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Replying to @Bitcoinprof0637
Saylor's higher call skips the 70% drawdowns. The drop decides who actually believes it.
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Replying to @DarioCpx
Even if Iran signs and joins the USA, the wells in the middle east need to be brought back online and shipments need to be sent out again.... Price shock seems inevitable based on inventory drawdowns. Oil pricing is confusing as the functional reserves are nearly gone...
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๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง ๐„๐ฑ๐œ๐ž๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ: ๐•๐จ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐ข๐ฅ๐ญ ๐ˆ๐ญ. ๐ˆ๐ง๐ง๐จ๐ฏ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐’๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ฌ ๐ˆ๐ญ. ๐’๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ž ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ญ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ˆ๐ญ. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐‘ˆ๐‘† ๐‘š๐‘Ž๐‘๐‘Ÿ๐‘œ ๐‘‘๐‘œ๐‘š๐‘–๐‘›๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘๐‘’ ๐‘–๐‘  ๐‘Ž 250โ€‘๐‘ฆ๐‘Ÿ ๐‘ ๐‘ก๐‘œ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ฆ ๐‘œ๐‘“ ๐‘ ๐‘๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘’ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘ ๐‘–๐‘™๐‘–๐‘’๐‘›๐‘๐‘’. โ€ข Since 1871, S&P drawdowns avg โ€‘14%, with shocks from 1907 โ†’ GFC โ†’ COVID, yet longโ€‘run compounding persists. โ€ข US share of global mkt cap climbed from 8% (Civil War) to ~47% today, despite Depression WWII resets. โ€ข US converts innovation inputs into outputs more efficiently than any large economy, top of the WIPO ROI curve. โ€ข US GDP share surged to ~40% in WWII, still >25% today despite Asiaโ€™s rise. Volatility is the entry fee; dominance is the payoff. ht:baml #growth #investments #productivity
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Ved prakash retweeted
I played this lecture 3 times everyday until I understand the psychology of handling drawdowns
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Replying to @AndreasSteno
Youโ€™re kinda a joker. Got it right but for the wrong reasons. Inventory drawdowns and demand adjustments are not the same thing as production.
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The Numbers retweeted
Replying to @IGWTreport
The pattern is real and the precedent is consistent, both previous drawdowns of this magnitude were followed by the exact macro intervention that gold was built to benefit from, and the current setup, $39 trillion in debt, a Fed that cannot hike aggressively, and central banks buying at record pace, is arguably more structurally bullish than either 2008 or 2020 were at the equivalent moment.
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Replying to @CryptoParadyme
Blueprint too clean. Drawdowns decide the bottom.
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DP retweeted
The rational approach is to be permanently bullish while maintaining the ability to survive the drawdowns.
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Replying to @EarlyBurry @shillfu
I mean -90% drawdowns are the norm for bear markets with memes, but if they have never even touched 1B kinda hard to call it a bluechip. But that's just my humble opinion.
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๐Ÿ“‰ Market Update: The crypto market has shed over $810B in value so far in 2026. Sharp drawdowns demand composure and clear risk management. #CryptoMarket #DigitalAssets
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7. Control Your Emotions (Trading Psychology) Treat trading like a business, not gambling. Accept that losses are part of the game. Use techniques like mindfulness, breaks after losses, or position sizing that keeps you calm. Build mental resilience through deliberate practice and reviewing past drawdowns.
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Replying to @elonmusk
Some low IQ people compare SpaceX, an absolute space monopolist, with regular tech and AI stocks, if not Amazon or Walmart. Of course there will be drawdowns but treating it like tech when it has no competition at all, is just crazy..
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Replying to @kamikazecash
How does SCHD avoid major drawdowns like 2020 and 2022?
