đ Team Statistics
đșđŸ Uruguay have averaged just 0.67 goals conceded per match across their last 20 games, while Saudi Arabia average only 1.10 goals scored per game.
đźđ· Iran average:
âą 1.30 goals per game
âą 13.35 shots per game
âą 5.00 shots on target per game
đłđż New Zealand average:
âą 11.28 shots per game
âą 4.72 shots on target per game
Chris Wood remains New Zealandâs primary attacking threat, averaging 3.0 shots per 90 minutes across his last 10 matches.
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đ€ Model Insight
Recent calibration has highlighted the dangers of relying on heavy favourites to dominate matches through handicaps, corners and margin-based markets.
This double instead focuses on:
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A low-variance Uruguay outcome that covers most realistic scorelines.
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New Zealandâs most reliable attacking outlet generating opportunities.
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Iran finding the net against a side that has conceded regularly against stronger opposition.
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đĄ Why We Like It
âą Uruguay can win, draw 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 and still land their leg.
âą Chris Wood averages 3.0 shots per 90 and remains New Zealandâs focal point.
âą Iran only need a single goal to contribute.
âą No reliance on handicaps, corners or dominant victories.
âą Multiple routes to success across both matches.
đ Estimated Edge: 10% to 17%