📍 Retesting VFlow 60d as resistance. Break above, or rejection and a 6/6 on the tracker? Thoughts? I lean rejection - still expecting one last dip before the move up toward the range high at 67/69K .

July is usually a strong month, so do you see pump into July? If so what’s your target price up to 70k? And thank you for your great analysis! Your vflow analysis was on point.

So, we've got around a 2% decline from VFlow. That's already ✅ 5/5 since the correction began. Rejections are clearly getting smaller. Market selling is being absorbed, and limit buyers will soon become market buyers. ~$214M in outflows from the $BTC ETF yesterday, with barely any price reaction, confirms it.

📍 One last time before VFlow flips to support? What do you think? Price back at 30d VFlow. It's been resistance the whole way down - I think it'll change to support pretty soon. $BTC

📍 Update. Called the VFlow retest a bit early yesterday. The real test is happening now. Price up 2.5% from yesterday. This is the actual decision point. Either it rejects here or it doesn’t. After one more dip, I think VFlow rotates to support, and that’s when I start watching for swing long setups, as SPI is pointing to an accumulation zone. Data only. NFA $BTC

📍 Update Price back near VFlow. The last retest played out 3/3. Price is lower now, but the 1H is flagging risk of a pullback here. Let’s see if it holds the pattern. This could be the last dip before the move up I've been expecting. Data only. NFA $BTC

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Same view. 65-67K is the line. Third touch of VFlow 30d happening now - if it gives like the other two did, lower low gets real.

📍 Third touch of VFlow 30d. The previous two ended with continuation lower. What do you see here? I lean toward more downside - the structure hasn't given any real reason to flip yet. Data only. NFA $BTC

📍 Update ✅As flagged. Over 6% down once VFlow broke. The mid-term picture says there's more room lower. Likely path now: small ranges with bounces toward VFlow, then continuation. 67K is the level that matters - below it, lower low is in play. Data only. NFA $BTC

📍 Bounce path playing out. Price reached VFlow 30d at ~78K. This is the test - reaction here decides if sellers step back in or if buyers actually show up. Coinbase asks still elevated, no real rotation on the book yet. Setup leans toward continuation lower if VFlow holds as resistance. Data only. NFA $BTC

Same two paths laid out yesterday - bounce to ~79.5 testing VFlow as resistance, or sideways while averages catch down. Both open cleaner short entries if the rest of the metrics line up.

Same read on the absorption - high-volume rejections after weak bids usually do all the work. 79.5 is the cleanest level I have too, VFlow 30d sits right there. From the flow side - Coinbase asks still elevated, no real buyer rotation yet. The 1D bounce looks more like supply absorption than demand stepping in. What are your downside targets from here? Curious where the volume profile flags the next cluster.

Yeah, 79.5 lines up - that's where VFlow 30d sits as resistance now. A couple of days will tell.

📍 What to watch next: - 30d and 60d VFlow rolling over - a bounce into ~79.5K testing VFlow as resistance, then continuation lower - or a few days of sideways action, letting VFlow come down without price recovering Both scenarios could set up a clean re-entry zone if the rest of the metrics line up. Patience. Data only. NFA $BTC

The failure scenario already started showing on shorter TFs. Price closed below 60d VFlow and got rejected from 30d on the retest. Support flipped to resistance. If range highs don't reclaim fast, rotation to mid-range is the cleaner read.

Macro frame lines up with what's showing on shorter TFs already. Price closed below 60d VFlow today, 30d flipped to resistance on the retest. Initiative looks like it's shifting. Early tell or noise - next few sessions decide.

📍 ✅ Decision point resolved. Price closed below 60d VFlow and got rejected from 30d on the retest - support flipped to resistance, confirming the setup. Momentum fading, initiative could be shifting to sellers. Bounces may become levels to fade, not levels to chase. Data only. NFA $BTC

📍 ETH/BTC March 21: flagged the rotation back to BTC, key level 0.0294. March 23-26: VFlow rejections, structure intact. April 2: second rejection at the level. ✅ Today: 0.0294 broke. Price at 0.0283. Six weeks, four touches, one direction. The rotation thesis confirmed. Data only. NFA $BTC

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