Upstream of Kalshi/Polymarket | I call outcomes before markets price them | Strategy/Mgmt PhD, Columbia B School | @emjcapital | @EMJXai $SRXH | @EventHorizonIQ
Joined March 2007
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Pinned Tweet
May 27
Same method, every day. Show up. Put in the work. It compounds. Make that investment in yourself.
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Eric Jackson retweeted
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me out of cash looking at market dip
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Morgan Wallen Houston, Texas Walk out with Roger Clemens and Drake 06/21/25 youtube.com/shorts/vDWTJdmTE… via @YouTube
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5 days out, called to the day.
Jun 7 I forecast Drake crosses 100M Spotify monthly listeners on Jun 12. Central case, exact date.
He crossed Jun 12 — first time in his career.
Both stamps, logged before resolution: ✅✅
• 100M by Jun 12 — 65%
• 100M by Jun 15 — 90%
The catalog is pulling, not the spike.
eventhorizoniq.com/pricing
Jun 8
Two stamps on the public scoreboard tonight:
• 100M by Jun 12 (Thu) — 65% confidence
• 100M by Jun 15 (Sun) — 90% confidence
Receipts logged before resolution:
eventhorizoniq.com/predictio…
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Another one...
x.com/chartdata/status/20655…
Jun 8
Drake has never crossed 100M Spotify monthly listeners. The Weeknd was the first artist ever; Billie Eilish has too. Drake is at 99,477,870 as of Friday. Gap to 100M: 522K.
He gets there this week. Stamping the call before it lands.
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New episode 🎧 — Morgan Wallen Didn't Write His Own Confession.
The most personal song he ever made, written by 3 strangers, released on Good Friday, and it out-charted everyone who cancelled him.
I decode Drake — same story, different hat. Now on the podcast:
Morgan Wallen Didn't Write His Own Confession open.substack.com/pub/eventh…
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New piece: the most personal song Morgan Wallen ever recorded — Don't Think Jesus — he didn't write 1 word of it.
3 Nashville writers. Released on Good Friday. 0% to Morgan.
Then they cancelled him — and his listeners hit an all-time high 4 days later.
I decode Drake. It's the same story. 👇
Morgan Wallen Didn't Write His Own Confession
open.substack.com/pub/eventh…
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When Morgan Wallen got cancelled in 2021, every institution sold at once — radio, label, awards — and none of them sold on the music. They sold on compliance.
His Spotify listeners hit an all-time high 4 days later.
A forced liquidation. The fans bought the dip. Cancellation can be a mispricing.
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Full breakdown — how the most cancelled man in music ended up with the biggest album in America, and why he and Drake route to the exact same corporation: youtu.be/Rpl9eNgnxsM
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Yesterday was my 4th most day on x since I started 298 days ago... you walk the dogs, you talk into the phone, you never know what's going to catch fire
Jun 12
SpaceX started trading today. Everyone's covering the pop, the trillion-eight valuation, the trillionaire watch.
The number that matters: they reserved 20-30% for retail investors. Normal is 5-10. And they walked away from $175B in demand to do it.
The biggest IPO in history wasn't a fundraise. Day 297:
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The most personal song Morgan Wallen ever made — Don't Think Jesus — he didn't write 1 word of it. 3 writers, Good Friday, 0% to Morgan.
Then they cancelled him — and his Spotify listeners hit an all-time high 4 days later.
Cancellation can be a mispricing.
Drake encrypts. Nashville confesses. Same machine. Day 298
🎥
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Eric Jackson retweeted
Jun 12
Drake officially surpasses 100 MILLION monthly listeners on Spotify for the first time in his career 🔥🤯
He currently has 25M more listeners than the next closest rapper.
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Jun 13
RT @adamtaggart: Happy to announce that tech entrepreneur, author & hedge fund manager @ericjackson will be coming on for an interview in 3…
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Jun 12
🔥🔥🔥🔥
Don't Think Jesus by Morgan Wallen on #SoundCloud
on.soundcloud.com/ZzbLedYli7…
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Jun 12
Eight years at one school is a long time. But either @colejackson or @JulianJacksonJJ has been at @Crescent_School since 2014. That streak ended yesterday - 12 years of Jacksons. Indelibly, the school has shaped them both into the men they are. Thank you 🙏🏻
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Eric Jackson retweeted
Jun 12
Elon Musk is worth more than AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile, Comcast & Netflix combined.
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Jun 12
Morgan Stanley trying to make this SpaceX IPO process so intricate and difficult... next time just give it to Claude Code to handle!
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