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Brad Templeton @bradtem

EFF chair emeritus, Singularity U founding faculty, Self-Driving Car consultant, Entrepreneur, bradtem.bsky.social

Joined March 2008
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13 years ago, at the Wired 2013 event in London, I was asked when robotaxis would arrive there and as a joke, gave an answer of June 22, 2026 that turned out to be impossibly spot on. (3 companies are waiting on regulators to deploy right now.) It wasn't just a joke, though, it was based on my real predictions of the time, so as we approach the date I predicted, I've made a video to review just how predictions about self-driving by all sorts of people (especially including Elon Musk) have been right and wrong over the years, and why. Why did so many get it so wrong? How did I get it almost dead on? Enjoy the video, or a text version which is up on the Forbes site. youtube.com/watch?v=1toqXcHK…

How I made the most accurate prediction on self-driving, and why Elon...

Text version at https://www.forbes.com/sites/bradtempleton/2026/05/...

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I Nailed a Robotaxi Forecast In 2013. Here’s Why Elon Keeps Blowing It forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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Waymos Have Trouble With Floods, Which Is Surprising forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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California Lets Cops Give Tickets To Robocars, Which Is Ridiculous forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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Two Waymo Airport Stories Teach A Lesson About Customer Service forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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The L.A. Olympics Are In Two Years, Perhaps Too Soon For Much 21st Century Transportation forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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After Earth Day, Understand The Transit Compromise To Grasp Efficiency forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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Elon Musk Details FSD Upgrades, Slowed Robotaxi Rollout forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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China: Pony.AI Wants Toe In European Water forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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Urbanists Hate Cars. Should They Hate Electric Robotaxis? forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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Does Tesla Really Have A Robotaxi? They Don’t Make It Easy To Find Out forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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Baidu Silent About Failure Of 100 Robotaxis In Wuhan forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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Verne Plans Croatian Robotaxi, Dropping Mobileye And Dropping Verne? forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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The Core Rules Of EV Charging Infrastructure Are About To Change forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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United Airlines Misses Opportunity With Polaris “Companion Ottoman” forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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My Waymo Ride From The Airport Was Great. Getting To It, Not So Much forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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Waymo Gets Shy As Scaling Creates More Incidents; Plus Key New Details forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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Uber ‘Autonomous Solutions’ Reveals Their Strategy, Is It Enough? forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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I delve into the security implications of Waymo remote assist operators overseas, and we learn Waymo only has 70 remote ops for 3,000 cars. forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…

Waymo Overseas Human Assist Wasn’t Secret, But Is It Secure?

Waymo reveals it has only one remote assist operator per 40 vehicles. I examine the security issues around having remote ops staff, particularly overseas.

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Hyundai’s ‘Motional’ Robotaxi Runs With Empty Left Seat In Las Vegas forbes.com/sites/bradtemplet…
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