I have just been arrested by the police in Madrid, Spain. My phone and passport have been seized but I had a second phone in my pocket so I’m writing this from the back of the police car. I was at Puerta del Sol for just 5 minutes. Police told me I cannot have conversations in the public square. I researched the law and spoke with a lawyer and.they are wrong.

It's almost as if the guy selling "Stoicism" to the masses he never read Epictetus's comments on social roles.

Lately I’ve been re-studying hypnosis (new books, old books, modern meta-analyses), and one thing keeps hitting me harder every time: We still don’t have good everyday language for the difference between: (a) something that clearly works in the real world, and (b) the current scientific explanation for why it works. Most people use the word “Science” for both, and that confusion has cost us huge amounts of progress. Best example in history: Franz Anton Mesmer in the 1770s–80s. The guy was the most famous doctor in Europe. He was friends with the Mozart family, treated people in Marie Antoinette’s circle, and had thousands of patients with “incurable” conditions (mostly functional paralysis, hysterical blindness, seizures, chronic pain, and other disorders we now recognize as largely psychological or psychosomatic) walking out dramatically better. His Paris salon was packed every day. His method was absolutely bonkers by today’s standards: - Giant wooden tubs (baquets) filled with iron filings and water that he claimed he had “magnetized.” - Iron rods sticking out that patients held while he walked around in a lilac silk robe playing eerie music on a glass armonica. - People would go into convulsions, cry, laugh, pass out--and then wake up saying their symptoms were gone. - Later he decided he could magnetize trees, so crowds would just hug a tree he had “charged” and the same thing happened. 1784: Louis XVI sends the ultimate scientific dream team (Benjamin Franklin, Lavoisier, Guillotin) to investigate. They run proper blinded experiments and correctly conclude: there is no magnetic fluid. The theory is total nonsense. So far, so good. Here’s where it goes wrong: because the explanation was wrong, the entire medical establishment basically declared the results fake too. Hypnosis disappeared from legitimate medicine for almost 70 years. They threw out a real, repeatable phenomenon because the first guy who noticed it had the wrong model for how it worked. And we still do this today. We act like “Science” (capital S) is the current list of accepted explanations, and if something doesn’t have an approved mechanism yet, it gets labeled pseudoscience--even when thousands of regular people are getting measurable, life-changing results. I’ve watched the exact same pattern with carnivore over the last 7 years: the observable outcomes are often spectacular, but because we don’t have the “correct” mechanism fully nailed down and blessed by the institutions, a lot of people just dismiss it outright. Observation and explanation are two different things. Rejecting a bad explanation is good science. Rejecting a mountain of real-world observations because the explanation isn’t ready yet is not science--it’s dogma wearing a lab coat. That’s what I’ve been thinking on lately. The Mesmer story is crazy, but the bigger issue is how often we still repeat the exact same mistake.

Max pain would be everyone capitulating in the next week or two then having Bitcoin rocket to or near all time high again in December which encourages the masses to pile back in right after they just sold during this downturn (FOMO). Then, literally moments after they rebuy in -- the drop resumes with the ensuing 70-80% drop from the all time high over the next year -- with the masses selling in October or November 2026 (near the bottom). Just the maximum pain on the maximum number of people scenario, not necessarily what will happen.

If the top for Bitcoin was around $126,000 then the bottom will most likely be around $25k-$30k in November 2026. If the top ends up being $150,000 in December 2025 then the bottom will most likely be $30k-$45k Of course, "this time could be different" and it could just keep going up, but I'm not betting on it. That has been a worry every cycle top for the last 15 years. It also "could be different" in a way people aren't anticipating ... specifically if we end up in a severe recession or depression in 2026. Then the bottom could be much lower and stretch out far beyond 2026.

The things people screw up when trying an all-meat diet... 1️⃣ Eating lean meats. They’re still doing chicken breasts and 90/10 ground beef like they did when they were eating bread, rice, and veggies. Nope. The all-meat diet is really a mostly fat diet. Fat is the fuel now. Cut the fat, and you’re constipated, exhausted, and if you keep it up too long (rabbit starvation). Your liver literally can’t process all that protein without fat. This is the #1 reason people tap out. 2️⃣ Still “dieting.” They bring that old 6-ounce portion mindset with them. “I’ll just have a little steak.” Dude, you’re not eating 800 calories of rice and broccoli anymore. You need 1.5 to 2 pounds of fatty meat a day (minimum) to get the nutrition your body needs. No fortified carbs and veggies means meat has to do the heavy lifting. 3️⃣ Supplementation. Everyone’s terrified they’re missing vitamins. But here’s the wild part: hundreds of us who’ve done this long-term need way less than you think. Every long-term carnivore I’ve spoken to doesn’t use supplements unless they have some specific genetic condition. Supplements often increase carb cravings and mess with adaptation. I’ve seen people delay full adaptation for months because they kept popping magnesium or electrolytes. That said, some take vitamin D in winter if they live in a cave. I’ve tried it both ways. Without it? Still fine. 4️⃣ Cheat days. Your body doesn’t switch fuels overnight. It takes 3 to 6 months (not a week, not a month) to fully adapt. Cheat days just kick you back to square one. This is why most low-carb studies show stress and cortisol spikes (because they only follow people for 3-4 weeks). During adaptation: You’ll crave carbs. You might not sleep great. You’ll be irritable. That’s normal. Push through. When you break through? It’s like waking up from a fog. Energy, clarity, mood (everything clicks). And yeah, someone always says, “So you’re just like vegans (‘don’t eat this, don’t eat that’).” On the surface? Sure. But there’s a very stark difference: Vegans don’t eat things for moral reasons (ie - eating or harming animals in ANY way is bad and therefore we should do what is morally right and avoid anything that might do that). Carnivores and all-meat-eaters do things because it works for health and well-being. I’ve tried bringing carbs back (multiple times over 7 years). This last summer was the longest experiment. Every single time: 20-25 lbs, brain fog, joint pain, evaporating mental sharpness. It always starts with “one bite won’t hurt.” One bite turns into a week. Then a month. Then I’m back to square one, waiting months to feel human again. Don’t cheat. Don’t half-ass it. Go all in. The other side is worth it.

