Geopolitical and macro cycle analyst. Founder @NoodlesResearch. I connect the dots others miss.
Joined June 2017
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Jun 11
On January 9th, we wrote that Greenland was theater. That the real target was Iran. And that oil would cross $100.
Brent was trading below $70. Nobody was talking about Tehran.
Five months later: the largest air campaign in Middle East history, the Strait of Hormuz closed since February 28th, Brent averaging $107 in May.
And today, Trump announced the next step on Truth Social: “We will be taking Kharg Island, and other oil infrastructure points, and assume total control of their Oil and Gas Markets.”
Now read what we published in The Iran Playbook, days before his announcement:
“Phase 3: The ‘Limited’ Operation. Seizure of Qeshm Island. Possibly Kharg Island. Framed as a maritime security operation. ‘Protecting critical energy infrastructure.’ Never called an invasion.”
Word for word. The island. The framing. The vocabulary.
This is not luck. It is pattern recognition. Every American war follows the same script: a provocation, a “defensive” response, a “limited” operation that becomes permanent. Vietnam started with advisors. Iraq started with liberation. Iran is starting with an island.
An occupation that cannot be defended without escalating, and cannot be abandoned without humiliation.
This is the moment the world change. The socio-economic shockwaves of a permanent war in the Gulf will hit every economy on the planet: energy, food, shipping, inflation, debt.
America is dragging itself into a vortex with no exit. And it is dragging everyone else down with it.
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Jun 11
On January 9th, we wrote that Greenland was theater. That the real target was Iran. And that oil would cross $100.
Brent was trading below $70. Nobody was talking about Tehran.
Five months later: the largest air campaign in Middle East history, the Strait of Hormuz closed since February 28th, Brent averaging $107 in May.
And today, Trump announced the next step on Truth Social: “We will be taking Kharg Island, and other oil infrastructure points, and assume total control of their Oil and Gas Markets.”
Now read what we published in The Iran Playbook, days before his announcement:
“Phase 3: The ‘Limited’ Operation. Seizure of Qeshm Island. Possibly Kharg Island. Framed as a maritime security operation. ‘Protecting critical energy infrastructure.’ Never called an invasion.”
Word for word. The island. The framing. The vocabulary.
This is not luck. It is pattern recognition. Every American war follows the same script: a provocation, a “defensive” response, a “limited” operation that becomes permanent. Vietnam started with advisors. Iraq started with liberation. Iran is starting with an island.
An occupation that cannot be defended without escalating, and cannot be abandoned without humiliation.
This is the moment the world change. The socio-economic shockwaves of a permanent war in the Gulf will hit every economy on the planet: energy, food, shipping, inflation, debt.
America is dragging itself into a vortex with no exit. And it is dragging everyone else down with it.
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Jun 12
We published the Iran Playbook on June 3.
Phase 1: the World Cup window. ‘’Expected Cosmetic diplomacy. A framework with no enforcement. Oil eases. Markets exhale.’’
The World Cup opened yesterday.
Today Trump told a crowd in Georgia that “we ended the war with Iran” and “they have agreed to never have a nuclear weapon.” At a tele-rally. For a Senate candidate. Not at the White House. Not with a signed document. At a phone call for Burt Jones.
Hours later a senior Iranian official goes on MSNOW. Iran has not agreed to anything.
Oil dropped. Stocks bounced. Billions moved on a deal that does not exist, again, for roughly the fortieth time.
You would think this is the dystopian sci-fi era described in 90’ movies. It is , but more banal than expected, where apresident declares the end of a war at a campaign rally, the other side denies it on live television, and nobody blinks because this is just how it works now.
Trump's statements are not meant to be true, they are meant to work, 70 million evangelicals in the heartland do not need the deal to be real. They need the story, markets believe it for 48 hours because the cost of not believing a presidential headline is too high for an algorithm, and the mainstream media doesn't believe it but has to cover it anyway..
With the SpaceX IPO cleared at $75 billion, the liquidity drain that crushed everything for two weeks is over.
Markets get room to breathe now in coming weeks.
Israel will continue to expand in Lebanon, while everyone is focused on WC. Then July 19. Final whistle. That is when the cover comes off…
noodlesresearch.com/research…
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‘’Israel will continue to expand in Lebanon, while everyone is focused on WC. Then July 19. Final whistle. That is when the cover comes off’’
As of now :
🚨
Israel has struck a building in Beirut’s southern suburbs
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Noodles retweeted
Jun 12
Here’s the new information from DNI.
They admit that the US built and fund/support, over 40 labs in Ukraine, which house dangerous pathogens, which Russia claim are being used for bioweapon development.
They are kind of admitting Putin and Russian MIL were right, to a degree.
