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I need everybody to simply chill out and just let the morning play out before jumping to any conclusions, especially ones only based on SIMULATED REFLECTIVITY of literally all things 😂 #wxtwitter
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Replying to @EthanBolziccoWX
You could be right. This is the reflectivity shown at 3p EST and cloud cover pretty much 100% at 5p EST. Cloud cover in your Cig3 zone is 90% from 12pm - 8pm
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Jill Toussaint retweeted
Strong tornado may be on the ground. Visible debris ball on reflectivity lined up with a CC drop and lower DR, despite the radar indicated warning. (This has been showing up for a few scans now). SEEK SHELTER NOW! Morgan, Hedricks, Putnum counties in western Indiana! #wxtwitter
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KHGX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 10:19 PM
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Multiple fail modes still on the table tomorrow. Hopefully they occur. Watching this 0z suit makes me wish there wasn’t even a simulated reflectivity option. It would actually force people to forecast. #ilwx #inwx
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People need to stop over-analyzing the hrrr reflectivity every time a new run comes in. The environment is clearly primed for several strong tornadoes tomorrow. Don’t even look that shitty cam until it gets to the day of.
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Badwolf 🔜 FWA retweeted
turned up the reflectivity & specularity for #InternationalDayOfLatex 📸: @DoktorBites
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KHGX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 9:28 PM
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Can't wait for everyone to say "tomorrow is slop" or, "it's gonna bust" after seeing one HRRR reflectivity run that isn't even that bad.
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KINX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1 8:57 PM #okwx #mowx #kswx
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Now this is better representation of reflectivity.
Custom WRF Run for Wednesday based on HRRR 18z IC. 1.5km Resolution
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Also the far more accurate NAM3km reflectivity looks even worse. It is just simres but if it busts tomorrow don’t say the models didn’t tell you.
Don’t think tomorrow will be as rainwrapped as people are saying. In one scenario. Both storm mode and PWAT favor rainwrapped wedges, although ventilation is insanely good, although ventilation is a characteristic of ALL violent tornado outbreaks. I expect a 15% sig 3. Stay safe!
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estimated ~8.9 mile path of a tornado in Indiana today (Based on Reflectivity & CC) 8:45-9:06 PM CDT
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Observed tornado with this storm near Hamilton Indiana KIWX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1 7:04 PM Super-Res Velocity 2 7:02 PM #inwx #ohwx #miwx
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Tornado Warning for Stilesville Indiana observed tornado with this storm KIND - Super-Res Reflectivity 1 7:02 PM Super-Res Velocity 2 7:01 PM #inwx
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Melissa retweeted
Likely a tornado on the ground near Cloverdale, IN given a debris ball on reflectivity/CC. Hard to tell within the traffic camera near there but looks like there’s a funnel atleast. #inwx
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♱ 🐈‍⬛Keanu Siamese🐈‍⬛ ♱ 🇨🇦🇺🇦 retweeted
Showers blasting off the foothills CASSM - Super-Res Reflectivity 1 5:47 PM #ABStorm
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