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Replying to @VijayKedia1
Compounding! To understand more with mathematical simulation and charts , how sip amount changes and the drawdowns affect the wealth journey in compounding do try sip simulator available on tradecontrol.in
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Replying to @xmikemac
Dude your take is a laundry list of the same recycled FUD thatโ€™s been around forever. Letโ€™s actually poke holes in it without the cult vibes: โ€œYou price it in dollars thoโ€ Yeah, because the entire planet still runs on fiat. We measure gold, real estate, stocks, everything in dollars too. Doesnโ€™t mean we, including you, โ€œloveโ€ fiat. โ€œOne Bitcoin = one Bitcoinโ€ is saying the unit doesnโ€™t inflate away like the dollars do. Which they do. The dollar number going up is just proof. But itโ€™s a 50vol asset so what do you expect? โ€œOutside the system but dumps when Fed sneezesโ€ Early days. Institutions have turned this into a real asset class. Thatโ€™s why it moves with Nasdaq short term!! But look at the cyclesโ€ฆ each one it decouples more, holds value better in real crashes, and institutions pile in. Current on chain data shows institutions buying right now. This is not debatable. โ€œItโ€™s a risk asset that craters 70%, canโ€™t be store of valueโ€ Volatility sucks but itโ€™s dropping over time as market cap grows. Gold had insane swings for decades too. Store of value doesnโ€™t mean โ€œnever dipsโ€โ€ฆit means beats inflation and fiat debasement over years. Bitcoinโ€™s done that through multiple 80% drawdowns and come back stronger every cycle. Most people holding it arenโ€™t day trading their rent money. Scarcity ETFs = cope Scarcity matters because of growing demand. The โ€œUSB stick with seed phrase, donโ€™t lose itโ€ retail pitchโ€ฆ Fair knock on UX for normies, but thatโ€™s why we have custodians, ETFs, Lightning wallets, multisig, hardware that doesnโ€™t suck anymore. Most people donโ€™t self custody gold bars either. Adoption is climbing anyway: 30% of Americans own crypto now, Lightning doing billions in volume. AI/quantum gonna wreck it in 5-8 yearsโ€ฆ Quantumโ€™s been โ€œ5 years awayโ€ for 20 years. Bitcoinโ€™s upgraded before and can again (post-quantum sigs exist in research). AI? Itโ€™ll probably just make better tools for it. Itโ€™s not perfect, onboardingโ€™s clunky, volatility real but calling it retarded while it keeps compounding and sucking in capital is peak โ€œI donโ€™t get itโ€ energy. Itโ€™s messy internet money growing into something bigger. Thatโ€™s the whole ride. ๐Ÿ˜‚
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Replying to @Roman_Trading
Still calling lower prices but started DCA on the div? 50% loss needs 100% gain. Drawdowns punish early moves.
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This post is essentially a visual endorsement of that narrative for $SPY and $QQQ. Markets can stay irrational longer than expected in such phases, but Hunter (and others) stress it's not sustainable forever. Always do your own researchโ€”high-conviction forecasts like this carry significant risk on the downside.This X post highlights a chart of the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) in what macro strategist David Hunter calls the "parabolic melt-up" phase.@JohnZho15664557Post ContentThe user (@JohnZho15664557) posted on June 15, 2026:""$spy $qqq Weโ€™re in David Hunterโ€™s parabolic melt-up โ€” each drawdown is getting smaller.@DaveHcontrarianIt includes a long-term SPY chart (from SPDRs) showing an upward trend with:Recent drawdowns labeled: -4.97% (smallest, highlighted in red at the top). Larger prior ones: -9.8%, -21%, and -28%. Dashed trend lines (orange/red and cyan/blue) illustrating the overall climb, with volatility appearing to compress on pullbacks as the rally steepens.@JohnZho15664557This visually supports Hunter's thesis that corrections are shrinking in magnitude during the final euphoric stage of a long bull market.David Hunter's Broader ViewDavid Hunter (Contrarian Macro Advisors,@DaveHcontrarian) has been vocal about a 43โ€“44 year secular bull market entering its final, explosive "parabolic melt-up" leg. Key points from his recent commentary:He expects extreme upside in equities (e.g., S&P 500 targets raised toward 8,000โ€“10,000, Nasdaq much higher) driven by FOMO, short-covering, and momentum. This phase features accelerating gains with progressively smaller, shallower pullbacks โ€” exactly what the chart illustrates. He warns this will end in a major top (possibly as early as late 2025 or into 2026), followed by a severe deflationary bust (potentially 80% drawdown) and global economic challenges.podcasts.apple.comHunter's calls have evolved with the market (targets raised as levels are hit), and he views the current action as confirmation of the melt-up.x.com x.com/JohnZho15664557/statusโ€ฆ

$spy $qqq Weโ€™re in David Hunterโ€™s parabolic melt-up โ€” each drawdown is getting smaller.@DaveHcontrarian
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