To me, I think this is the beginning stages of public disclosure about Covid being a US-funded experiment, and it very well may lead back to the labs in Ukraine. Some of these US-funded labs were studying bat coronaviruses in Ukraine, as early as 2014 via USIAD Project PREDICT.
We have to tell the world that COVID was man-made, and we have to tell the world who made it. I think that process is now underway.
It also tells me talks with Russia must be in a good place, because any deal with Russia, Putin is going to address the biolabs in Ukraine, as it has been one of Russia’s main talking points at the UN. I think this disclosure is related to a peace deal between Russia and the US/Ukraine.
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Noodles retweeted
Tulsi Gabbard: “Politicians and so-called health professionals like Dr. Fauci… lied repeatedly to the American people about the existence of US-funded and supported bio labs.”
“Not only did they lie, they threatened those who attempted to expose the truth.”
Tulsi Gabbard has released and confirmed biolabs were being run without government approval and that politicians and public health officials lied, including under oath.
But it’s time to hold people accountable.
Merely releasing this information doesn’t really mean anything.
Most of us already knew this.
It’s time these people who lied under oath or to the American people spend time behind bars.
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Jun 13
So Russia and Putin was right, Biolabs really existed
dni.gov/index.php/newsroom/p…
Jun 12
Today, I’m releasing never before seen intelligence revealing new evidence of past US government funding for more than 120 biolabs in over 30 countries, including Ukraine.
In support of President Trump‘s Executive Order to end federal funding of dangerous gain of function research around the world, and increase transparency and accountability, ODNI will continue working with partners across the Administration to identify where these labs are, what pathogens they contain, and what “research” is being conducted.
odni.gov/index.php/newsroom/…
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Jun 13
The Pentagon just dropped alien files and it’s not even the weirdest thing on my timeline this morning🤷♂️
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Jun 12
We published the Iran Playbook on June 3.
Phase 1: the World Cup window. ‘’Expected Cosmetic diplomacy. A framework with no enforcement. Oil eases. Markets exhale.’’
The World Cup opened yesterday.
Today Trump told a crowd in Georgia that “we ended the war with Iran” and “they have agreed to never have a nuclear weapon.” At a tele-rally. For a Senate candidate. Not at the White House. Not with a signed document. At a phone call for Burt Jones.
Hours later a senior Iranian official goes on MSNOW. Iran has not agreed to anything.
Oil dropped. Stocks bounced. Billions moved on a deal that does not exist, again, for roughly the fortieth time.
You would think this is the dystopian sci-fi era described in 90’ movies. It is , but more banal than expected, where apresident declares the end of a war at a campaign rally, the other side denies it on live television, and nobody blinks because this is just how it works now.
Trump's statements are not meant to be true, they are meant to work, 70 million evangelicals in the heartland do not need the deal to be real. They need the story, markets believe it for 48 hours because the cost of not believing a presidential headline is too high for an algorithm, and the mainstream media doesn't believe it but has to cover it anyway..
With the SpaceX IPO cleared at $75 billion, the liquidity drain that crushed everything for two weeks is over.
Markets get room to breathe now in coming weeks.
Israel will continue to expand in Lebanon, while everyone is focused on WC. Then July 19. Final whistle. That is when the cover comes off…
noodlesresearch.com/research…
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Noodles retweeted
Jun 11
you must be a mouthbreather to Trust any Trump headline regarding Iran lmao
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Jun 11
I tend to believe at this version. We frontrun all of Trump's communication today, as always, he’s so predictable.
Jun 11
BREAKING: Iran directly rejects Trump's new claim that he reached an agreement to "cancel tonight's strikes" on Iran as "baseless," saying no agreement has been approved at all, and all of Trump's words should be disregarded like all his previous "38 times" deal-imminent announcements over two months, per Tasnim.
A senior Israeli official also tells Channel 12 they are "not aware of any agreement being reached," per N12.
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Jun 11
Five hours after “VERY HARD TONIGHT,” the strikes are cancelled. A “diplomatic breakthrough.”
That attack was never planned. “Tonight we strike” is theater.
As i said … Real operations are not announced like tonight we strike, they are scheduled.
Ground invasion is scheduled.
And check the date. June 11th. The World Cup starts today.
From The Iran Playbook, published last week: “Phase 1: The World Cup Pause. June 11 to July 19.”
To the day.
Enjoy the WC
axios.com/2026/06/11/trump-c…
Jun 11
Read between the lines:
“At some point in the not too distant future, we will be taking Kharg Island.”
Military operations are planned long in advance. They are not improvised, like “tonight we strike.”
The invasion has already been carefully planned, for a long time. And it will happen in the near future. Just after the World Cup
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Jun 11
Read between the lines:
“At some point in the not too distant future, we will be taking Kharg Island.”
Military operations are planned long in advance. They are not improvised, like “tonight we strike.”
