Good quarter onto the next

Good year onto the next

Good november

KALSHI TRADER HIGHLIGHT @cobybets1 is a trader in his early 20s with $550K in profit. He's made $250K in the past month alone, including an $80K win on a single NBA game. "Lately I've been deliberately sizing up and trying to maximize my edges." Coby found prediction markets in 2021 as a way to understand the world through probability. "I've been trading different assets since I was young, and I've built an intuition for spotting edges or market inefficiencies." He's trained himself to stay calm in volatility. Most of his sports trading comes down to what people call being a "ball knower" where with enough experience and probability intuition you can look at odds and think "that doesn't make sense" and correct it to the fair value. His trading framework is simple: "Buy below fair value, and either sell at or above fair value, or ride it out and redeem for fair value." His advice to new traders? Understand how your counterparties think and what cognitive biases they might have. "Everyone loves rooting for underdog and taking long-shots, so the odds of long tail events are sometimes inflated."

Happy uptober to those whole celebrate

up 52k on the week and not even the top coby on the leaderboard 💀

Shoutout saquon for getting negative two rushing yards in the second half

good month onto the next