I came across an amazing strategy if you are trading 15 mins BTC markets on Polymarket or Kalshi.
Scope:
This is exclusively for 15 minute Crypto market.
Parameter:
It has only 3 parameters to tweak config.
triggerPoint := 90; BUY Price Point
exitPoint := 40; Stop Loss price point
triggerMinute := 14; remaining minutes
What it does?
The strategy is mostly about waiting till either side reach High probability zone, entering and waiting for it to hit resolution.
Example: Wait till either up/down to reach 85 (triggerPoint), enter and hope for it to reach resolution.
What is the Risk?
The risk is the reversal.
Example: if the up reaches 85 @ 12 minute remaining. suddenly BTC price starts dropping and now Up resolves to Zero.
How to manage such risk?
1. Exit Point:
Think of this as StopLoss, if we entered UP at 85, ideally it tends to stick on higher probability zone and ends up at resolution. If not, we can setup a exitPoint at 40, eat that loss and wait for the next session.
Time Delay:
With more time to expiry, higher the risk of reversal. You can setup this bot at whichever time you'd want to activate and then it would actively starts monitoring price for the entry.
Downside of Time Delay:
If you set this up at late stage (example last 5 minute triggerMinute), you might not get the exact entry point you'd want. If you setup entry point at 70 and activation minute to last 5 minute and the price is trading at 93. then you'd enter at 93.
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