TPSI - New National Poll
NEW POLL | National Benchmark Survey (n=893 LV, May 21, 2026)
If the 2026 midterm elections were held today, who would you vote for in your congressional district?
π΅ The Democrat candidate: 46.8%
π΄ The Republican candidate: 40.0%
π‘ A third-party / independent candidate: 2.9%
βͺ Undecided / Not sure: 10.3%
Net: D 6.8
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
π’ Strongly approve: 21.8%
π’ Somewhat approve: 19.8%
π΄ Somewhat disapprove: 8.0%
π΄ Strongly disapprove: 49.6%
βͺ Neutral / no opinion: 0.9%
Total Approve: 41.6% | Disapprove: 57.6% | Net: β16.0
Generally speaking, do you think things in this country are going in the right direction or the wrong direction?
π’ Right track: 30.2%
π΄ Wrong track: 62.1%
βͺ Not sure / no opinion: 7.7%
Who did you vote for in the 2024 presidential election?
π΄ Donald Trump: 43.9%
π΅ Kamala Harris: 44.3%
π‘ Third party: 1.5%
βͺ Did not vote: 10.2%
Please rank the following issues from most important (1) to least important (10). % who ranked each issue #1:
π‘ Economy, Jobs & Cost of Living: 41.1%
π‘ Political Corruption, Lobbying & Money in Politics: 14.4%
π‘ Immigration & Border Security: 9.0%
π‘ Healthcare, Social Security & Medicare: 8.5%
π‘ Energy, Climate & the Environment: 6.8%
π‘ Civil Rights, Personal Freedoms & Social Issues: 5.5%
π‘ Foreign Policy & National Security: 5.3%
π‘ Crime, Public Safety & Policing: 3.9%
π‘ Guns & Second Amendment Rights: 3.8%
π‘ Education, Housing & Family Issues: 1.9%
In the last month, how difficult has it been for your household to pay your usual expenses?
π΄ Very difficult: 19.2%
π΄ Somewhat difficult: 38.8%
π’ Not very difficult: 22.0%
π’ Not at all difficult: 18.7%
βͺ Not sure: 1.3%
Total struggling: 58.0%
When you consider Donald Trump's foreign policy, whose interests do you believe it primarily serves?
π’ The American people above all else: 23.7%
π’ Mostly the American people, with significant consideration for allies like Israel: 19.3%
π‘ A balance between American and foreign interests: 8.6%
π΄ Mostly foreign allies (like Israel) over the American people: 13.8%
π΄ Foreign allies (like Israel) above the American people: 24.5%
βͺ Not sure / no opinion: 10.0%
Serving Americans: 43.0% | Foreign allies first: 38.3%
Do you support or oppose a policy of mass deportation of all illegal immigrants currently in the United States?
π’ Strongly support: 26.6%
π’ Somewhat support: 20.1%
π΄ Somewhat oppose: 16.4%
π΄ Strongly oppose: 31.7%
βͺ Not sure / no opinion: 5.2%
Total support: 46.7% | Total oppose: 48.1%
If you found out a candidate had accepted donations from a PAC that supports Israel, how would that affect your likelihood of voting for them?
π’ Much more likely to vote for them: 12.4%
π’ Somewhat more likely: 15.0%
π΄ Somewhat less likely: 11.2%
π΄ Much less likely: 20.6%
βͺ No difference / no opinion: 40.9%
Net: β4.4 (net less likely)
Overall, do you think Donald Trump's actions as President have been too conservative, too liberal, or about the right balance?
π΄ Far too conservative: 42.1%
π Somewhat too conservative: 11.9%
π’ About the right balance: 31.0%
π΅ Somewhat too liberal: 2.9%
π΅ Far too liberal: 5.6%
βͺ Not sure / no opinion: 6.5%
Too conservative: 54.0% | Too liberal: 8.5%
Do you identify as a Groyper, an individual who supports Nick Fuentes?
π’ Yes: 7.8%
π΄ No: 92.2%
Substack:
open.substack.com/pub/tpsiofβ¦
Methodology: Online survey via Pollfish, May 21, 2025. n=893 Likely Voters after data quality review. Weighted to voter file. MoE Β±3.8pp at 95% CI. Likely voter results shown throughout.