is deploying an imminent deal as a tool to manipulate markets and public opinion. x.com/EbrahimRezaei14/status…

احتمال فریب از سوی ترامپ بالاست، او فردا معامله بزرگی در پیش دارد و می‌خواهد فعلاً اوضاع را آرام نگه دارد. محکم‌تر بزنید، زیرساخت‌ها و مراکز اقتصادی و هوش مصنوعی دشمن در منطقه را ویران و نابود کنید تا بیشتر دردشان بگیرد.
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As the race to commoditize AI begins so does the race for energy to power the compute to win that race. Not an opportune time for producers & refiners & logistics to be going offline due to war. If we switch our lens to avg of next 12 futures contracts, WTI chart doesn't look so bearish anymore. $USL
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SPR is stored in salt caverns with the pressure of the crude oil replacement brine keeping the cavern walls & ceilings structurally intact. But brine is denser than crude. So the higher the ratio brine/crude, the lower the pressure, the higher the risk of salt creep and ultimately salt falls which is collapse of walls/ceilings. Every collapsed cavern traps the remaining crude. It's no longer possible to pump out crude and pump in brine. So it doesn't matter to what degree Trump is mentally unbalanced or mentally ill, because past a certain point, depletion will trap the remaining crude. Estimates are at 140-150 MMbbl the risk of wall collapse is extreme. But we have another limit which is flow velocity. At full capacity 715 MMbbl, max flow is 4.4 MMbbl/d Currently at 350 MMbbl, max flow is substantially lower, perhaps 2.8-3.1 MMbbl/d. For 200-300 MMbbl max flow drops down to range 1.9 - 2.5 MMbbl/d. At 150 MMbbl max flow drops sharply below 1 MMbbl/d. Note that 243-252 MMbbl statutory & strategic limits kick-in that a president can not easily override. Keep in mind that primary purpose of SPR is response to natural disasters such as severe winter snowstorms/blizzards, tornadoes, hurricanes, floods, earthquakes, wildfires. This is where the max flow is needed. So depleting SPR below 300 MMbbl is playing with matches & gasoline, not because we're running at 1.1-1.3 MMbbl/day, but because our max flow is no longer an adequate response to natural disaster emergency need for fuel.
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People are overthinking this. In one sense it's very simple. US is floating RoW with net exports. Exports made possible by SPR releases. SPR is at ~360M and can't go below ~300M. Run-rate is 10M / week. So they got six weeks. Six weeks is doomsday. That's why Trump is re-initiating attacks and will probably launch ground invasions. The clock ran down and Trump failed to do a deal. Trump is desperate.
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Yes I'm a buyer $QQQ At 590
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Commodities bulls need to keep in mind the ongoing rally in the USD $USD $UUP $EUO $YCS
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"I'll gladly pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today." J. Wellington Wimpy "I'll have a deal by Tuesday." Donald J. Trump
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I'm a buyer of $EWY At 120.
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It can be argued that gold is retesting its late March lows on much reduced volume. So late March plunge was an extreme deleveraging event and now that many weaker hands have exited we should have a retest that is much more subdued & much less scary and allows a more confident entry point. The flip side is if we don't hold 4300 we've failed at well-established support, and money could lose interest and slowly walk away as we drift lower. Key trading days just around the corner. $XAUUSD
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When prices were low, China was importing surplus and building reserves. Now that prices are high, China is importing deficit and depleting reserves. Under what circumstances would this pattern change ? One scenario is China adjusts upwards its perception of fair value. The longer prices stay elevated the more likely this is to happen.
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