Long-term cycle, value, technical analysis; trading & investing || Become a sub: cycleinvestmentstrategy.com/…
Joined March 2021
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We started our momentum trading portfolio (in addition to the investment portfolio) for our subscribers in 2025 with $100,000. Since then it has grown from 100k to 144k. We share all executions live with the subs. On each trade we risk less than 1% of the portfolio, which is how we've avoided crashes and big drawdowns. As you can see, we lose more often than we win (52.8%!). But when we win, we make 2.6x our risk. Some early subscribers are irritated by the number of stop losses we take, but for many it's "eye opening" to realize it's not about being right or wrong, but how much you make when you're right and how little you lose when you're wrong. We don't offer a free trial, but if you're interested, shoot us a DM. We have a very low cancellation rate because we don't promise what we can't deliver.
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Time for M&A to heat up. Time for oil small caps !
Jun 12
*EXXON SAID TO STUDY TAKEOVER TARGETS INCLUDING WOODSIDE ENERGY
$XOM
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Subs, check your inbox or the link below. Entered a new momentum trade.
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Interesting. That’s exactly the skill set you need to succeed as a trader.
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As outlined before, the $PSCE/ $SILJ ratio (currently backtesting) continues to point towards an outperformance of oil stocks, offering a much better risk/reward setup than #silver at this stage. Numerous factors support this view, and in a volatile market like the current one, the more evidence you have, the better you can position yourself. #oil
Oil small caps relative to silver juniors. The better dip-buying opportunity speaks for itself. One reason our portfolio held up while other commodity portfolios didn't. Live portfolio for the subs currently 23% YTD.
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Quiet the drop in bullishness for the US stock market in the most recent AAII Data. Nearly matching the lows of the SOH correction in Q1.
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Jun 10
Explosions reported in Iranian towns of Sirik, Manab, Bandar Abbas and Bushehr
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Cycle Investment Strategy retweeted
Jun 10
Small-Cap Energy $PSCE is coiling above a well-defined polarity level.
@cycle_strategy
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Oil small caps relative to silver juniors. The better dip-buying opportunity speaks for itself. One reason our portfolio held up while other commodity portfolios didn't. Live portfolio for the subs currently 23% YTD.
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Cycle Investment Strategy retweeted
The Invesco S&P SmallCap Energy ETF ($PSCE) also continues to look very constructive, pointing to potential outperformance among smaller #energy stocks. Following its breakout from a multi-year trading range, the ETF is currently completing a successful backtest and appears to be bouncing from support.
Attractive setup for smaller #oil stocks here.
New long-term investment in a small-cap oil producer flying under the radar. Low cost producer, healthy balance sheet, big reserves and valued at only 4x EV/EBITDA (no LATAM assets...)
Link below.
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RT @LindaRaschke: Ms. (or is it Mr..) Russ: a close around here would set up power ful OD/ID breakout formation. (can go in either direct…
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$XLE has been consolidating nicely in a flag since its late-March highs. The sector appears to be on the verge of its next phase of outperformance, which is why we have increased our exposure by initiating a new position in a small-cap oil company. Read our latest report below for the full investment thesis #oil #energy
New long-term investment in a small-cap oil producer flying under the radar. Low cost producer, healthy balance sheet, big reserves and valued at only 4x EV/EBITDA (no LATAM assets...)
Link below.
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New long-term investment in a small-cap oil producer flying under the radar. Low cost producer, healthy balance sheet, big reserves and valued at only 4x EV/EBITDA (no LATAM assets...)
Link below.
The #oil chart continues to consolidate within a large bullish flag, and we believe an upside breakout is only a matter of time. Admittedly, developments have progressed more slowly than expected, but we remain very comfortable with our positioning and also plan to increase our exposure to oil small-caps later this week.
A detailed investment thesis on a particularly compelling oil play will be published in the coming days #crude
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The #oil chart continues to consolidate within a large bullish flag, and we believe an upside breakout is only a matter of time. Admittedly, developments have progressed more slowly than expected, but we remain very comfortable with our positioning and also plan to increase our exposure to oil small-caps later this week.
A detailed investment thesis on a particularly compelling oil play will be published in the coming days #crude
Despite the massive #Nasdaq rally and the return of risk-on sentiment, #oil refuses to break sustainably lower, as shown by the long wicks on the daily candles over the last few days. Prices remain notably elevated without further escalation in the Iran war and oil equities are rising simultaneously with the broader market.
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New weekend report out for the subs! Check your inbox or the link below. Have a great start to the week!
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Silver was $86 back then and your local chart bro called the break out. Maybe we saved some
Subs, check your inbox or the link below for the new weekend report! Covering potential momentum setups, oil, risk assets and why the strength in silver is not interesting right now.
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