Prof. of International Relations & National Security. Space. Also nukes, civil-military, cats. Personal tweets only.

Joined January 2009
7,020 Photos and videos
Like other civil servants, I took an oath of loyalty to our _Constitution_, not to any man. Our Republic, if we can keep it. youtube.com/watch?time_conti…
19
78
438
A thought for my celebratory space community followers. Does it bother you the guy you're cheering was egging on a pogrom this week? Is there no evil he could do on Earth that would outweigh an orbital data center to you? Have you called out his racism even once?
2
7
25
1,037
GASPEE DAYS! Parade and 5k this morning in my neighborhood celebrating how in 1772, in response to aggressive and disrespectful customs enforcement agents of a king they didn't vote for, Rhode Islanders took matters into their own hands
128
David Burbach (also @dburbach Bluesky) retweeted
Before she departs, Gabbard uses her platform and access to intelligence to perpetuate one of her and Russia’s favorite conspiracy theories, disingenuously twisting facts, deliberately misinforming the public and delivering a gift to the Kremlin.
Today, I’m releasing never before seen intelligence revealing new evidence of past US government funding for more than 120 biolabs in over 30 countries, including Ukraine. In support of President Trump‘s Executive Order to end federal funding of dangerous gain of function research around the world, and increase transparency and accountability, ODNI will continue working with partners across the Administration to identify where these labs are, what pathogens they contain, and what “research” is being conducted. odni.gov/index.php/newsroom/…
362
1,225
5,334
310,750
David Burbach (also @dburbach Bluesky) retweeted
This is an echo of the terrible smear that became a pop culture trope about Vietnam veterans: that they came back as walking time bombs. Whether you are pro or con Platner, he chose to go to war, and America's veterans are not "broken" people.
Replying to @daveweigel
Khanna says that Democrats should respect the women who came forward to talk about Platner while understanding that he changed and that veterans were “broken” in stupid wars.
77
145
897
89,124
David Burbach (also @dburbach Bluesky) retweeted
JP Morgan replaces bearish Tesla analyst and raises $TSLA price target to $475 from $145 🚨📈🥳🫂
153
151
1,058
322,592
Man the credulousness "Glad you're interested in buying my pizza joint! Hey, I just got a deal with the local college, their Dean (who co-owns my pizza shop) will buy 1000 pizzas a week for students next year! No cancel penalty / no commitment. Now, let's talk price!"
It's crazy that with 1 deal the SpaceX IPO went from 100x revenue to 50x revenue.
1
16
2,409
If we expected the CAOC to be hit and abandoned it as soon as the war started, was it really the CAOC? Are we spending money on such facilities anymore if we expect them to be lost right away?
NEW: The main U.S. air war command center in the Middle East suffered a direct hit soon after the war with Iran began and was severely damaged, sources tell Air & Space Forces Magazine. The Combined Air Operations Center at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar was hit by Iranian missiles. A secondary facility in South Carolina filled the gap. airandspaceforces.com/us-air…
1
23
1,503
My guess is the $125M only accounts for the most overt things like changin physical signs on buildings from "Defense" to "WAR". How much time am I going to have to spend updating every document and slide I use? Multiply by a couple million employees
If this actually passes - and if we tag $125 million to do it - it will not only be embarrassing *while we're losing an an actual war to Iran*, but it'll have to be added to the "goofy stuff Trump did that will have to be undone" list.
15
1,202
Without comment
News: The House Armed Services Committee has adopted an amendment by @RepRonnyJackson to formally rename the "Department of War." It was party-line. 29-27.
3
747
David Burbach (also @dburbach Bluesky) retweeted
Some top Hegseth aide at the Pentagon keeps launching racist attacks against the Economist’s Washington bureau chief, seemingly from the Pentagon itself.
18
8
76
4,491
David Burbach (also @dburbach Bluesky) retweeted
The comments to Shashank in this thread are shocking. In the UK we largely see the subjugation of the US media through outbursts in the Oval Office. So it’s rare that we see the vitriol of others behind the “curtain”, and especially from the US military/veteran community.
542
32
250
185,694
Happy Pride Month, everyone
Jun 4
Trump on Hillary Clinton: They talked to this beautiful big strong miner and they wanted him to make computer chips. His hands were so large he couldn't hold a computer chip.
