@Polymarket trader. @zscdao. Fundamental Analyst. Looking for the uncommon. 2nd cycle. Quality over quantity. FA threads and more 👇
Joined March 2021
- Tweets 20,176
- Following 233
- Followers 1,505
- Likes 30,636
2,518 Photos and videos
31 Dec 2025
Hi everyone!
As the year comes to an end, it’s time for accountability.
I will make it short.
I have been burned out by the markets because of poor risk management (95% of my crypto were <20M mcap) so lost a shit ton of money and I got fed up. Thats why even if I still hold 2 positions ( $ASTRA and $SPECT ) I’m not confident at all in (micro) altcoins anymore, since the beginning of the cycle.
Since I did not want to be hypocritical and tell you to keep believing while I stopped to, I just switched to Polymarket (doing good there) not just with a trend but because energy and way to do things feels really better.
Now, regarding @CryptifyAI $CRAI, I have been disappointed in the last months. I warned Ozgur (CEO) that I was worried about the chart even if most of projects were also drowning, he should not keep giving more supply to KOLs because they were just selling away, he did kept doing so.
Then, at one moment, all of the KOLs stopped posting (except me) and I learned a few weeks later that he stopped working with all of the KOLs (thats why the chart dumped even more than other projects) but he even did not take the time to make me aware of this even if I have supported them since day 0 without any failure.
Yes they kept trying to post on X and promote and build the products but they have not been as transparent and aware as I would have liked to.
Bottom line, I personally lost 5 figures in it, alongside my relatives which I made them invested into it as well.
I will resume posting about Polymarket at some points next year but not until I’m profitable myself (for now just having fun and winning here and there).
Meanwhile, take care, enjoy your loved ones, stay off the screen for some days during holidays and comeback stronger next year ✌️
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3 Dec 2025
QT just ended.
I won't make a big post about what those means for crypto, you can check the one from @CryptoGirlNova which is excellent.
However, I will insist on what that means for mid-term crypto on a broader macro vision:
-> QT is generally followed by QE (Quantitative easing) meaning instead of selling, the FED is buying (mainly gov bonds). But also print money (low interest rates thanks to the cut).
-> When QE and money printing starts, investors are turning into risk on mode and are mainly buying risk on assets (opposite of gold, bonds etc...)
-> This is where the rotation of big money flow from risk off assets to crypto (the most risk on asset).
Conclusion:
In the short term (december) I don't expect anything crazy. However in the mid-term (following months). I expect a reversal with green prices.
2 Dec 2025
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve officially ends quantitative tightening.
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3 Dec 2025
I'm back
Polymarket supercycle
17 Nov 2025
GM everyone!
Just landed in Nepal 🇳🇵
Will spend the 2 following weeks trekking around so I will be off
See you around ✌️
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cryptouncommon retweeted
2 Dec 2025
Behind the scenes of writing a banger article.
Bookmark it and read it later because its full of alpha and I’m sure you will not regret it
2 Dec 2025
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17 Nov 2025
GM everyone!
Just landed in Nepal 🇳🇵
Will spend the 2 following weeks trekking around so I will be off
See you around ✌️
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13 Nov 2025
Going into holidays with a big RIP 🪦
I don’t know if I was awake I would have sold at 90% chance (my AVG was 60)
I have read the alerts received by @NevuaMarkets and what a rollercoaster it has been while I was sleeping…
I saw many top traders I follow got trapped as well..
Thats life. @Hivelive_ is finished for me even if I have some funds left on the account I can’t make a comeback 😅
12 Nov 2025
ALL IN for November 12 Government Shutdown ending on @Polymarket
As part of the @Hivelive_ cup I made this all-in because I lost a "big" bet I made on Elon tweets at 1h close... So I decided to try everything to get back in the competition.
The House of the representatives will vote to end the shutdown on 4PM ET today. If it passes I think the OPM of White House will urge to announce the end of the shutdown.
I was switched and made profits several times on this market but lastly I was positioned on November 13, took profits and sold all my position to all-in on November 12.
The rules are clear, the market will resolve according to the date of the announcement, not when the government will actually reopen.
Meaning that if there is the announcement today, that the government will reopen tomorrow, then it will resolve as a YES for November 12.
Btw I'm using @betmoardotfun to trade because of all of the insights and sick UI
Market link below 👇
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12 Nov 2025
ALL IN for November 12 Government Shutdown ending on @Polymarket
As part of the @Hivelive_ cup I made this all-in because I lost a "big" bet I made on Elon tweets at 1h close... So I decided to try everything to get back in the competition.
The House of the representatives will vote to end the shutdown on 4PM ET today. If it passes I think the OPM of White House will urge to announce the end of the shutdown.
I was switched and made profits several times on this market but lastly I was positioned on November 13, took profits and sold all my position to all-in on November 12.
