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hedgopia @hedgopia

Stocks, macro, technicals, derivatives. RTs/Favs not endorsements. Joined in earnest in 2014. @seeitmarket contributor.

Joined March 2009
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hedgopia@hedgopia
22h
How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI hedgopia.com/cot-peek-into-f…
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Non-commercials' net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures ↓ slightly w/w from 37-week high. Bears had early momentum as cash (7431) tags 7238 by Tue low, but bulls put their foot down just above 50-DMA; index up 2.7% from that low. Weekly forms potentially bullish dragonfly doji. $SPY
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Using rising rates as an excuse, bulls last Fri lock in some of the massive gains built up since Mar low. More likely on the way. $RUT $NDX $SPX hedgopia.com/equity-bulls-si…
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How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI hedgopia.com/cot-peek-into-f…
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Non-commercials' net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures highest since mid-Sep last year. Rewarded, as cash (7384), after 9 consecutive up weeks, begins to unwind overbought condition by giving back 2.6%. In due course, major breakout retest at 7000, or just underneath. $SPY
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Bulls singlehandedly focused on record corporate profits, passing over several potential risks. $SPX $NDX $RUT hedgopia.com/equity-bulls-ab…
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How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI hedgopia.com/cot-peek-into-f…
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Non-commercials' net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures at 12-week high. Cash (7580) ↑ for 9 straight weeks. Bulls probably not thrilled by the kinds of candles that are showing up -- Fri's doji was preceded by Wed's hanging man, Tue's spinning top and last Fri's shooting star. $SPY
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Having already rallied relentlessly from Mar 30 lows, major US equity indices positioned well to score another breakout, albeit minor. $SPX $NDX $RUT hedgopia.com/after-persisten…
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How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI hedgopia.com/cot-peek-into-f…
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Non-commercials slightly cut net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures but maintain decent position. Cash (7473) not cooperating, ↑ for 8 weeks in a row from Mar 30 low; bulls probably not thrilled by Fri action, w/ session high 7506 <11 points short of May 14 high drawing offers. $SPY
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Just when overbought equity indices were itching to go down, then came last week's spike in long rates to potentially important level. $TNX $SPX $NDX $RUT hedgopia.com/extremely-overb…
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How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI hedgopia.com/cot-peek-into-f…
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Non-commercials' net shorts in 10-year note futures at 7-week low but stay elevated, betting on higher rates. $TNX (4.6%) jumps 23bps, ending right at trendline resistance from Oct '23 when rates peaked at 5%; sustained breakout can be consequential for all kinds of assets. $TLT
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For 2nd time in 3 weeks, non-commercials switch to net short #Nasdaq (mini) futures. $NDX (29125) reverses lower from ↑ 1.5% at Thu high to ↓ 0.38% for week, for a weekly spinning top. 1st ↓ week in 7, after rallying 29.9% from Mar 30 low. Major breakout retest at 26100s. $QQQ
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Non-commercials raise net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures to 10-week high. Cash (7409) inches up 0.1% for 7th consecutive up week, but not before giving up major gains, w/ Thu tagging fresh intraday record of 7517. Index way overbought. Major breakout retest lies at 7000. $SPY
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$SMH's parabolic -- and arguably frothy -- run has positively impacted tech-heavy $NDX, which in turn has influenced large-cap $SPX. $RUT hedgopia.com/semis-parabolic…
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How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI hedgopia.com/cot-peek-into-f…
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Last week, for 1st time since Jul '24, non-commercials went net short #Nasdaq mini futures; this week, they went back to net long, albeit tiny. $NDX (29235) continues on its merry way, up 28% from Mar 30 low; $SMH up 57% during the period! It is beginning to look frothy. $QQQ
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Non-commercials maintain their decent-size net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures. As do cash longs in their bullish bias; index (7399) ↑ 6 weeks in a row -- ↑ 17.1% from Mar 30 low. Daily remains extremely overbought, followed now by weekly. Nearest support 7270s, then 7240s. $SPY
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