The invasion has already been carefully planned, for a long time. And it will happen in the near future. Just after the World Cup
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Noodles retweeted
Jun 10
For weeks, while dozens of “deal imminent” headlines flooded every outlet, we said the same thing.
The deal will fail. Israel will sabotage it. Lebanon is the epicenter. And the US will eventually be forced to invade.
We called out Axios and Barak Ravid while everyone amplified them. Community notes confirmed it before the media corrected anything.
We said the MOU dies in the summer. That Israel will not stop in Lebanon. They pushed past the Litani River and occupied Beaufort Castle. During the negotiations.
We said the deal was not for Iran. It was for the bond market. Every headline bought 48 hours of lower oil and cooler yields.
We said the pretext will come. On June 3, a Hellfire missile hit a tanker near Kharg Island. Today, another tanker struck. Three crew missing. Trump claiming he seized 22 ships in the dark. The ceasefire is a word on paper.
But none of this is the point.
The point is what comes next. Air campaigns do not produce regime change. Never have. Not in Vietnam, not in Iraq, not in Libya. In December 2025, Trump signed automatic draft registration into law for every male 18 to 26. You do not build a conscription list for a war you plan to win from the air.
The reality is only this: facts and patterns. Predicting markets or geopolitics, it is still patterns and information. The difference is whether you read them before or after everyone else.
Read the full framework here.
noodlesresearch.com/research…
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Jun 11
BREAKING:
Trump just announced a ground invasion of Iran.
As you already know, this is my theory since the begin. But it will happen after the World Cup.
Jun 10
For weeks, while dozens of “deal imminent” headlines flooded every outlet, we said the same thing.
The deal will fail. Israel will sabotage it. Lebanon is the epicenter. And the US will eventually be forced to invade.
We called out Axios and Barak Ravid while everyone amplified them. Community notes confirmed it before the media corrected anything.
We said the MOU dies in the summer. That Israel will not stop in Lebanon. They pushed past the Litani River and occupied Beaufort Castle. During the negotiations.
We said the deal was not for Iran. It was for the bond market. Every headline bought 48 hours of lower oil and cooler yields.
We said the pretext will come. On June 3, a Hellfire missile hit a tanker near Kharg Island. Today, another tanker struck. Three crew missing. Trump claiming he seized 22 ships in the dark. The ceasefire is a word on paper.
But none of this is the point.
The point is what comes next. Air campaigns do not produce regime change. Never have. Not in Vietnam, not in Iraq, not in Libya. In December 2025, Trump signed automatic draft registration into law for every male 18 to 26. You do not build a conscription list for a war you plan to win from the air.
The reality is only this: facts and patterns. Predicting markets or geopolitics, it is still patterns and information. The difference is whether you read them before or after everyone else.
Read the full framework here.
noodlesresearch.com/research…
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Jun 10
This is the only truth today. Lol
Jun 9
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Trump family has made $2,300,000,000 in profit from its crypto ventures.
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Noodles retweeted
May 31
The amount of fake news by this account is out of control
BREAKING: Iran’s President Pezeshkian has submitted an official letter of resignation to the Office of the Supreme Leader, per Iran International.
In the letter, Pezeshkian stressed that the president and the government have effectively been excluded from major decision-making processes in the country and the IRGC has taken control of affairs.
Pezeshkian added that under such circumstances he is unable to run the government and carry out his legal responsibilities, and for that reason has requested to step down immediately.
It is not yet clear whether Supreme Leader Khamenei will accept the president's resignation.
Community note
Iran International reported citing an anonymous source that Pezeshkian submitted a resignation letter to the Supreme Leader citing IRGC takeover. Iranian officials have denied the report stating it has nothing to do with reality and that he continues his duties.
iranintl.com/en/202605312204
aa.com.tr/en/middle-east…
ynetnews.com/article/s1qlzb…
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Jun 10
Trump post 1: “NOTHING GETS THROUGH. STEEL WALL. Iran is doing ZERO business.”
Trump post 2: “100 MILLION Barrels got through. 200 Commercial Ships passed safely.”
Trump post 3: “We took 22 ships of oil from Iran last night.”
If nothing gets through, how did 100 million barrels pass? And if the blockade is a steel wall, what are you seizing 22 ships from?
Yesterday an Iranian drone took down a US Apache helicopter in that same Strait. If you control it, your helicopters do not end up in the sea.
CPI just hit 4.2%. Trump says “I love the inflation.” This is the same war he started that pushed oil above $100 and broke every inflation forecast for 2026.
Three contradictions in three posts. The blockade that lets everything through. The control that loses helicopters. The inflation he loves after causing it.
X feed and propaganda are out of control. Kobeissi, Axios, no difference. Just amplifiers…
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