Man $ARKG looks like it's about to go on a generational run It could trade sideways for a bit but when it's time to go... it's going to go

Nasdaq “hot themes” index feels like it’s about to implode. What did I say last week anon when everyone was mocking me: Defense crashes first, that shit aint coming back, stick a fork in it, it’s done for now. Space was in the process of crashing (and still is), you’ll soon be able to stick a fork in all of those overvalued loss makers. Optics/AI/Semis was last man standing and only down single digits, and would be last to go…and now look at the photonics names today…memory will cometh soon. Anyone paying 21x sales for MU and thinks that bc it is 10x earnings and cheap doeant understand hoe to trade commodity stocks…u buy when they look expensive, sell when they look cheap. Bc they are over-earning when they are cheap! Not rocket science. MU and those names will trade at 5-7x sales again, perhaps lower. Repeat after me: IT IS NEVER “DIFFERENT THIS TIME”

This guy is worth a follow!

Anyone buying healthcare here?

Good explanation as to why $FCEL is mooning

LOL

Own sugar yet? $CANE

Look at this trend! The chart looks like a tech stock absurdly deviated from the 200 SMA.... But no, its the Japanase 10y yield

This is so true. I see many macro bears trying to short the indices. It's a losing game I've been making money on shorts for over a year now while the indicies rip. Much easier to isolate themes & stocks and trade them

I listened - $NCLH

Is there a more aggressive trade than short-term calls on a 3x leveraged ETF? At ~9:45AM this morning, a trader loaded up on OTM calls on $SOXL, a 3x leveraged semiconductor ETF. They spent $187,000, with the contracts expiring in just over 2 weeks. Within 4 hours, they were down 50%. By the close they were back to where they started. Pure conviction or pure chaos?

$NCLH - where would the stock price go if fuel shortages force goverments to ban the temporary use of fuel for non-productive activities? Like taking a cruise…

How many furus have told you they are loading up on puts on a stock that falls 26% in under a month? I haven't seen any $NCLH

The window of opportunity is open this week for parabolic reversals in $SNDK $MU and solana:JCEmtMhYCuijq6t3bXbZeyr4566RYmsLaSdr6pYd79Rt Let's see if this post is more hated than the parabolic short write-up I did on Silver in late January.... Jokes aside, I wanted to share my thoughts as I have during parabolic moves over the years with stuff like $SMCI $NVDA $MSTR $SLV $GLD $KORU $CAR etc, especially if I can help someone who is riding a large unrealized gain take advantage and trim into these parabolic extensions. Early last week, I shared a screenshot of a spreadsheet I had saved from a study I did on the specific extension metrics in which many historic parabolic moves peaked. I also noted that it was too early to short the semiconductors as that they had not filled out the criteria required for a parabolic short. Below is the same spreadsheet, but included is $SNDK $MU and solana:JCEmtMhYCuijq6t3bXbZeyr4566RYmsLaSdr6pYd79Rt updated with their extensions as of Friday's close. The green highlighted boxes represent above the average in which all the study examples peaked at. As you can see they are not all quite above average yet, but any continued hype and momentum early this week and all three of these names will very likely be in play. One characteristic that is extremely important when identifying a parabolic advance is consecutive weeks of range expansion. We recently saw this with Silver in January when it put together 3 consecutive weeks of range expansion before it's climax, as well as many more classic, model book examples throughout the years. Consecutive weeks of range expansion signal exponential price progression, a hallmark of parabolic curves. It is a week by week build up into a climactic reversal. The cherry on top is a signifigant range expansion week on the 3rd or 4th week of the burst, which is typically the final week of the move. Here are the last 3-4 weeks of percentage gains for these names: $SNDK Week 1 ( 7.48%) Week 2 ( 19.91%) Week 3 ( 31.62%) $MU Week 1 ( 8.20%) Week 2 ( 9.15%) Week 3 ( 9.16%) Week 4 ( 37.73%) solana:JCEmtMhYCuijq6t3bXbZeyr4566RYmsLaSdr6pYd79Rt Week 1 ( 9.81%) Week 2 ( 20.50%) Week 3 ( 20.69%) Week 4 ( 25.40%) Textbook parabolic price progression over consecutive weeks on all three of them. After that final 3rd or 4th week of signifigant range expansion, you then look for a similar parabolic burst on the daily timeframe. $SNDK $MU and solana:JCEmtMhYCuijq6t3bXbZeyr4566RYmsLaSdr6pYd79Rt all closed down on Thursday, before exploding higher on Friday. Need at least 1-2 more large, consecutive days higher for these to trigger a climactic reversal. We also witnessed what felt like complete upside panic and FOMO in the leading semiconductors on Friday. One example being the news that hit at 1pm stating that Apple and Intel reached a preliminary chip-making agreement, which led to a near 13% gain in just 20 minutes... Moments after that headline, Trump said "Go and buy a Dell", which sent $DELL soaring an entire 200% ATR move in just 30 minutes. This is typically the type of price action and hype you see during the final stage of a parabolic burst. Not to mention the absurd volume of options being traded on these names as we approach May OPEX this Friday... To close this out, we also have the $QQQ at 9.91 ATR multiples above the 50-day moving average as of Fridays close, a level of extension never before seen since its inception in March of 1999. I have no doubt this market can continue higher this year, but this print only helps add conviction to the names potentially setting up for a opportunity into this week. To clarify, the parabolic short is an extraordinarily high-probability mean reversion opportunity, that can sometimes lead to secular tops, but not always. I have no clue where these stocks will be a month or a year from now, but I know my setups when I see them.

Good reasearch on the Niobium supply chain. Some of the stock charts look appealing right now.

$WHR - Another lesson for me. I saw this thesis months ago. It convinced me. But the price was already down significantly so I thought: too risky now. Boooom - another 16% down.

Anyone short anything right now

Who could have guessed? $NCLH going much lower.

Love the rhyme.

My $LEN short was legendary and I'm tired of pretending that it's not I never see people stick their neck out on a short with conviction and be correct I regularly shared portfolio updates for a year and had 10-20% of my portfolio in put options, taking profits along the way, and adding on rips. I posted many times that it was a good opportunity to add and that it would go lower and was consistently correct Social media punishes non consensus. I have multiple legendary non consensus trades on the long and short side and those posts don't get any engagement. Idk. Maybe I need to ragebait more or something