Show off time..

A short history of how we got here, because the chronology is the whole story. January: the Pentagon demands unrestricted use of Claude for autonomous weapons and domestic surveillance. Anthropic says no. February: the President orders every federal agency to drop Anthropic. The Defense Secretary bans Pentagon contractors from doing business with them. A rival announces its classified-network deal within hours. March: the Pentagon designates an American company a "supply chain risk" under a statute written for foreign adversaries. A federal judge blocks it. May: the Pentagon signs AI deals with seven companies. Anthropic is not one of them. June 9: Anthropic releases Fable 5. June 12: Commerce issues an export control directive over a jailbreak that, by the government's own account, was demonstrated verbally, came with no written explanation, and involves a capability you can get from other publicly available models today. Two things are true at once. First: Anthropic spent months marketing Mythos as too dangerous to release. Sam Altman said it was "incredible marketing to say we have built a bomb." The Commerce Department has now formally agreed it is a bomb. If you describe your product as a munition in every press release, eventually a government takes you at your word. They wrote the legal predicate themselves and called it a brand. Second: we have run this experiment before. In the 90s the government classified encryption as a munition under ITAR. Activists defeated it by printing PGP's source code as a book, because books are protected speech and floppy disks were arms exports. A t-shirt with three lines of RSA Perl was legally a munition. The controls collapsed because math does not stop at customs. The new wrinkle is the "deemed export" rule: showing controlled technology to a foreign national inside the US counts as exporting it abroad. Which is why Anthropic's own foreign-national employees are now locked out of the model they built. The munition is in the building and the people who made it are not allowed to look at it. The jailbreak is the paperwork. The refusal was in January.

If you use markov chain models to lose money, it feels more effortful and satisfying. The goal in the stock market is not to make money. That's not possible. The goal should be to lose money in a way that makes you feel like you did something.

How many can relate to this? instagram.com/reel/DYKeJR_T4…

Life nowadays

AI makes backtests trivially easy to produce. The bottleneck was never mechanical. It was always: why does this edge exist? Who is on the other side, and why do they keep losing? More backtests does not mean more alpha.

So prompt engineers learned English is imprecise for coding and started using stricter syntax. I wonder how long it will take before they come full circle and land back at programming languages again.

Combinatorics

In 1977, two American boys discovered that a local ice‑cream chain offered free birthday sundaes by mail, so they invented a fictional child named “Robert Alan Peters” to keep collecting the yearly treat. They filled out the birthday club form, listed their real home address, and for years received coupons addressed to their imaginary creation. The prank was harmless fun, just kids gaming a promotional system for a few extra sundaes. But in 1984, everything changed when a letter arrived from the Selective Service System ordering “Robert Alan Peters” to register for the draft. The boys, now older, were stunned: their fake child had somehow entered a federal database. The incident exposed that the U.S. government had quietly obtained and used the ice‑cream chain’s mailing list without permission, sparking public debate about privacy, data‑sharing, and how easily personal information could be swept into government systems long before the digital age.

Not trendy but

So finally all the "micro edges" of phycology , discipline and money management helped along with 70 attempts.

Haha

As a citizen of an irrelevant vassal state I'm glad about the Chinese open weight strategy. In some sense the world is a better place if this stuff is commoditized. But it's a decidedly weird feeling to say "thank you communist party of China for preserving my liberty".

Dude.

Price drop: 30% off. Usually ~1000/-, today @~700 amazon.in/Probably-Approxima…

皆さん、今海外で話題の風刺画を頂きましたのでお配りしておきますwwww

Iran used a drone with a loud speaker attached. Then a single Iranian chanted "Death To America!!!" and this happened.

eid mubarak to everyone celebrating!

This country isn’t real man 😭

Personally I view him as an unfiltered view of how americans think about the rest of the world and operates. It just cuts through all the bullshit these people throw around their evil deeds.