ALT Tropical Weather Outlook graphic. A map indicates the areas where tropical cyclone formation is possible. To the right of the map is an overview as well as threat and safety information. The overview reads: The northwestern Gulf disturbance continues to have a low (20 percent) chance of development over the next 7 days. The central Atlantic disturbance has a medium (40 percent) chance of development over the next 7 days. Threat information is as follows: This system is not an immediate threat to the local area. This system could bring heavy rainfall, coastal flooding, and gusty winds to the area. This system could bring life-threatening storm surge, flooding rainfall, and damaging winds to the area. A few safety tips include: Follow and share info from official sources. Monitor the forecast for changes. Review your plans before they're needed.