With the ceasefire set to expire on Wednesday, the US government is expected to attempt to achieve militarily, what it did not achieve diplomatically - the surrender of the Iranian government. The US government claims that the Iranian government has lost the war, pointing to the damage that the small Iranian Navy has sustained, and pointing to the missiles that have been used up by the Iranian government. However, it is also the case that the underground missiles that the Iranian government has been making for years, continue to be produced. What the past asymmetric wars show, that just because one side has more planes, ships, etc., does not mean that it would necessarily win wars, as the examples of Afghanistan and Iraq demonstrate. If the Iranian government will keep its promises as it did before the war, and on top of restricting the Strait of Hormuz and attacking US military bases, will strike at oil refineries, this will further damage the world and US economy, and could lead to a world depression. Restricting the Red Sea access by the Yemen government would cause further damage. On top of rising gas prices, food prices will increase, due not just to higher gas prices, but due to the lack of fertilizers. This would further the economic damage, which would result from the lack of sulfur, helium, and products that include other elements. Undoubtedly, the Trump Administration is aware of the risk. However, it hoped to achieve a quick directional change of government at the beginning of the war (which was based on the belief in a successful internal revolt, that was previously put down), so it assumed that the Iranian government wouldn't restrict the Strait of Hormuz and it wouldn't bomb the US military bases in the Persian Gulf. Does it now think that a quick surrender by the Iranian government would be achieved, so none of the other threats would materialize? The Iran-Iraq War was fought for 8 years, and over 400,000 lives were lost on the Iranian side. It is understandable that President Trump would like to present to his base what it can call a "victory", and not what President Trump has called a "victory". Currently, Mark Levin and other Trump supporters made it clear that they don't think that President Trump has won the war. However, what happens when the Iranian government does not surrender, as it made clear that it won't, and proceeds with its plans, that could ruin the world and US economy? Is the Trump Administration willing to take that risk or is it willing to negotiate in good faith to reach a deal (which includes allowing peaceful use of nuclear energy, instead of insisting on zero percent enrichment) and avoid a potential catastrophe? There is a reason why previous Presidents didn't start the Iran War in the first place. The Pentagon didn't want to be sucked into a war, where it did not see it being able to have escalation control. It is time to make the ceasefire permanent. #iranwar #10PointPlan #peaceplan #irangovernment #iraniangovernment #IslamabadTalks #PresidentTrump #assymetricwarfare #escalationcontrol #failureoftalks #StraitOfHormuz #usgovernment #peacetalks #redsea #YemenGovernment #Houthis #nuclearenrichment #uraniumenrichment #ceasefire 'Resumption of hostilities': Seized ship, vessel attacks push U.S.-Iran ceasefire toward brink cnb.cx/4cwb02j

The failure of talks in Islamabad after 21 hours has come from the difference between the Iranian and US governments on which side was coming to the talks from the position of strength. Even though, the Iranian government has control over the Strait of the Hormuz, the US government's position is that it has won the war. Therefore, the US government's stance was that it could make its own demands over the Strait of Hormuz, over which the US government has no control. The reason why previous Presidents did not start a war against Iran, was because of the lack of the US government's advantage in escalation control. Simply put, it was understood by Pentagon officials that the Iranian government had always more cards to play in the Strait of Hormuz. The government of Iran was seen as capable of attacks on US military bases and oil refineries, etc... The Strait of Hormuz restrictions and attacks on oil refineries would have likely collapsed the world and US economy... War games had been conducted that showed significant American casualties. Numerous articles from military strategists have been written about this topic over the last two decades. However, even though President Trump has been publicly looking for an off-ramp and has made the Iranian government's 10 Point Plan a subject of negotiations, this was countered by the insistence that the US government has won the war and that it would make its own demands, including zero enrichment of uranium. As a result, the talks have collapsed. Previous talks have collapsed after the Iranian government didn't agree to demands of the US government that included a call for the Iranian Navy to be destroyed. #iranwar #escalationcontrol #10PointPlan #peaceplan #wargames #iraniangovernment #IslamabadTalks #PresidentTrump #failureoftalks #usgovernment #peacetalks #straitofhormuz #nuclearenrichment #uraniumenrichment No agreement between U.S. and Iran after 21 hours of talks, Vance says nbcnews.com/world/iran/live-… via @nbcnews