$KEEL has a realistic path to a 10x, and it is simpler than people think. It all comes down to leasing the power they already control.
Here is the math that gets you there.
KEEL controls a 2.2 gigawatt pipeline across Pennsylvania, Washington, and Quebec, with grid interconnections already in place.
That power is the entire asset. The whole business model is turning secured megawatts into signed leases that throw off long term recurring revenue.
Start with what a lease is actually worth. AI data center colocation runs roughly $150 to $200 per kilowatt per month. Take the three leases the CEO has committed to signing by year end. Panther Creek at 350MW, Sharon at 110MW, and Moses Lake at 18MW.
That is roughly 478MW of near term capacity. Leased out, that alone is somewhere in the range of $850 million to $1.1 billion in annual recurring revenue. On a company with a current market cap a fraction of that.
Now extend it to the full pipeline. 2.2 gigawatts fully leased at those same rates is north of $4 billion in annual recurring revenue. Data center operators with contracted hyperscaler revenue trade at 6 to 7 times sales.
Put a conservative multiple on $4 billion in recurring revenue and you land around a $30 billion company. From where this trades today, that is the 10x.
And here is why the path is simple, not complicated. KEEL does not need to invent anything.
They do not need a new product. They do not need to win a technology race. They already own the power. They already have the interconnections.
They just need to sign the leases, and the CEO has told the market the priority for this year is signing three of them.
Every lease that gets signed converts speculative power into contracted cash flow and re rates the entire pipeline behind it.
We saw
$DGXX do exactly this with Cerebras. The first signed hyperscaler lease changes the whole story overnight.
Secured power. Grid connections in place. Three leases targeted this year. A 2.2 gigawatt pipeline behind it.
The path to a $30 billion company runs straight through those signatures. And they are coming.