My End of Year Thoughts On Bitcoin and the Economy In General I’ll admit that I’ve always been attracted to bear scenarios. They’re tempting. So it gives me great pleasure to write a bear post for my end-of-year thoughts. 1. Mid-2026 will most likely be a disaster. We are ending an 18-year real-estate cycle and business cycle at the same time. Add sky-high debt, half-empty office buildings, and China’s property mess still leaking everywhere. Perfect storm. Add another match to the fire: AI white-collar layoffs. Goldman Sachs says 300 million jobs worldwide are exposed. McKinsey says 60-70% of worker activities could be automated. IMF says 40% of global jobs touched. Entry-level grads already can’t find work; middle managers next. Recession AI = no rehires, just higher unemployment and less spending. That gasoline pours straight on the 2026 property crash. If you’re leveraged in property, good luck. 2. Bitcoin is nothing like it should be and has been abstracted into oblivion (same as they did with gold). I’m a gambler and speculator and I think I’m pretty good at it. But this doesn’t blind me to two big problems: FIRST: Bitcoin never became the electronic cash it was meant to be. - Cash App and Venmo move money free so nobody bothers with BTC. Open either app, tap a contact, type $20, hit send. Done in 4 seconds. No seed phrase, no confirmations, no "replace-by-fee" drama. It settles in dollars (the exact currency you earn, spend, and owe rent in). People don’t learn 12-word phrases for the same reason they don’t learn Morse code to text. Real numbers: Venmo moved over $325 billion in 2025. Cash App quarterly inflows hit $76 billion in Q2. Bitcoin on-chain? 300,000-400,000 tx/day, $20-40 billion/day at most, but 90% of that is whales shuffling, not coffee money. P2P dollar apps beat Bitcoin at P2P by 20x because they removed every speed-bump Satoshi never saw coming. It was actually easy: one bank link, one QR code, zero volatility, zero tax forms for a $20 burrito split. That’s why your group chat pays rent with Venmo and nobody’s QR-code wallet ever leaves the drawer. -7 tx/sec = no scale. - Wall Street paperized it, ETF’d it, custodied it. - Dozens of other technical blocks I won’t list. End result? Bitcoin just sits there like gold you can teleport. Wall Street built a vault, not a wallet. Second: Speculation doesn’t improve lives. Utility does. I’m a speculator saying this. Price going up feels great in my wallet, but it doesn’t put food on anyone else’s table. Real value is created (and kept) when something has utility and improves lives of everyone involved. Bitcoin doesn't do any of that right now. It's a pure speculative money-shuffling game. 3. The Bitcoin bull cycle will end in November or December 2025 (if it hasn’t already). We already hit $126k last month (October 6 ATH at $126,279). That might have been the bull-cycle top. Could also surge at the end (which it has done in the past) or just peter out, which it did last cycle. Either way, 70-80% drop incoming after December 2025. Bottom at $30k-$40k-ish in November 2026 if the top is already in. If we slip into a full depression, it stays lower longer. One extra I’m willing to stand by: MicroStrategy never sells a single bitcoin (unless the US government forces a strategic reserve fire-sale or something equally insane). 641,205 BTC today. All converts unsecured, zero LTV covenants, no margin calls. First big maturity not until 2027-28. At $25-30k BTC their stack is still worth $16-19 billion against ~$8 billion debt. They just dilute shareholders with the $40 billion ATM shelf left, roll the notes, and keep stacking. Stock -90%, copy-cat treasuries blow up, Saylor becomes the cockroach king. Only dies if BTC lives below $15k for four straight years (which could happen if we hit a depression-like scenario) BlackRock or a Bitcoin mandate bails him out first. I'll quote this post in 12 months and see how it held up.

The history of multiples on Bitcoin investment, peak-to-peak, over the last 14 years.

If I had to rate the highest probability bet over all of history it would be betting AGAINST "this time is different".

Dr. Seuss - Advertising Genius - http://b2l.me/a4c63k. Excellent and informative

The source of the most successful sales letter of all time http://covertcommunications.com/greatest-ad-swipe-martin-conroys-two-men-ad

The lost swipe file of Martin Conroy http://covertcommunications.com/greatest-ad-swipe-martin-conroys-two-men-ad/

"Arctic Ocean Getting Warm; Seals Vanish and Icebergs Melt." - The Washington Post Nov. 2, 1922

Label on Swede oatmeal box: “Climate declared: .87 kg CO2 per kg of product.” http://tinyurl.com/yjqwrmp

RT @andy_moose "Life is a pitch, and then you buy!" Billy Mays 1958-2009

@Nailholes Never read A Canticle for Leibowitz. Do you like it enough to recommend it?

Reading @BenSettle Why so many sales pitches royally suck... and one simple way to make sure yours doesnt: http://tinyurl.com/r6orog