The rules are clear, the market will resolve according to the date of the announcement, not when the government will actually reopen.
Meaning that if there is the announcement today, that the government will reopen tomorrow, then it will resolve as a YES for November 12.
Btw I'm using @betmoardotfun to trade because of all of the insights and sick UI
Market link below 👇
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10 Nov 2025
Some claims on my 200to2000 @Polymarket for the @Hivelive_ cup.
I got some losses as well so I'm still down -4$ PNL since the beginning of the competition but I'm getting there bit by bit...
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10 Nov 2025
Not many projects can claim they are still here after having been building the last 2 years.
@AstraLabs_Inc is one of them, on its way to build an empire around $ASTRA 🔥
10 Nov 2025
Happy 2 Years of $ASTRA ✨
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Built across three global entities (UAE 🇦🇪, CY 🇨🇾, KY 🇰🇾)
and partnered with hundreds of projects holding a combined valuation exceeding $2 Billion.
We’ve built real products, solved real problems, and proved
that innovation doesn’t stop when markets do.
Now, a new mission begins,
even greater and even bolder than the first.
See you at the stars. 💫
Per Aspera Ad $ASTRA ✨
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4 Nov 2025
Ready for the competition @Hivelive_ @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade
3 Nov 2025
Every 'sharp trader' on CT thinks they have edge. Let's find out who actually does.
Introducing, THE GENESIS CUP, brought to you by Hive & @betmoardotfun
A PvP prediction market tournament where P&L is everything.
$10,000 in rewards. 2 Qualifying rounds. 16-trader bracket. One champion.
AND WE'RE DOCUMENTING THE ENTIRE TOURNAMENT.
Interviewing winners, losers, and everyone who participated as it happens.
Real traders, real P&L, real lessons.
Everyone should enter regardless of skill level, because you're not just competing, you're becoming part of the content verticals and the community we're establishing.
We're implementing a $200 starting capital limit to ensure that this is 100% about skill, and not about bankroll size.
We guarantee you will get something out of participating, even if you come dead last.
This is the March Madness for Prediction Markets, and you're competing against the realest in the space, head-to-head, round by round.
THE FORMAT:
Two trading periods determine the Top 16. Then the bracket begins.
1st Trading Period (Nov 9-15): Everyone Competes and the top 50 traders advance.
2nd Trading Period (Nov 16-22): The top 50 from the 1st trading period compete, and the Top 16 traders advance to the bracket
Then it's you vs another trader. 1v1. Multi-day windows. Whoever has higher P&L advances.
P&L resets every round. Everyone starts each match with up to $200.
Sweet 16 → Elite 8 → Final 4 → Champion.
Top 50 traders walk away with guaranteed $ prizes. But only ONE becomes the Genesis Cup champion.
Registration closes November 8th.
(Registration & Instructions in comments/bio👇)
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4 Nov 2025
This market is a joke for real
$ETH has been down 20% in the span of 48h despite stocks make new ATH
I’m really happy to have moved away to @Polymarket in terms of focus and content
Even if I did not sell a penny from my crypto bag, I couldn’t just keep posting about this shitty market like nothing’s happening
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4 Nov 2025
GM polybros
I have talked about it in the @zscdao Discord and also on X in the replies, I was really thinking that 94% for Mamdani was overvalued despite I believe in a victory.
That's why I have bought those 2 positions and made a x2 on it. Sold half for profit, and I have another sell limit-order around 18% for a x3
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3 Nov 2025
Something I don’t understand with Mamdani bets is, why the fuck is “Will Trump talk to Mamdani in Nov” trading at 30% YES despite Mamdani will win the NYC elections?
Trump not talking to the new mayor of such big city? Over a month?
Definitely worth betting something on
@Polymarket link 👇
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3 Nov 2025
My biggest unrealized losses on @Polymarket are my takes on $ETH
Indeed I have bet a huge % of my PF that $ETH will hit (not even close) 5k$ by EOY and smaller part it will hit 6k$ (Less confident but still believe)
-> 2 fed rate cuts already
-> QT about to end in 1 month. QE about to start?
-> All markets pump, you think we are going to get left behind?
-> Gold erased trillions from its mcap, where do you think this money will flow in the following months?
-> Tariffs are all settled
Macro wise I'm bullish and see the things coming
I don't think whales and market makers are gonna keep the exhaustion until Q1 2026.
There is a chance but that's not what I'm betting on.
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2 Nov 2025
Even if Mamdani wiil probably get elected in the end, I believe 94% odds are still overvalued especially that in the ANY election whatsoever we see some fluctuation and volatility.
We lately saw it with Netherlands election.
I think there are some money to be made in those trades.
What do you guys think @PolymarketTrade ?
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