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Royal Ascot Tuesday 🐎🧵
Thread now complete !
Royal Ascot talk through
A thread 🧵
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Yep I will pay for premium , first time doing a thread like this so let me know if I can improve on anything
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Royal Ascot talk through
A thread 🧵
🏆 GALLOPING GUIDANCE
ROYAL ASCOT DAY 1 SELECTIONS
R1
🔥 More Thunder (4/1)
💎 Docklands (7/1 EW)
R2
🚀 Adaay Of Scarlet (40/1 EW)
R3
⭐ Rumstar (18/1 EW)
R4
✅ Bow Echo (5/6)
R5
🔥 Reaching High (9/4)
💎 Bunting (12/1 EW)
R6
Wimbledon Hawkeye (9/1 EW)
R7
🚀 Gamrai (6/1)
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given the stable’s strong record in the race.
I think he’ll run a huge race.
That said, he does have plenty to do if he’s to beat the well-backed Wathnan Racing runner. Wathnan are known for targeting the major Ascot meetings, and Gamrai will also need to reverse the form
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He does need to reverse the form with Daiquiri Bay, although he does receive a slight swing in the weights which could help bridge that gap.
Horses from the Gosdens’ yard typically improve with each run, and I expect Gamrai to be spot on for this assignment, particularly (20)
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noticeably in the market since prices first opened, but I still think he’s a very strong betting proposition.
If he has improved for that reappearance run at Sandown, then I expect him to go very close in this drop in class.
R7 - The Gosdens have won this exact race (19)
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Times and looks a very smart performer in his own right. It was a strong race to win, particularly given it was a Grade 3 contest.
This is now a Listed race, and I believe Wimbledon Hawkeye possesses Group-race quality. He’s drifted quite noticeably in the (18)
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That was his seasonal reappearance and an ideal starting point for the campaign, especially considering how impressive he was when winning at Kentucky Downs last season.
The horse he beat into second that day, Burnham Square, has since franked the form by winning multiple (18)
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Ombudsman.
He was trapped on the rail for much of the contest, travelled strongly throughout, and didn’t see daylight until it was far too late. Kieran Fallon was ultimately quite tender on him, keeping him to hands and heels once his chance had gone.
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However, Bunting is a very good horse in his own right, and I think he’ll be going very close as an each-way alternative to the shorter-priced favourite .
R6 - Wimbledon Hawkeye ran a very eye-catching race in the Brigadier General at Sandown last time out, a race won by (16)
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and shapes as though he’ll stay this trip.
I also like the fact that Harry Vigers, a very promising claimer, gets the ride. It’s an interesting booking and perhaps a sign that they may look to force the pace, which could even help set things up for Reaching High.
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tomorrow. He’s a trainer who targets major Flat races exceptionally well, and I do think Reaching High is the one they all have to beat.
That said, it could be that Bunting is the value alternative. He’s a classy horse over jumps, looks to be on a workable mark on the Flat, (14)
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endured a troubled passage. He never really saw daylight and was effectively trapped on the rail throughout. To be honest, it was one of the poorest rides I’ve seen Ryan Moore give on a horse.
I’m trusting Willie Mullins to have him spot on for (13)
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R5 - Now moving onto the trickier races on the card, the handicaps.
Willie Mullins appears to hold the key here, particularly with the favourite, Reaching High, who has Ryan Moore back in the saddle.
His last appearance actually came in this very race last year, where he (12)
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genuinely top-class performer and can confirm his superiority here.
I also think Talk Of New York will run a big race, but if Bow Echo is as good as many believe he is, then he should be winning this race.
I certainly think he’ll prove that tomorrow at Ascot (11)
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Bow Echo looks a truly special horse. He’s unbeaten in his first four starts and was an impressive winner of the 2,000 Guineas last time out.
It could be that Gstaad gets closer and perhaps even threatens to reverse that form. However, I’m confident that Bow Echo is a (10)
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times throughout the season in top-level sprint races. But I’m hoping Rumstar can finish strongly here. He stays six furlongs well and, on this genuinely fast ground, should be doing his best work late on (9)
R4 - Now moving on to the St James’s Palace Stakes. (9)
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Chance on a bigger-priced runner in Rumstar, who was staying on well behind Night Raider last time at Newmarket and should be well suited by these good-to-firm conditions.
As I said, sprint form doesn’t always amount to much and can often be turned on its head multiple (8)
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progressive profile, she looks overpriced at around 40/1. R3 - Now moving on to Race 3.
The sprint division is often a very tricky one to assess, and it could simply be that the Australian raider Overpass is too good for this field.
However, I’m going to take a slight (7)
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Ascot.
On her third start, she looked rather unlucky behind a decent horse in a Listed race at Sandown for Kevin Ryan.
If this step up in trip brings about the improvement I expect it will, then she has a great chance. With proven course form and a (6)
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going to side with a big-priced runner who definitely looks overpriced on this step up to six furlongs.
Adaay Of Scarlet has always looked like she might appreciate this extra furlong. She’s run three times over five furlongs, winning her first two starts, including one at (5)
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