Joined April 2021
2,143 Photos and videos
If the most volatile asset ever made appreciates at ~2% CAGR (and never has any drawdown ever ever) all is good! :)
STRC down to $82.6 today. Here's my read: 1. Strategy is fine. If everything stays as is, they can pay STRC dividends for 32 years. If BTC appreciates at ~2% CAGR, they can pay dividends indefinitely. 2. Why the sell-off? This appears to be a liquidation cascade. Over the last 6 months, the narrative became that STRC volatility was reducing, and price began to spend all its time in $99-100 range. This invites leverage. If you expect the price to always be north of $95, you can take on 20x leverage with your portfolio to buy more STRC and dramatically increase the yield on your portfolio. This works great, until it doesn't. STRC is designed as a free-market asset. When attention shifted to SATA and STRC price flagged, it may have raised the attention of opportunistic short-selling hedge funds. By shorting aggressively, they could push the price down and start triggering margin calls and liquidations from folks who aggressively levered up their STRC positions. The price action today is a clear liquidation cascade, rapidly pushing prices lower, in turn triggering additional liquidations. 3. What happens now? The market will heal itself. Opportunistic hedge funds will recognize that this is a firesale and the fundamentals are unchanged for STRC and step in as buyers. Shorts will close, becoming buyers. Individuals are getting a tremendous entry price for long-term holding STRC shares. Buyers at this level will get ~13.7% effective yield. If STRC trades back to $100 and they sell, they get an easy 18% return. 4. What will Strategy do? Strategy will likely increase the dividend rate on June 30 - maybe to 11.75% but possibly to 12%. Buyers at the current price level then would get 14.2% effective yield from that point forward. Strategy may also step in to buy STRC shares back. They could do this by issuing new shares of MSTR (currently at 1.14 mNAV) or by taking on traditional debt and deploying those funds to buy discounted STRC shares on the market. If/when STRC trades back to $100, Strategy could then re-issue those STRC shares. The ~$15 delta per share could be used to buy BTC as pure accretion to MSTR holders, with no net change to amplification. No doubt that Saylor has already at least considered this, and it wouldn't surprise me if they're currently doing this. 5. In summary... The market is freaked out that this depeg is like Terra/Luna... but this is not an asset like that. Strategy's balance sheet determines whether STRC continues to receive dividend payments... and Strategy's balance sheet is completely unchanged. This is a leverage wipeout. From this, the market will learn that Digital Credit is mostly very low volatility. But because it is a free market asset, the longer that a Digital Credit instrument trades within a tight range to par... the more leverage will inevitably pile up as people get greedy. And that creates the conditions for a leverage wipeout depeg. Following that, the instrument will make its way back to par value as the market heals itself and recognizes that the dividend payments will continue uninterrupted because the issuer's balance sheet is unaffected.
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People joked about suits ruining the space but like honestly they just run the same ponzis with fancier words and less regulatory pressure
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I think I am the first person in the world to provide privacy to @SteakhouseFi vaults In the trenches trying things
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Updated strkprice.com to give you a live feed of the shielded pool. Easily track in browser both the shielded pool and the price of ethereum:0xca14007eff0db1f8135f4c25b34de49ab0d42766 shields up
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I had to make a STRK version. Bars change depending on recent price movments. strkprice.com
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1/ Payroll should not be public. But onchain, wallets, amounts, timing, and patterns are visible to anyone watching. PriPay, built on STRK20, shows how payroll can move onchain without leaking everything 🧵
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Introducing ProvableWorldModel: the first provable JEPA world model. A real pretrained world model runs, and anyone can verify, on a laptop CPU, or on a mobile phone, that the committed model ran exactly as claimed, in milliseconds. The whole industry spent this week asking one question about Anthropic's Fable 5: which model actually answered me? Nobody could prove it. Not during the silent downgrades, not after the apology. The fix is a notification you still have to trust. I've been building the alternative. The intuition is simple. World models are small. Small enough to run in exact integer arithmetic, where every operation is reproducible bit for bit, attention included. The prover commits to its full execution trace before any challenge is derived. The verifier fingerprints the heavy matmuls with 1979-era randomized algebra (Freivalds) and replays everything else exactly. Change one number anywhere and the proof dies. Receipts: → real pretrained JEPA predictor (LeWorldModel), 10 MiB int8, real expert episode → inference 49 ms, verification 29 ms, CPU only, no floats, no GPU → soundness error ≈ 2^-44 → forge a single matmul output and the verifier throws FreivaldsCheckFailed Why it matters: LLM agents need ever-thicker invisible harnesses to behave, and harnesses can't be audited from the outside. World models invert that. Small, structured, exact: verifiable by construction. Intelligence you can check, not intelligence you have to trust. Don't trust, verify.
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Using Fable and watching your usage bar evaporate
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The top two social apps on @ethereum are on Starknet
There are hundreds of apps within the Ethereum ecosystem - find them here: growthepie.com/applications
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Locked in my @Play_Gaffer world cup team. Little over 1 hour left to try and beat this squad (You wont)
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Starknet.
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Someone on Reddit built a game where you ride a dirt bike on top of any company's stock chart.
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This is honestly the best joke ive made on twitter and literally no one cares its the algos fault not mine
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we received a lot of love for this launch and we wanna give back to you, yes you. i'm giving away 200 of these very limited tees/ caps to people who RT the main post (comment proof here) taking a snapshot in 24 hours.
1/ JUST IN: practical privacy at real scale is now live. 1-click privacy, low-cost privacy, private DeFi… For all assets, now live on Starknet 🧵 strk20.starknet.io/
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Privacy matters. This may make tracking certain metrics more challenging in the future, but we welcome that challenge and will never stand in the way of progress. Progress is happening on @Starknet
1/ JUST IN: practical privacy at real scale is now live. 1-click privacy, low-cost privacy, private DeFi… For all assets, now live on Starknet 🧵 strk20.starknet.io/
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Introducing: Proof. Starknet’s selective incubator and accelerator for high-potential, investor-grade teams. Applications for Cohort 01 are now open.
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1/ JUST IN: practical privacy at real scale is now live. 1-click privacy, low-cost privacy, private DeFi… For all assets, now live on Starknet 🧵 strk20.starknet.io/
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