2
500
David Burbach (also @dburbach Bluesky) retweeted
Applications are open for SWF’s Space Boot Camp for Nuclear Policy Professionals. This week-long program is for early-career nuclear policy professionals & PhD researchers interested in how space activities affect strategic stability. Apply by July 2: 👉 tinyurl.com/bdfcuzua
5
8
1,272
Goldman projecting SpaceX revenue will grow to just under $500 billion per year just four years from today ($322 billion of that from AI)). Basically 100% growth per year, forever. unrelated point: Goldman is lead underwriter on the IPO
GOLDMAN SEES SPACEX AI REVENUE EXPLODING TO $322B BY 2030 Goldman Sachs projects SpaceX AI revenue rising from $3.2B in 2025 to $322B by 2030, a ~100x increase, forming the core justification for its $1.78T IPO valuation. Total revenue is forecast to reach $474B, with Starlink at $144B and rockets at $8.3B. AI segment growth is tied to aggressive market assumptions despite current losses and execution concerns around xAI. Overall EBITDA is seen surging to $352B by 2030.
2
10
569
David Burbach (also @dburbach Bluesky) retweeted
I have to admit it has been fascinating to hear about how I and a bunch of professors single-handedly lost every war over the past 30 years while the new A-team is losing to Iran in record time.
I'll be honest. I had the same thought. The InfantryDort and friends circle jerk about how War Colleges and ROE lost the GWOT and the crash out about Tom Nichols is extra embarrassing with Iran running the table against Trump and Hesgeth.
28
155
1,176
47,791
David Burbach (also @dburbach Bluesky) retweeted
Of course I unblocked you. You’re now part of an official defense department team and I’m curious to see what you’re doing on behalf of the public.
Hey he unblocked me! What fun.
22
24
543
36,088
David Burbach (also @dburbach Bluesky) retweeted
“Academic Freedom Is a National Security Imperative” - Captain Roger Herbert, U.S. Navy (Retired) usni.org/magazines/proceedin…
1
1
170
David Burbach (also @dburbach Bluesky) retweeted
Imagine you spent 40 years doing the boring, responsible thing. You opened a 401k at 23. You contributed every paycheck. You ignored the noise. You bought the index because Bogle told you to, because Buffett told you to, because every honest piece of financial advice for 30 years told you the index was the safest, most diversified, most rules-based way to own America. The whole point was the rules. The rules said: a company must trade for 12 months before joining the S&P 500. The rules said: it must show four consecutive quarters of GAAP profitability. The rules existed because in 1999 the index quietly bought a lot of stocks at the top, and pensioners paid the bill. After the dot-com crash, S&P tightened the rules. Nasdaq tightened the rules. FTSE Russell tightened the rules. For 23 years, those rules held. Then SpaceX filed for IPO. And the rules changed. The S&P 500 waived the profitability requirement. Nasdaq cut its trading-history window from 90 days to 15. FTSE Russell cut its to 5. Bloomberg Intelligence estimates the major index funds will absorb between 19% and 24% of SpaceX's float within six months. That's over $30 trillion of passive 401k and retirement money, mechanically buying a single newly public company at IPO valuations, because the rules said they had to. Except the rules used to say they didn't. Here's the thought exercise: If you spend 40 years building a system designed to protect ordinary savers from buying overpriced stocks, and then you waive the protections the moment a sufficiently large stock asks you to, what was the system actually protecting? Most of investing is about understanding what's a rule and what's a guideline. A rule binds the rule-maker. A guideline binds the saver. You're allowed to find out which is which only after the fact.
May 29
Rule changes for the SpaceX $SPCX IPO: Index providers waived the profitability requirement and cut the seasoning window from 90 days to 5. This forces over $30 trillion in passive 401k and retirement money to buy SpaceX at IPO valuations. Bloomberg Intelligence estimates S&P 500 funds must absorb 19% of SpaceX's float within 6 months. Russell 1000 and Nasdaq 100 funds will absorb 24%. The rules built to protect passive investors: 1. S&P 500 has required 12 months of trading and 4 quarters of GAAP profitability since 2002. Both waived. 2. Nasdaq cut its inclusion window from 90 trading days to 15. 3. FTSE Russell cut its to 5. All three benchmarks are now structured to buy SpaceX at IPO pricing.
248
1,783
10,826
3,655,876