Gather around, Trouts.. It's story time..
It's March 2022. Giancarlo calls Paolo in the late night.
"It's bad. FTX is about to go under." *Said in a soft, Italian accent*
The Bitfinex whales wakeup, they begin unloading. USDT.D starts to go to the moon.
FTX is trying to post collateral for losses, while seemingly contacting more exchanges / entities for stables.
Tether starts bailing out in the background, the news isn't public but the charts are showing a decline.
At the seeming rate of a second wave of covid, the news//story is covered & no one knows what the fuck is going on.
November strikes. FTX is failing to issue withdrawls, user funds are trapped. BTC is breaking.
Tether & Bitfinex blast a bunch of USDT into the market to save it, from an all out collapse. (No one knows this but the NDA bros.)
The market recovers, people assign a narrative that the Silicone Valley bank run is the low of the cycle. (It had no fuckin impact lmao)
-----
2024 Comes around. The first US Spot ETF launch happens in January. People are bullish on BTC.
Saylor is buying, the whales are holding strong. The market is under the Democratic face ripper even tho there is so much anti BTC propaganda, and fearfulness.
Exactly 52w post SPOT ETF Launch, a memecoin is launched/on the run up. Seemingly, BTC marks a high & drops 30% .
It's Trump. Daddy D, as the Maga boys call him. He's got the biggest runner of the cycle. Everyone is euphoric.
"This is the new era! The clarity act! The genius act! Our bags!"
Solana rugs, Trump Rugs, BTC whales begin their first de-risking. All while ETF buyers & MSTR/BMNR are blasting into the charts.
"They who move the market" start using them as exit liquidity. OG whales.. out of the space fully.
"There is a pause on the tariffs!" The market rallies off the 2024 high.. up to 120k over coming months.
"Is the 4 year cycle done?" No.. No it is not.
BTC approaches 126k.. It's October. The 4 chan post is right.
The Clarity act gets some motion.. Binance & many others find out, that the majority of alt coins are going to be illegal, flagged as securities, and many issues with how Stablecoins are backed, minted & gain profit / use cases come up with errors & red flags.. It's bad. It's real bad.
An Asian man goes on chain, Hyperliquid using code "BigTrout300" and opens a large BTC short. The name is "Garrett Jin". The same actor that rugged / laundered BitForex , Wavelabs , & XHash funds that went "missing". A man who worked closely with Justin Sun's HTX.
They're back, as Trend Research. Blowing up on Options, iBit whales are blowing up, they start panicking. Nuking SPOT bags fast. Borrowing out from AAVE while also panicking, posting liquidity in their leveraged positions.
People think he is god. People think he has caught the greatest 10/10 short ever.. but in reality, everyone knew in higher places.
After the largest liquidation ever, he goes back on chain.. to... Long $100m of assets..? Just to be liquidated, as Trend Research continues to blow up.
Bitfinex & Tether know whats going on. Paolo posts "Black Friday On Bitcoin" & Bo Hines is bull posting. (2 of the greatest indicators ever)
Binance knows whats going on. No one saves these positions, instead.. they use this prop leverage again to sell off AS WELL. The ShadowBooks are at work, no one can see whats happening publicly. Everyone is thinking this is just a "blip".
BTC falls to $60k. The "Super Cycle" believers are in disbelief.
The market bottoms, the SPX flashes green, goes on a generational blow off run.
$BTC rallies towards $80k.
The NFT profile pics start posting " WE ARE SO BACK " "SUPER CYCLE" "A NEW ERA"
just to be faked out at the 200d SMA, in a fucking bear flag while the SPX hasn't even corrected yet or gone VIX 50 .
Bitfinex begins twapping.. again. USDT.D , rises..
They who move the market.. begin the next phase.
Saylor, sells BTC after telling everyone to not ever sell Bitcoin.. A Polymarket is started.
Polymarket rugs the market.. saying "There was no data/evidence of sold BTC" but there are transactions, a full 8-K SEC form. X & Reddit go wild.
Saylor's ponzi is down billions. MSTR from $400 down to >$150. iBit, Grayscale, ETHA, all ETFs are down. The market has a ton of trapped overhead supply.
Yet, the Clarity Act is going to magically make this all better but actually no fucking bank wants it, wants a piece.. and apparently there is supposed to be a large amount of liquidity into the space.
BigTrout, the "Bitfinex Whale - as per CT", who was screaming from the heights publicly.. was warning people they were all wrong.
People gave up, people unfollowed, people quit, closed DMs.. Just to be humbled within a few weeks.
Loracle, was hunted maliciously, in a short squeeze attempt, before Hype corrects after he closes his $40m short. "We got em" they screamed. I hope you don't scream in handcuffs.
The SuperCycle was actually.. "The Fraud & Crime" cycle.
People lost millions, some billions. Average retail investors lost hundreds of thousands.
From memecoins, 10/10, Blockchain Devs, DATs. The biggest figures all screaming at you to keep buying & new greatness was to come, were using you, & you couldn't see thru it.
Saylor will have to post collateral, liquidate & find a new scheme once the SPX corrects. History loves to repeat itself. Perhaps Tether takes on the supply.
Unless... (Somehow Saylor finds a way)
Tether & Bitfinex, who everyone hates, will step in again, bail everyone out, finalize their Gold Longs, and bring liquidity back to the markets. The amount of interest & yield they've gained off the trade, their bond & stablecoin holdings..
It's like, the villain everyone hates, has secretly been the hero the entire time, helping & propping the market up. Regardless of a shady past, these guys have saved the market more than once & kept it from being worse overtime.. and actually held it long enough for people to get out. But no one took the hint.
Jag Mode is in full affect. There isn't much you can do now. It's time to be vigilant while we get our mid June Pump into the end of the month, before the next leg lower after July.
-----
The future is scary. We aren't sure where we go. The world is on fire, the US is on the verge of blowing itself up internally. We are all eyes on the SPX & it's mysterious.. orchestrated rally. Barak & Axios are causing the algos to go insane, but don't realize that the machine will halt n stop at some point.. (May the decimals, 0s create chaos.)
Hyperliquid & Arbitrum have the next big story to come.
Until next time.