A global pause in AI development will not happen. And the reason is simple and straightforward:
The US has repeatedly stated that it views AI as a strategically vital technology—one where maintaining leadership and an edge is intended to secure its global dominance. A pause would risk China overtaking them, especially given that Chinese open-source models are estimated to lag only four to six months behind.
In this respect, calls for a pause are more about PR than serious intent - a gesture of goodwill rather than a genuine strategic move.
AI is too important, too pivotal for the future, and too transformative for any nation to forgo the opportunity to gain a lead over its rivals.
I've read the comment several times now that this is IPO talk.
And it's a fair comment. Yes, both OpenAI and Anthropic are currently talking about RSI. And yes, both are planning an IPO in 2026. A model like Mythos and an article about RSI appear at just the right time, which naturally makes it seem odd.
But if you read through the noise and look at the evidence, you can see it. And at least the data that Anthropic provides suggests the validity of their thesis, at least based on what has been presented. At the same time, Dario Amodei started talking about RSI as early as 2024, saying he didn't consider it far-fetched, long before the IPO, and discussed it in his article "Machines of Loving Grace." Something similar happened with OpenAI.
In short: it's not just empty talk, but has a valid basis, although real-world use cases will probably soon be demonstrated using this myth-like model, thus providing a more solid foundation for the debate. But I consider their statements to be more than just IPO rhetoric.