When the Bubble Bursts: Surviving the Canadian Real Estate Crash 2nd Ed- June 2018; ski, golf - 46 years as investment professional

Joined September 2011
6,025 Photos and videos
Hilliard MacBeth retweeted
BREAKING: Iran says the US has agreed to permanently hand over the Strait of Hormuz to Iran under their full sovereign authority, with Iran collecting tolls called "service fees" from all commercial ships after a 60-day waiver period. The opening is planned for Friday, after the signing, per Fars. With pre-war Hormuz traffic at 30,000 vessels and 7.6 billion barrels of oil per year, this could generate $10 billion in annual revenue for Iran, and comes on top of the $300 billion in reconstruction funds directly sent to Iran. This also directly contradicts Trump's claim of a "toll free opening of the Strait of Hormuz" under no fees.
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Hilliard MacBeth retweeted
BREAKING: Iran says the US has agreed to pay $300 billion in reconstruction funds directly to Iran as part of the deal Pakistan announced, alongside the release of $24 billion in frozen funds with $12 billion released before negotiations even start, per Mehr News. This directly contradicts Trump's & Vance's claim that no funds will be transferred to Iran at all. If Trump denies this is true, there never was a deal. If Trump confirms, the US has fully capitulated to Iran's demands.
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Hilliard MacBeth retweeted
🚨 MERCEDES JUST PUT A MOTOR ONLY 8 CM THICK INTO A CAR THAT CAN HIT 62 MPH IN 2.1 SECONDS. Instead of conventional radial flux motors, Mercedes is betting big on axial flux technology. In these motors, the electromagnetic force flows parallel to the axle, allowing two magnetic rotors to sandwich a central stator in a flat, disc-like layout. The result is dramatically smaller and more powerful. The front motor in the new all-electric Mercedes-AMG GT 4-door Coupe is just 9 cm wide. The rear motors are even thinner at roughly 8 cm each. Despite their tiny size, they help launch the heavy performance car from 0-62 mph in just 2.1 seconds, with a top speed of up to 186 mph. Why this matters: β€’ Axial flux motors are significantly more power-dense and can be up to 50% lighter than traditional designs β€’ Their extreme thinness frees up packaging space in the vehicle for better weight distribution, aerodynamics, or interior room β€’ Mercedes acquired YASA in 2021 and has spent years developing the complex manufacturing processes needed to build them at scale β€’ The technology is debuting in a high-performance AMG model, showing Mercedes is serious about using it in its most demanding cars The deeper implication: While most of the EV conversation focuses on batteries and software, the electric motor itself is undergoing a quiet revolution. Axial flux designs have long been seen as theoretically superior but extremely difficult to manufacture at scale. By solving the production challenges and putting these motors into a real high-performance car, Mercedes is pushing the entire industry forward. The next generation of electric performance cars may not just have bigger batteries they may have fundamentally better motors. We’re watching the physical hardware of EVs evolve as dramatically as the software has. How important do you think motor technology (rather than just battery size) will be for the future of electric performance cars? Follow for more frontier automotive engineering and electric vehicle technology.
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U.S. Canada trade agreement is in deep trouble bit.ly/3QasTg9 #whenthebubblebursts
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Hilliard MacBeth retweeted
New: A senior US official, speaking to reporters this afternoon, says they are now 80% - 85% confident that the MOU will Iran will be signed in the coming days. They say the US will "significantly" remove sanctions and unfreeze assets if Iran complies with a series of pledges.
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Does $SPCX automatically become one of the Mag 7 now? If yes, which company gets dropped to make room? or does it become the Mag 8?
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Hilliard MacBeth retweeted
China's EV Revolution is Reshaping Asian Oil Markets @ArgusMedia's VP China Crude Tom Reed on big changes in China's oil strategy, refining sector, and electric transportation. Bottom line: not enough demand for Alberta oil. #china #cdnpoli youtu.be/oulkLdCzkYI
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new vehicles sales only, so the proportion of all vehicles is much smaller. But with 10% annual turnover, it won't take much longer than into 2035 to reach 50% of all vehicles. And that doesn't consider the possibility of ppl trading their ICE for electric before 10 years.
Ten countries have now crossed 50% EV market share. Not cities. Not regions. Ten countries. Across four continents. What's remarkable is that just three years ago, Toyota Chairman argued EVs would be limited to around 30% of global new vehicle sales for the next 100 years. It's 2026. #1 Norway ~98% #2 Denmark ~82% #3 Nepal ~76% #4 Ethiopia ~60% #5 Sweden ~59% #6 China ~57% #7 Uruguay ~57% #8 Netherlands ~55% #9 Iceland ~51% #10 Finland ~50% The prediction came from Toyota Chairman Akio Toyoda. But this is about more than one bad forecast. It's about what happens when incumbents cling to the old world, an empire built on internal combustion, oil and fossil fuel nostalgia, while exponential technologies keep improving in the background. As disruption accelerates, the dominoes are likely to fall faster and faster, making even Norway's transition look slow in hindsight. The difference today is that global supply chains are now being reshaped by electrification. Most models assume vehicles simply age out. What they often miss is the collapse of supporting ICE infrastructure. As EV adoption rises, you start seeing fuel station closures, dealership retrenchment, fewer mechanics, parts shortages, rising insurance premiums and weaker resale values. At some point, owning an ICE vehicle becomes increasingly inconvenient and expensive. The real disruption may not be EV adoption itself. It may be the economic death spiral that makes ICE ownership progressively harder to justify, much like what happened to film cameras, DVDs and landlines. Tesla, Chinese automakers and Transport as a Service (TaaS) only accelerate that process. As younger generations increasingly choose mobility on demand over vehicle ownership, fleet turnover could accelerate even further. The transition won't be driven solely by people replacing old cars with EVs. It will also be driven by fewer people feeling the need to own a car at all. Slow. Then sudden.βš‘πŸ“ˆ #Bettrification
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Democracy? those were the days...
