We have no data about the future... I design & de-risk growth strategies, new ventures/products, JVs, VC/PE/M&A deals with Yotta Model (business constellations)

Joined March 2014
3 Photos and videos
Daniel Marek retweeted
25 Nov 2021
It is easy to feel trapped by your ‘Zone of Competence’: things you are good at doing, but do not love. I spent 15 years doing that. To truly find meaning in your work, focus on your ‘Zone of Genius’ instead:
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Daniel Marek retweeted
13 Nov 2021
The world of homo sapiens is indeed a curious land, for we seek to control organizations, societies, economies and nature with minds that cannot control their own thoughts and emotions for thirty seconds.
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Daniel Marek retweeted
Richard Smith, who edited BMJ for 13 years, on the state of health research: "It may be time to move from assuming that research has been honestly conducted and reported to assuming it to be untrustworthy until there is some evidence to the contrary." blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2021/07/05…
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Agree - elevating human consciousness in business has a much more balanced impact with much less collateral damage.
“for every euro we spend in AI we should spend another euro in elevanting human consciousness” couldn’t agree more @harari_yuval #MWC2021 @carmeartigas
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A healthy dose of common sense 👍
At PayPal, I once wasted $1M on a marketing segmentation to build personas. Here’s what we actually learned, plus what I now do instead. 👇🏼
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Daniel Marek retweeted
6 Jun 2021
The world crawls with greedy men of narrow mind, brutal heart, and blind eye who tear the world apart for profit. At times we call it progress. At times we call it prosperity. At times we call it liberty. At times we call it just. It is time to call it what it is - - - insanity!
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Daniel Marek retweeted
27 May 2021
My first company @twitch sold for a billion dollars. My second one lost $75 million in 36 months. People love talking about success, but today I'm going to talk about failure. It's time to be honest about Atrium:
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Daniel Marek retweeted
I’ve noticed that some founders really “get” org design / process design. More than the average org design nerd like you or I. They sweat this stuff and think about it daily
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If you have less than 3 hours to spare & want to learn (almost) everything about state-of-the-art explainable ML, this thread is for you! Below, I am sharing info about 4 of our recent tutorials on explainability presented at NeurIPS, AAAI, FAccT, and CHIL conferences. [1/n]
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Daniel Marek retweeted
29 Apr 2021
I've started 2 consumer brands (@kettleandfire and @perfectketones) that each have done $100mm in sales in less than 5 years. If you’re starting a consumer brand, here are the 7 key areas to focus (thread):
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"Data-driven decision-making" is like driving a car by looking into rear-view mirror only - we have data only about the past, never about the future. In the end reality always wins - whether it's reflected in the data we have or not. We better do "reality-driven decision-making".
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In 5-10 years, parts of AI may become the new asbestos. The current widespread & uncritical use of “AI” may end up in class-action suits, regulation or bans of parts of AI, once their side effects, systemic impacts & collateral damage on people and society are better understood.
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A good analysis of startup failures. Unfortunately, like almost all such analyses, it focuses on symptoms and avoids the most critical inner drivers: - intents - skillsets - attitudes, values, mental models and decision-making patterns of the founders and the core team.
Most of us engineer success by trying to replicate success patterns. Makes sense. But what if studying failure patterns has an equally important role? Today's @NFX analysis w/ @teisenmann of @HarvardHBS breaks down the 6 patterns of startup failure: nfx.com/post/hidden-patterns…
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“Company culture” is a direct reflection of conscious & unconscious behaviours, beliefs & cognitive/mental models of those who run the company - few people are willing & able to revise & change them, that’s why few company cultures can change under the same management team.
Languge is a useful tool for everyday communication, but it becomes a prison if we use it to understand ourselves, people, nature and Life at deeper levels. For these, direct reality sensing/perception through inner vision/feelings/smell/taste/sounds work far better.
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Thanks to AI advances, many people will finally discover one of the most prevalent unconscious cognitive patterns we all exhibit: projecting our own unconscious patterns (beliefs, needs, filters, expectations, etc.) on outside world, both on objects and on other people.
19 Jul 2020
Replying to @ericjang11
A lot of people see GPT-3 outputs and fall victim to anthropomorphic bias : ascribing humanlike characteristics, usually mental properties or agency, to things that do not have it.
It seems we have been relying on incorrect data & flawed methodology when trying to understand the brain... fastcompany.com/90520750/duk…

We can respond to all events (including deep social issues and ongoing conflicts around us) with fight or flight responses (anger, aggression, denial) or with wisdom. Our reponse impacts not only how others react to us, but also how we experience it and how we can deal with it.
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Indeed. To minimise user blindness, every "data-driven" decision should come with one key number: What % of data required to make the decision do the decision-makers BELIEVE they actually have. In most decisions about the future beyond few weeks, the % is likely well below 10%...
Data-driven: pretending intuition doesn’t exist by making sure there is a [possibly bs? Who cares!] chart for every decision Data-informed: preserving humanity by making sure that charts aren’t the only thing making decisions; remembering that context, analysis, & reason matter
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Daniel Marek retweeted
#FederalReserve balance sheet now up to USD 7.2 trillion!
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