The world’s top AI researchers are paid millions for their expertise—but how much do individual breakthroughs really drive AI progress, compared to simply building bigger datacenters? Our new paper, On the Origins of Algorithmic Progress in AI, suggests the literature overestimates algorithms and underestimates compute. Deep dive via our substack: substack.com/home/post/p-181… #AIResearch #ComputeScaling #AlgorithmicProgress

Is Processing Power 🖥️ the Key to AI Breakthroughs? 🚀 #ProcessingPower #AIAdvancements #TechRace #AlgorithmicProgress #Transformers #FutureOfAI #ComputeRevolution #MicrosoftPartnership #ArtificialIntelligence #TechInnovation

Situational Analysis situational-awareness.ai/ #AI #SituationalAnalysis #GPT #GPT4 #AGI #AGIRace #Superintelligence #IntelligenceExplosion #AlgorithmicProgress #IndustrialMobilization #Superalignment #OOM #DeepLearning #ScaleUp #Unhobbling #LLM #SelfPlay #ChainOfThought

4/ 📈 Current trends suggest we could see 5 orders of magnitude improvement in algorithmic efficiency within a year. That’s like going from a preschooler to a smart high schooler in terms of capability! #AlgorithmicProgress

Carl Shulman on how the Intelligence Explosion is going to be driven mostly by software progress, ie. we won't necessarily need better GPUs. #software #intelligenceexplosion #foom #algorithmicprogress #artificialintelligence #deeplearning #llm #machinelearning