Global Democracy Declines to Levels Not Seen Since the Late 1970s:
Democracy for the average global citizen now stands at its lowest point since 1978, erasing nearly all gains from the "third wave of democratization." The level of democracy in Western Europe and North America hits a 50-year low, driven primarily by rapid autocratization in the United States. For the first time in over 50 years, the USA loses its status as a liberal democracy.
Autocracies Now Dominate the World's Population and Political Landscape:
The world contains 92 autocracies and 87 democracies, with 74% of the global population—six billion people—living under autocratic rule. Only 7% of the world's population resides in liberal democracies, a figure that dropped sharply after the USA's reclassification. More people now live in closed autocracies than in all democracies combined.
The "Third Wave of Autocratization" Reaches Unprecedented Scale and Speed:
The world experiences the largest simultaneous autocratization event in modern history, with 44 countries actively autocratizing and affecting 41% of the global population. Autocratization spreads across all regions, now touching seven European Union member states and key allies like the UK and the USA. The speed of decline in the USA under President Trump's second term outpaces even the most prominent autocrats of the last 25 years.
Autocratizing Governments Systematically Dismantle Democratic Institutions:
Media censorship remains the most common tactic, with 73% of autocratizing governments silencing independent media and restricting freedom of expression. Repression of civil society organizations surges, affecting 68% of autocratizing countries as governments criminalize dissent and control civic space. Undermining election integrity and weakening legislative and judicial checks on the executive occur in roughly half of all cases.
Democratization Stagnates as Only a Handful of Countries Show Improvement:
Only 18 countries are democratizing, marking 15 years of stagnation in democratic advancement. Of these, ten are U-turns—countries reversing recent autocratization—including Brazil, Poland, and Mauritius, though such recoveries often prove fragile. The combined population of all democratizing countries amounts to just 5% of the world's people.
The United States Experiences the Most Dramatic Democratic Decline in Its History:
The USA's democracy score plunges 24% in a single year, dropping the nation from 20th to 51st place globally and back to 1965 levels. Executive aggrandizement proceeds at an unprecedented pace, with legislative constraints on the president losing one-third of their value and falling to a 100-year low. Civil rights, equality before the law, and freedom of expression deteriorate to levels not seen since the 1960s, while electoral components remain stable only because they are assessed during the 2024 elections.
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