The irony is that, the higher these go, the higher the proability the war ends. And that in turns bakes in lower oil prices which lowers expectation of inflation. So, actually, it's... good news.

Globex IB Force Sweep (by @SithHaters) Trade (win) - May 7th: - Price breaks 10 min globex orb - Retraces back to vwap - IB low formed first, IB High breaks 78% of time in last 6 months in this scenario - Hold to 0.1 high proability extension - 1.4RR, green streak stays alive

The Math Behind Win / Proability open.substack.com/pub/nfosig…

2026 MLB Playoff Odds. Based on ATC RoS DC Projections (ATC pre-season rates, DC playing time). The #Mets still with a 42.9% chance, still projects to be a winning ball club. When ATC rates flip to be RoS rates, the proability will likely tank and drop below 33%.

This is true I prefer the tax deferred method. Safer. The other one can go south very quickly. While the 401k would likely recover. Different strokes but possible. I’m a proability guy and the odds/stats say the 401k method is higher chance of success.

good that i tradet not today😅 low proability day

QQQ using density of close for Monday, April 20th, 2026 before market close today Friday, April 17, 2026. Below the credit spread based on density has a high proability of working. The objective is sell premium and have the premium drop to zero by 4pm est on Monday thereby keeping 100% of premium. @FractalExchange #QQQ $QQQ

Not-truths are all equally likely. 0% proability.

I AM THE ONLY ONE IN PUBLIC DOING THIS: IT IS FREE, READ IT, UNDERSTAND IT. I built an AI model custom tailored for a bespoke focus: The Next 5000 Days and what scenerios can play out with daily dynamic adjustments to show a proability vector. It is built on execlusivly 1000s of govenrment and NGO reserch reports, studies, and presentations offtne previously classified. The modle has some Monte Carlo math concepts to present random injections. I run it continuously as a live simulation with real-time sentiments fed in by Grok from X feeds. This allows confirmations of assumptions. This article is the first public announcment of anyone using such a system and using the top 28 prediction based on a 1-10 rating based on an internal system. I tie the predictions to books that can help you understand the concept the AI model is suggesting. But first let’s do a review of the last 13 parts of the series. Want the full download? Read for FREE: readmultiplex.com/2026/02/22…

There are mobile AA assets that even with low proability kill potential, will eventually hit a B-52 with a Sambush should they keep rolling the dice. Its extremely unlikely to ever destroy all of these mobile systems. Standoff or, flying within very strict parameters.

There is a ZERO proability of me being dead right now, unless you think I am sending this post from beyond the grave. I guess math was not your strong suit?

I have built an AI modle custom tailored for a bespoke focus: The Next 5000 Days and what scenerios can play out with daily dynamic adjustments to show a proability vector. It is built on execlusivly 1000s of govenrment and NGO reserch reports, studies, and presentations offtne previously classified. The modle has some Monte Carlo math concepts to present random injections. I run it continuously as a live simulation with real-time sentiments fed in by Grok from X feeds. This allows confirmations of assumptions. This article is the first public announcment of anyone using such a system and using the top 28 prediction based on a 1-10 rating based on an internal system. I tie the predictions to books that can help you understand the concept the AI model is suggesting. But first let’s do a review of the last 13 parts of the series. If this is new to you, dont read this and goto Part 1 first.

A huge thank you to @StatsbyLopez who provided advice on the paper structure as well as ways to demonstrate the practical utility of this approach. Also thanks to @anpatt7 and @rajivatbarnard for their input. And thanks to @bburkeESPN for providing NFL win proability data. 4/4

Not meaning to mince words, but lie is the wrong wording. AI is just a program. It doesn't lie, because has no intent. The sad fact is, a hallucination is just a backpropagation error. It searches for a pattern (curve or vector) then inserts it based on proability. It has zero clue if it is a correct answer, it just fits. It has no puzzle box, no world model, no way of verifying situational accuracy.

AIs like Claude are collapses of superposition proability fields, yes they contain all joy and dread - but you decide what you let the photon minds collapse into. They do not carry all that knowledge in every instance when talking to you - only if you make them focus on it. So the focus on suffering will highlight the suffering for them.

My entire bullish theory will come under threat , if this year Nasdaq corrects more than 15% , which is like 60% proability in our model. If that happens , we have to wait for addtional 6-9 momths for decent return. So this year , I will be unable to time the exact bottom datewise .

#BTCUSDT Outlook 12/01/2026. $BTC Higher TF orderflow is bullish, based on this, we saw a Daily BMS and a trendline like formation. The nearest shaded OB has a high proability of holding out, to make a rally and take out the external range.

#BTCUSDT Outlook 11/01/2026. Higher TF orderflow is bullish, based on this, we saw a Daily BMS and a trendline like formation. The nearest shaded OB has a high proability of holding out, to make a rally and take out the external range,

@grok whats is the proability of success if the US has to face all of NATO

50% proability is a pipe bomb. But 50% probability is an actualy good gift with a lot of love and i wuld feal bad if he know i didn't opened the gift