Admit nothing. Deny everything. Make counteraccusations. Dev / Ultrarunner / Cornell / Legit top right boogeyman "A monster with table manners"
Joined January 2008
- Tweets 1,513
- Following 164
- Followers 1,292
- Likes 1,292
178 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
23 Jan 2018
RIP @groovinmahoovin
Thank you for all you taught me generously without ever asking for a single thing in return. I won't ever forget a single lesson and I will remember your influence every time I look at my model's dashboard. Rest easy.
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17 Apr 2024
This is an easy, good heuristic just like #YesAllTouts so not disagreeing.
But Groovin taught me. Groovin won. He was insane, but he was unique & spent time teaching if he felt you were putting in the effort to learn & never asked for anything in return.
RIP to the realest.
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4 Aug 2021
Threads like these are a great idea, finding access to good papers is too hard. But paper 1 is not good & much of 5 is covered in 4 (Oikonomidis involved in both).
You can check out my repo of papers here - github.com/hagrin/sports/tre⦠- not all encompassing but it's what I have.
I've come across a few articles and dissertations that may help with background information on sports gambling and common sports gambling models.
Beating the bookies with their own numbers - and how the online sports betting market is rigged
arxiv.org/abs/1710.02824
1/?
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22 May 2021
Was saving this for an article, but seems appropriate today.
Imagine if I cared about the fiat value of BTC denominated bets knowing Nitro took 6 BTC no KYC multi accts on broken NFL draft props in 2015. Lol?
And if you must, there are trading instruments you can use to help.
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7 Apr 2021
As someone joked in a chat somewhere earlier this week "this blockchain transparency thing is not going well for poor Vegas Dave".
Little did I know we were only at the beginning of Vegas Dave's low IQ journey through public ledgers.
mintedmoment.substack.com/p/β¦
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7 Apr 2021
You literally couldn't have made it any more obvious even if you tried.
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7 Apr 2021
livetoken.co/accounts/ba05e7β¦
I mean, lol?
If Top Shot is actually serious about multiaccounting and KYC and they haven't caught this yet, might be time to just give up and make it a free-for-all.
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25 Feb 2021
Throwback Thursday: Found this today after almost 5 years. Three days after the Deadspin article dropped on ESPN 1100 in Las Vegas.
"They're going to pay." #LiesMounting
soundcloud.com/ipqhagrin/rj-β¦
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7 Sep 2020
I've seen a bunch of people ask about 5D futures, seems as if settled after Sept 25th will be canceled and refunded.
7 Sep 2020
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17 Aug 2020
I get books limiting winners, but if you're a no-KYC, BTC book & you're limiting winners on top of absurdly low limits, all you're doing is antagonizing me to beat you more.
If you think chain forensics & temporal analysis will save you vs me, my UTXOs have some bad news for you
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23 Jan 2020
Will probably record in the next 24-48 hours (if I can stop clearing my throat) & this will be the only time I ever do something like this so send your questions/insults.
Sports/crypto/tech good topics, pls no Whole Foods questions cc @jppeasy
30 Dec 2019
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12 Oct 2019
Eliud Kipchoge just broke the 2 hour marathon barrier & did it looking pretty comfortable after a little rough patch in the middle of the race.
1:59:40.
Unreal.
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26 Aug 2019
Going to be a long day on the Twitter machine I see if we're starting the day standing with RAS although the irony of the argument being made is certainly not lost on me. Trending towards a #BFD.
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6 Jun 2019
This is not a hot take weβve been through this multiple times now.
6 Jun 2019
Hot take: The #1 issue holding back recreational gamblers is *NOT* bankroll management. It's placing negative EV bets.
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27 Mar 2019
1/3 No idea if VD does this but this is one of the oldest cons around in the investment space.
You use your own entity's funds to simulate actual cash flow / interest to hook potential investors (this case, show producers) & then return / chargeback the fraudulent investments.
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27 Mar 2019
2/3 Modern Example - Many crypto paid groups will cleverly use the ability to check a wallet's activity/balance to fraudulently suggest real interest from outside investors. However, a simple taint analysis will sometimes show that payments into a wallet are from same entity!
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27 Mar 2019
3/3 For more information on investment cons, please follow @T00dFuhrmansDad
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27 Mar 2019
This is not a problem, it's a feature.
27 Mar 2019
Here's the problem with recreational gamblers using Kelly criterion to help determine wager size: Kelly says you should be 0% of your bankroll if you don't have an edge.
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14 Jan 2019
Reading the Nitrogen chatbox on a Sunday with poors pestering the admins trying to get their .001 BTC wagers graded in time to shove it all in again on the 4:25pms.
Except, you know, for a million dollars and a title. #SBNC #PayTheManHisDogTreats
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13 Jan 2019
Dog treats for all!
There are far worse outcomes than @RufusPeabody shipping this (like PGF somehow shipping from 18th place god help us) so good luck Rufus.
13 Jan 2019
One to make sure to check later: Rufus Peabody is 'Opti5624' -- currently in fourth place a bankroll of $42,875.
In striking distance... #SBNC
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