Principal at The Marathon Initiative. Former DoD, White House, State, U.S. Senate; and CNAS, CFR, RAND.

Joined November 2013
14 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
27 May 2025
🧵 In the forthcoming issue of @ForeignAffairs, I argue that the time has come to build a collective defense alliance in Asia—the Pacific Defense Pact—initially comprising Australia, Japan, the Philippines, and the United States.
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Ely Ratner retweeted
“China’s success in cornering the Trump administration was not simply a result of the United States’ failure to secure its supply chains,” write @elyratner and Nick Danby. “It reflected a profound failure of U.S. strategy.” foreignaffairs.com/china/fau…
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Ely Ratner retweeted
China “has been a clever practitioner of finding the gaps and seams in American power,” write @elyratner and Nick Danby. By contrast, American policymakers have “too often failed to press on China’s pain points or even develop options for doing so. foreignaffairs.com/china/fau…
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Ely Ratner retweeted
Important piece in @ForeignAffairs by the Biden admin’s top Pentagon Asia official @elyratner
27 May 2025
Replying to @elyratner
China's ambitions to dominate the region remain unchanged, and its military capabilities are growing. A Beijing-led order in the Indo-Pacific would relegate the United States to the status of a diminished power, making us less prosperous and secure.
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Looking forward to this great discussion tomorrow.
Jun 9
The Indo-Pacific is now, more than ever, a vital theater of competition—one in which U.S. allies could play a decisive role in deterring regional adversaries. @elyratner, @DavidFeith, @AmbVMKwatra, and @LisaCurtisDC will join @AsiaLens at the CNAS 2026 National Security Conference for a panel on burden sharing and cooperation in the region.
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Ely Ratner retweeted
American policymakers have “too often failed to press on China’s pain points or even develop options for doing so.” Read @elyratner and Nick Danby on why Washington must “be ready to go on offense.” foreignaffairs.com/china/fau…
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NEW in the July/August issue of @ForeignAffairs: For decades, U.S. strategy has failed to build competitive leverage over China. Nick Danby and I lay out how to change that, from chips and trade to the dollar and energy. foreignaffairs.com/china/fau…
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On Hegseth’s soft-pedaling of China, in @nytimes: “Trump’s accommodation of China may yield more military engagement in the near term, but it will also invite greater PLA coercion against U.S. allies. That’s not a recipe for strategic stability.” nytimes.com/2026/05/30/world…
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My contribution: — China is a lower priority in Trump’s 2nd term; views inside more mixed. — “All of this comes together to create this softer policy we see now, philosophically this group appears geared toward a more accommodationist approach to China.”politi.co/3PkLxkQ
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Spoke with @NewsHour on Trump’s visit to China, including how Taiwan and the war with Iran are shaping the summit.
President Trump is in Beijing for a state visit to America’s chief global competitor, and increasingly, its chief geopolitical rival. Trump has long targeted China as an economic foe of the U.S. while cultivating a relationship with President Xi Jinping. @nickschifrin reports.
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The Trump administration is pursuing a policy of accommodation toward China that will leave the U.S. with “less leverage, fewer partners and wider gaps to close.” My latest in @FT: ft.com/content/1445c85a-7b3e…
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Ely Ratner retweeted
Thank you @elyratner for the vote of confidence in #Taiwan. We’ll do all we can to acquire the right arms & transform our military for effective deterrence. Still more to be done. Timely passage of the special budget by the LY is crucial.
Replying to @elyratner
@elyratner, Vice-Chair of #GTI's US-Taiwan Task Force, argues that after serious reform, #Taiwan is able to play a critical role in #deterrence against future crises. Watch the entire US-Taiwan Task Force Launch event: ow.ly/lbJO50YS1Cy #USTaiwan
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Replying to @elyratner
@elyratner, Vice-Chair of #GTI's US-Taiwan Task Force, argues that after serious reform, #Taiwan is able to play a critical role in #deterrence against future crises. Watch the entire US-Taiwan Task Force Launch event: ow.ly/lbJO50YS1Cy #USTaiwan
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Enjoyed this conversation on how U.S. businesses should be thinking about the geopolitics of Asia. It capped a great day of discussions with faculty and students @HarvardRajawali and @Kennedy_School.
Replying to @elyratner
@elyratner joins the Rajawali Foundation to examine U.S. strategy in the Indo-Pacific, highlighting key geopolitical risks, private sector implications, and the region’s strategic and economic importance. rajawali.hks.harvard.edu/art…
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Honored to lead this bipartisan U.S.-Taiwan Task Force with Ambassador @robertcobrien — an exceptional group of former officials and experts committed to strengthening U.S.-Taiwan relations. Full details: mailchi.mp/globaltaiwan/pres…

#GTI today announced the members of its #US #Taiwan Task Force, a #bipartisan coalition of national security experts from #Washington and #Taipei, chaired by Amb. O'Brien, and vice-chaired by Dr. Ratner. @elyratner @joshrogin Press release: ow.ly/S8Xz50YK2Up
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Ely Ratner retweeted
“While this may not lead to major contributions to a regional conflict, Wellington still has huge contributions to make in curbing China’s malign influence in the Pacific islands,” Ratner said. wsj.com/world/oceania/new-ze…
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Ely Ratner retweeted
Washington can't let this period of geopolitical flux put cross-Strait deterrence at risk. In a new piece for @NikkeiAsia, my former Pentagon colleague Lauren Dickey and I lay out concrete steps Congress can take to help strengthen Taiwan's self-defense capabilities.
The US has built a Taiwan security toolkit. Now it needs to use it s.nikkei.com/47nO2J8
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Ely Ratner retweeted
"Every resource consumed in Iran is now unavailable for the Pacific, where the United States faces its most consequential military challenge," @Joe_m_costa and @ElyRatner write. wapo.st/3Ns50z5
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Trump's war in Iran is degrading U.S. readiness for China—our most consequential military challenge. And the problem runs far deeper than munitions stockpiles. In today's @washingtonpost, @Joe_m_costa and I argue that: "the strategic bill is coming due." wapo.st/4cPFazE
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Just back from a week in Australia, I trace three critical debates: → the resources necessary for the China challenge; → the growing U.S. military presence in Australia; and → the potential move toward collective defense with other Asian powers—notably Japan.
Hard conversations on Australia’s defence | Ely Ratner ift.tt/Yj0W9Ta
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