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Will Bitcoin miners enter one of the most favourable phases since the China ban? Since October, network hashrate has been pulling back and difficulty has followed. The final weeks of 2025 closed with three consecutive downward adjustments, interrupted only by a marginal 0.04% uptick on December 25. That trend has continued into 2026. The network has already seen two more difficulty reductions, at –1.2% and –3.28%, reflecting the ongoing hashrate pullback. Difficulty has fallen from 155.97T to 141.67T, 9.2% below its all-time high. Extreme winter conditions in the US are driving one of the largest hashrate drawdowns in history. And currently block times are running slower than the 10-minute target. The next adjustment on February 8 is projected at –16.8%, which would be the largest downward move since the China mining ban. Will it really be that big? Probably not. Hashrate is starting to come back online, but even a more moderate adjustment would still extend the favourable mining windows we’ve experienced at the start of 2026.