MOSL on Nuvama
Buy, TP Rs 1860
Steady growth business with attractive valuations
Strong industry tailwinds for wealth management
Expect revenue/PAT to post growth of 18%/19% over FY26-28
Stock is currently trading at one of cheapest valuations in capital market ecosystem at FY28E P/E of 19x, making it an attractive bet
MOSL on MGL
Buy, TP Rs 1390
Stock has corrected 13% over the last three and a half months, primarily due to elevated input gas costs (Brent at USD102/bbl in 1QFY27’td vs USD69/bbl in FY26;
Spot LNG at USD18/mmbtu in 1QFY27’td vs USD12/mmbtu in FY26) and rupee depreciation (11% YoY in 1QFY27’td), which contracted margins.
While margin pressure continues to persist, improving D-PNG conversion momentum (up 50% vs pre-war levels), easing execution bottlenecks, sustained CNG volume growth, likely further INR2-3/kg CNG price hikes (INR5/kg CNG price hikes already taken post-war), and stronger I&C realizations should support earnings going forward.
At 10.8x FY28E P/E (near mean -1 S.D.), valuations appear attractive, offering scope for re-rating as margin pressures ease.
INCRED on Jubilant Ingrevia
ADD, TP cut to Rs 755
Chinese oversupply is exerting pressure on prices of ethyl acetate, acetic anhydride, and choline chloride.
Pyridine leadership is strong, but margins remain thin and new growth areas need capability building
Expect an EPS CAGR of 12% over FY26–29F.
RoE and RoCE are expected to fall to 9.9% and 10.5%, respectively, in FY28F
In this scenario, trading above 3x book value looks difficult.
Investec on Cement
Pan India dealer checks
a) On m-o-m basis, average pan India trade prices declined by Rs2/bag in May’26. East witnessed the steepest decline followed by West and Central.
b) Prices are higher by Rs7/bag in YTQFY27 versus Q4FY26.
c) No price hike announcements for June’26.
d) Dealers indicate demand was affected due to heat waves, labour shortages in May’26
Expect spreads in 1HFY27E to be impacted by cost inflation (fuel, packaging), with increase in diesel prices further increasing the ask
on price growth
Retain UTCEM/ACEM, JSWC/JKCE as BUYs.
MOSL on Equitas SFB
Buy, TP Rs 85
Analyst day takeaways
Highlighted its long-term strategy of growing at a healthy pace of 20% over the next five years.
Growth is expected to be driven by secured asset classes like small business loans (SBL), vehicle finance (VF), and home loan (HL) segments, while the MFI business is expected to be capped at 10% of the loan book
Liability franchise is likely to be strengthened by progressively graduating toward mass affluent-formal segments and deepening penetration in existing geographies
Operating leverage is expected to improve over the medium term, supported by higher in-house sourcing, streamlined processes, and new tech capabilities.
Asset quality trends remain healthy, with stability in the MFI segment and strong performance across core secured classes such as SBL and VF.
Management has guided for credit costs to settle at 1.25-1.50% on a steady state basis, and has guided for an RoA of 1.5%, with an upward bias toward 1.8% during favorable times
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