The first target of the Bear flag (circa Jan 2026 ) was the .618 at 60K
The same target for the rising wedge /channel is 45K iiisssh where the bottom indicator is
Myself personally I am going to go with 45K as a potential bottom this year
See pinned post
This will be accompanied by some shocking news where people panic and sell their bags as it will equal the start point of the IBIT ETF launch
I will buy that news if I am sober π
Media (like the clowns they are) will sychophantically bleat BTC /MSTR is dead etc etc
All to come
Then the price goes north
It never changes
That would equate to the .5 fib on MSTR about 85 ponzis
However as with 3350 (which has a vicous H&S) in play MSTR has a whiff of same .
Do we get a wick down to 55 in the Golden pocket
Maybe
What I am doing is besides my list is to look at other BTC treasury companies to see if there are some clues there
One such clue may be XXI
Last Image
I have tweeted another in DDC and 3350
One thing for sure
Mr Saylor by the time is out will have a few more grey hairs
Meanwhile Tom is buying ETH π€ͺπ€‘
Again it does raise the simple question that if a idiot like me can present these charts what on earth are Michael and Tom doing ?
Do they even understand fibs and divs ?
Crazy stuff .
By now you have come to the realization that BTC and crypto is a tough gig
Very few truly win
Reason is buying high and selling low
I have done it often enough with some volatile ALTS
I did a Biden in my pants
So I warn you now for the next 6 months BTC will buck , kick and jerk and try to throw you off as it carves out a base .
And maybe just maybe if you are still around you might get a shot at the title as it begins its migration north again
For me personally I cannot digest the macro news to the degree where it helps with the charts
I dont trust news
You cannot configure a potential WW111 , private credit crash , internet blackout into the equation
All I have is the TA
Thats it
And I do believe that a macro fib will call this bottom irrespective of the emotion or narrative in the space
Time will prove that to be so
Will tweet as I see it , right or wrong .