Trump said he had “called off the planned strike and bombing of Iran tonight” because discussions with Iran had been submitted to and approved by Iran’s Supreme Leader.
Meanwhile, three sources told Axios that Wednesday’s talks between Iranian officials and Qatari mediators had resolved key differences.
After the news, stocks rose, gold and silver climbed, and bond yields fell. The market is starting to price in a peace deal and lower inflation. If a peace agreement is officially reached, it would be a real tailwind for risk assets.
That said, we still need to wait for Iran’s response. We’ve seen this movie before: Trump says a deal is close, then Iran denies it.
Going forward, I’ll continue to focus on semiconductors, precious metals, and metals. I now have a bit more confidence in SMH reaching 700 and the S&P 500 hitting 8,000 by year-end.
I’ll keep sharing my views with you all.