Those who celebrate @elonmusk's $1 trillion fortune need to be reminded of a simple and vital truth: That there is a fundamental tension between extreme wealth and the very possibility of democracy.
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The U.S.-Canada trade relationship took another turn for the worse this week β€” and a critical deadline is now less than three weeks away. The USMCA, the flagship North American trade agreement signed by Trump in 2020, comes up for its mandatory six-year review on July 1. The review can result in an extension to 2042 β€” or, if it fails, the agreement converts to annual status, with any party able to withdraw on six months' notice. Trump was characteristically blunt this week: "I'm not looking to renew it," he said, adding that "we don't need anything that Canada has." The Gordie Howe Bridge β€” a major infrastructure project jointly owned by Canada and Michigan, and a significant boost to cross-border trade β€” was set to open this week. That opening has been put on hold, reportedly under White House pressure, pending further discussions. *links in replies* #whenthebubblebursts
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Hilliard MacBeth retweeted
U.S. Housing Market has reached its most unaffordable level in history 🚨🚨
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Hilliard MacBeth retweeted
Canada supports Ukraine, Ukraine supports Canada. Nothing finer.
Ukraine is the world leader in military drone technology. It is preparing a deal with Canada for the development and production of strike, ground and maritime drones. Canada urgently needs drone defence, given that armed aggression by the United States is no longer impossible.
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US inflation is over 4% annually and 24% over the last 5 years. And the Federal Reserve will probably do nothing about it. What happened to that dual mandate thing?
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Hilliard MacBeth retweeted
Consumer Prices in the US rose 4.5% per year over the last 5 years and over 24% in total. 2% inflation is a myth. They won't do it, but the Fed should be hiking rates at the FOMC meeting next week.
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the future is arriving faster than anyone imagined.
🚨 DEATH BLOW TO GAS CARS In the world's LARGEST auto market! May 2026, China: Top 10 best-sellers = ALL NEVs for the first time ever! βœ… 8 pure BEVs βœ… 2 plug-ins (EREV PHEV) ❌ ZERO ICE engines The internal combustion engine era keeps imploding. βš‘πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ #EVRevolution #LFP #EV Top 10 Best-Selling Cars In China, May 2026: A Historic First #1 Geely Galaxy Xingyuan (EV) - 38,751 #2 Tesla Model Y (EV) - 28,911 #3 Xiaomi SU7 (EV) - 24,023 #4 Leapmotor A10 (EV) - 22,306 #5 Li Auto i6 (EV) - 20,878 #6 Tesla Model 3 (EV) - 18,370 #7 Wuling Mini EV (EV) - 18,308 #8 AITO M6 (EV/EREV) - 18,148 #9 BYD Yuan Up (EV) - 17,043 #10 Fangchengbao Tai 7 (PHEV) - 16,247 Eight were pure BEVs. One was an EREV. One a PHEV. Not a single ICE vehicle made the list. The speed of the transition is arguably the most remarkable part. In January, seven ICE vehicles still occupied China's Top 10. By March that had fallen to five. By April it was down to one. By May it was zero. Tesla had a particularly strong month, with the Model Y taking second place and the Model 3 surging 135 positions to sixth. Chinese brands still dominated overall, taking eight of the ten spots. But the biggest story isn't Chinese vs foreign. It's the speed at which disruption is unfolding in the world's largest auto market. EVs vs ICE: 10-0. That's a milestone worth paying attention to.
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Hilliard MacBeth retweeted
Here is a China story with giant global implications. Car sales in the world's largest market have been dropping for 8 straight months. In May they plunged 22% YoY. That's a 400,000 car tank in a single month. Chinese automakers have reacted by doubling down on exports to markets worldwide. Gotta keep the factories running. 2022: 3.1M 2023: 4.9M 2024: 5.8M 2025: 8.3M 2026: 12M (f) Chinese cars are coming to your neighborhood, ravaging legacy automakers in Australia, the UK, Spain, Mexico and Brazil. reuters.com/world/asia-pacif…
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Hilliard MacBeth retweeted
β€œI have a foreboding of an America in my children's or grandchildren's time -- when the United States is a service and information economy; when nearly all the manufacturing industries have slipped away to other countries; when awesome technological powers are in the hands of a very few, and no one representing the public interest can even grasp the issues; when the people have lost the ability to set their own agendas or knowledgeably question those in authority; when, clutching our crystals and nervously consulting our horoscopes, our critical faculties in decline, unable to distinguish between what feels good and what's true, we slide, almost without noticing, back into superstition and darkness... The dumbing down of American is most evident in the slow decay of substantive content in the enormously influential media, the 30 second sound bites (now down to 10 seconds or less), lowest common denominator programming, credulous presentations on pseudoscience and superstition, but especially a kind of celebration of ignorance” ― Carl Sagan, The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark
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ft.com editorial sounds lame using "engines". & F1 has been hybrid for years. "The rise of electric engines is a particular provocation to petrolheads, as shown by the controversy over Formula 1’s move to hybrid power units this season"

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The Strait of Hormuz closure will become a crisis bit.ly/43S2Ltu #whenthebubblebursts
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