Transmission is a Decadal Theme | India’s Silent Power Revolution
- I'm from the Power sector with 12 years of experience.
- Here's why I’ve allocated 30% of my long term Portfolio in this decadal theme with huge tailwind
1⃣ Massive Market Size & Tailwinds
Transmission market: ₹3.56 Lakh Cr
➡️ Huge headroom for growth
2⃣ Tower–Substation–Conductor Value Chain
🔹Tower: ₹1.6 Lakh Cr (40%)
🔹Substation: ₹1.8 Lakh Cr (50%)
🔹Conductors: ₹20k Cr to ₹35k Cr (5 to 10%)
➡️ Major Cost sits in just these 3 - massive opportunity for infra players
3⃣ Government-Backed Capex Explosion
🔹₹4.25 L Cr (2022–27) ₹4.90 L Cr (2027–32)
🔹Total: ₹9.15 Lakh Crores in 10 years
🔹42% of current transmission line capacity to be added
➡️ Once-in-a-generation policy-led cycle
4⃣ Demand Drivers = Long-Term Secular Growth
🔹EV grid readiness
🔹AI/Data centers’ 24x7 power needs
🔹Renewable Peak-load balancing = New substation demand
🔹Smart Cities & Tier 2/3 urbanization
5⃣ Tech Upgrade: The New Backbone
CEA plan includes:
🔹HVDC (LCC VSC), STATCOM, Digital Substations
➡️ Infra is moving from steel to silicon. This isn’t just capex, it's intelligence upgrade.
Capacity Additions – Already in Motion
6⃣ Transmission Line:
- FY22: 4.56 L ckm
- FY27E: 5.71 L ckm → FY32E: 6.48 L ckm
Substations (MVA):
- FY22: 10.7M → FY32E: 23.4M MVA
➡️ More than 2x growth = multi-year compounding across the value chain
7⃣ Who Benefits? Transmission Value Chain Stocks ?
🏗️ Tower:
🔹KEC International – India’s largest tower EPC player with global presence
🔹Skipper Ltd – Export-driven tower manufacturer with substation ambitions
🔹Transrail Lighting – Full-spectrum EPC with monopoles, civil, and rail electrification
🔹Techno Electric – Asset-light EPC player focused on HV towers and substations
🔹Bajel Projects Ltd – New demerged entity with strong tower GIS EPC pipeline
🔹Kalpataru Projects International (KPIL) – Global transmission EPC giant with ₹64K Cr OB, active in 75 countries
🏭 Substations:
🔹ABB India – Leader in HVDC, STATCOM, and digital substations
🔹Siemens Ltd – High-tech player in automation, protection & control systems
🔹Bajel Projects Ltd – Active in 220kV & 400kV GIS/AIS substations
🔹Shilchar Technologies – Supplies power transformers for EHV substations
🔹TARIL – Trusted grid transformer supplier, expanding into 765kV ultra high-voltage market
🔌 Conductors:
🔹KEI Industries – Key cable supplier across power infra and exports
🔹Apar Industries – India’s largest conductor maker with HTLS leadership
🔹Dynamic Cables – Fast-growing conductor cable supplier for T&D projects
📌These players are at the heart of India’s $9.15L Cr grid overhaul. Some will be 5x–10x over the decade.
- Any major We missed out . Do mention in comment
- No Buy/Sell recommendation
#StocksInFocus #StocksToWatch #taril #Shilchar #siemens #bajel #transrail #kei #aparind #abb #skipper #kec #kpil