Michael Burry disclosed a new bearish bet on semiconductors through $SOXX puts. Chip stocks are on an 18-day winning streak with the ETF up ~40% this month in its strongest run since February 2000.

$WATT Exactly the type of PR we want to see this morning This PR confirms the second Fortune 10 company is Amazon. And most of all: Confirmation of an extremely large TAM potential, and capability to match that demand now with their $39M in cash in different segments. The most notable quotes: “In parallel, the Company is advancing a growing number of proof-of-concept initiatives across retail, manufacturing, and foodservice, including grocery and a quick-service restaurant operator. Several of these programs are structured to scale from initial site deployments to broader multi-location rollouts in the near term.” "To our knowledge, we are the only provider with a solution proven to operate efficiently in lower range temperatures," said Burak. "That threshold is critical for cold-chain applications across food, grocery, and QSR environments. As these use cases expand, we are uniquely positioned to support deployments that require consistent performance in extreme temperature conditions." The thesis is coming together? @MoneyMarkStocks, you think @FugaziResearch is still short? 😂

Today’s market strength was textbook. This is exactly what markets do during corrections when they get stretched to oversold levels. As I said just recently, "some of the biggest rallies occur during bear markets and corrections." Today was a perfect example. Traders rushed in after headlines hit that Iran’s president signaled a willingness to end the conflict with the U.S. The Dow exploded higher by 1,125 points. But let’s not confuse cause and effect. The news may have been the trigger, but the market was already set up for a rally. It was oversold and primed. Now comes the part where discipline matters. We ignore the first few days of a rally attempt. That’s potential noise. What matters is whether the market can follow through and whether leadership begins to emerge and proper setups develop. Technically, this is a classic snapback: Indexes that broke below the 200-day are rallying back toward it, while Indexes that held the 200-day are bouncing off it. That’s typical countertrend behavior until proven otherwise. Expect volatility to remain elevated. That’s not where low-risk money is made, but it's certainly where the risk is. Your job during corrections is simple: identify the stocks showing the best relative strength and the tightest price action. Those are your future leaders when the market finally turns. On the macro side, nothing has been resolved. Higher crude prices are still a problem. Yesterday’s rally did nothing to materially bring down oil. The bigger issue is still in play and the jury still out. Oil at these levels feeds inflation, pressures growth, and gives the Fed a reason to stay on hold longer. Yields stay elevated in that environment. To cut through all the noise, I look to the market itself, which has a much better track record of telling us the truth than the politicians, the analysts, the news, and the gurus. The four steps of the bottoming process are: 1. Oversold – The difference between an ordinary pullback and an oversold condition starts with price, but it does not end there. Poor breadth and and a lack of volume confirmed follow through describe a one-sided market, and one not to trust. 2. Rally – Inevitably, the market bounces from its oversold condition. A high-quality rally is broad-based. A low-quality rally is defined by short covering and driven primarily by the stocks that have declined the most. Again, the character of the rally is important to distinguish. So far, we simply don't have enough data to make a confident determination, so patience is the watch word while we wait. 3. Retest – After the rally, there is almost always a retest. The popular averages approach, and in some cases breach, their oversold lows. The key to a successful retest is less selling pressure, such as fewer stocks below their moving averages, fewer stocks, sectors, and markets making new lows, less total volume, and less downside volume. If the retest fails, the process reverts and we generally start looking for divergences during lower lows. In the event of unexpected news, it is possible for the market to recover in a "V" fashion with no retest. In that case, we look at breadth confirmation and participation. 4. Breadth thrusts – In the final phase, not only do benchmark indices rally sharply with few pullbacks, but they do so with an extremely high percentage of stocks, sectors, and markets participating, or what technical analysts call breadth thrusts. In rare cases, the market has skipped step 3. With strong enough breadth, retests are not necessary. The Covid bottom is an example of a pretty powerful V-shaped recovery. Bottom line: This was an oversold rally, sparked by headlines—but not defined by them, and certainly not confirmation of a reliable bottom. Now we watch: --Quality of follow-through --Emergence of leadership --Market internals and model health If the rally lacks quality, if economic pressure builds, or if leading stocks begin to deteriorate, then this remains what it likely is—a rally within a correction. Stay objective. Let the market prove itself. If you are going to trade, do so incrementally. minervini.com

We have been advising caution. Tape action beneath the surface is worse than the indexes appear. For the most part, breakouts are not following through and too many reversals to justify aggressive trading. Patience is a virtue and cash is a position. minervini.com